In one of his growing number of ‘John bad, Judith good’ posts Cameron Slater highlights one of his hypocrisies. Having done a lot of trying to explain many things (apart from what happened to Freed and why he hasn’t denied paying Ben Rachinger to hack The Standard) he reverts back to one of his so-called political rules:
Leadership should be a truism. You are the leader because there is no other alternative.
When it no longer become s a truism then your leadership is in question. It may be still solid, but questions are now being asked.
And when those questions are asked you get forced into breaking Rule Number 1 in politics.
1. If you are explaining, you are losing
Why he wants to highlight that when he has post so much over the last year is a bit baffling.
In a round about way Slater is trying to explain that he thinks John Key is nearly history and Judith Collins is the heir apparent (if you forget everything that’s been revealed over the past year).
Unless leaders have surnames like Stalin or Pinochet then they have a basic responsibility to explain quite a few things on an ongoing basis.
If John Key is having to explain to his members that he is definitely sticking around then there are problems.
Explaining is losing and there are increasing signs that there is pressure.
What Slater doesn’t explain is that he’s trying to talk up some pressure. Except scepticism is now rule number 1 when considering Slater style politics. It’s only bloggers like Slater and Greg Presland who try to convince people who never listen to things like The rise of Collins and the decline of Key.
Don’t expect wither Slater or Presland to explain why they are promoting the same futility.
But Slater goes on to try his best to explain how Key will lose his leadership. And he concludes:
When the polls start moving then you will see more action on finding a replacement for John Key.
The polls move around all the time. National have fluctuated between about 44% and 55% over the last few years. There has been no sign of ‘more action’ with any of those movements so far.
But expect Slater to try and keep explaining his strategy, frequently.
I’m waiting for a good explanation of why John is bad and Judith is good for National. And I’d be fascinated by any explanation as to why Slater is good for Collins’ prospects.