Stuff/IPSOS poll

The third poll in three days shows that polls can only be taken as indicators of current support and are nowhere near being definitive indicators of election results.

Stuff/IPSOS results:

  • National 50.8% (-4.3)
  • Labour 26.1% (+3.6)
  • Greens 11.8% (+0.5)
  • NZ First 4.0% (+0.6)
  • Conservative Party 2.7% (-0.6)
  • Internet-Mana 2.2% (+0.1)
  • Maori Party 0.7% (-0.3)
  • ACT Party 0.7% (+0.2)
  • UnitedFuture 0.1% (+0.1)

These show different movements but with similar end results to yesterday’s NZ Herald poll.

The poll has a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 per cent

Our poll provides a maximum sampling error of +/-3.1%-point, at the 95% confidence level. This means we can be 95% confident that the survey results are within 3.1% of the result had we surveyed the entire population of the NZ population, when the analysis is based on all respondents surveyed.

Note that maximum margin of error of 3.1% means it only applies to National on 50.8% – parties on lower percentages have smaller margins of error.

Stuff commentary: Nats riding high, Key sliding down

Details: IPSOS Polling Station

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