Trump bursts through the pundit ceiling

It’s been common to see claims that Donald Trumps popularity was probably limited to somewhere in the thirties, and that as opponents dropped out the combined not-Trump vote for the survivor will float  past his ceiling.

The Nevada result has blown that theory out of the water, if early poll results are an indicator of what the the final result might be.

  • Trump 46.6%
  • Rubio 23.8%
  • Cruz 19.9%
  • Carson 5.5%
  • Kasich 3.8%

Trump is already being called the winner.

Even if Carson and Kasich drop out if anything like this flows through to other results it may not be close until it’s a two horse race.

That’s twice in a row Rubio has pipped Cruz.

Washington Post reports: In Nevada caucuses, Trump gets a third straight win

Donald Trump convincingly won the Nevada presidential caucuses here Tuesday evening, the Associated Press projected, accelerating his march to the Republican nomination as his top two rivals fell short here despite aggressive campaigning in the closing days.

An angry electorate hungry for a political outsider in the White House handed Trump his third straight win in the GOP primary race as the billionaire mogul used visceral rhetoric to tap into anxieties about the economy, terrorism and illegal immigration.

An ‘angry’ electorate strongly supports a Washington outsider.

Early entrance polling reported by CBS News showed that nearly 6 in 10 caucus-goers said they were angry at the federal government, and a similar percentage wanted the next president to be a political outsider.

It may be a bizarre circus but it’s a fascinating one.

UPDATE: The numbers moved around a bit as the count came in but here are the finals results:

  • Trump 45.9%
  • Rubio 23.9%
  • Cruz 21.4%
  • Carson 4.8%
  • Kasich 3.6%

That’s a convincing win for Trump, but it’s just one state.

Leave a comment

42 Comments

  1. Timoti

     /  24th February 2016

    Holy Roller.

    Reply
  2. Nelly Smickers

     /  24th February 2016

    I really love Trumpie!

    Watched him the other night on Fox88 with Hammity, answering all those questions from the floor of his casino. He slayed them 😀

    And you can see why the ‘average American’ feels engaged. The other candidates seem to come across as a bit distant and condesending, almost like they’re working from a well rehearsed script.

    When a member of the audience asked Trumpie, “Did he really believe that building a wall on the Mexican border would keep all the Illegals out?” – he replied quick as a flash, “Well look at China, they built a wall, how many Mexicans live there?”

    Now you can’t argue with that.

    Go The Donald!!

    Reply
    • Chris Wagner

       /  24th February 2016

      Hannity is an arrogant God bothering idiot.

      Reply
    • kittycatkin

       /  24th February 2016

      That’s a silly, childish answer about China.I would expect something better than that from a would-be president. It’s like a riddle in a Christmas cracker.

      Reply
      • Nelly Smickers

         /  24th February 2016

        But that’s what makes the world such a wonderfully diverse and exciting place kitcat.!

        You get some people who have say, an MA in English Lit, and yet others, who are self-made Billionaires, with nothing more than their wit and a sense of humor 😀

        Reply
      • Alan Wilkinson

         /  24th February 2016

        Actually it is a politically clever answer, because it appeals to both those who want to keep illegal immigrants out (the wall will work) and those who don’t (I’m just joking really).

        Reply
        • kittycatkin

           /  25th February 2016

          It’s a populist answer, the kind of thing that Winston Peters would say if he dared .It wouldn’t appeal to anyone Hispanic whose ancestors have lived in the US for more generations than the Trumps have. He is doing what Hitler did-he’s all but saying us (Aryans) versus them (non-Aryans)

          Reply
          • mrMan

             /  25th February 2016

            God, Why are you so old?

            Reply
            • kittycatkin

               /  25th February 2016

              Why don’t you learn to spell argument ? And find out the meanings of things that you quote ?

              Your obsession with me is becoming tragic. You are such a troll that you contradict for the sake of it. I say something and you repeat it in contradiction-if I said that Canada bordered America you’d say that I ought to look it up-that in fact, Canada borders America ! You are a very sad person.

            • mrMan

               /  25th February 2016

              So you didn’t look up ad hominem, for it’s 21st century usage. Thought so.

            • kittycatkin

               /  25th February 2016

              Oh for Heaven’s sake, mrMadman, find a life outside this blog. You have become very tedious.

  3. Alan Wilkinson

     /  24th February 2016

    Can I say I told you so yet?

    Reply
  4. I’ve updated the post with the final result, not much different to the early numbers with Trump still well out in front – but it’s just one state and not 50% for him.

    Reply
  5. “An angry electorate hungry for a political outsider in the White House handed Trump his third straight win in the GOP primary race as the billionaire mogul used visceral rhetoric to tap into anxieties about the economy, terrorism and illegal immigration.” The Washington Post’s comment above made my blood run cold. I was nt aware of the extent of anger the Post claims in its comment. If it is true, then I hope the Average Joe in the US remembers the old adage of decisions made in haste and anger are the cause of regret in later contemplation.

    Reply
    • Gezza

       /  25th February 2016

      Trump gives simple answers for complex issues to dumbed down voters who are happy to be led like sheep and consider it a virtue to be loyally ignorant.

      Reply
      • Timoti

         /  25th February 2016

        Don’t forget those who voted for Obama. You know, the guy who has given up on immigration. That’s another simple solution. Ignore the problem…and you don’t have a problem.

        Reply
      • Alan Wilkinson

         /  25th February 2016

        But Trump is not stupid. Bush and Obama were both disasters. Americans are over them and their supporters. They are looking for someone who can see the wood and the trees and deal to them.

        I think it is certain Trump will win the Republican nomination. Then we will see if he can win the election. My guess is that he can defeat both Clinton and Sanders. I think his ridicule of both would be devastating.

        Reply
        • kittycatkin

           /  25th February 2016

          He may not be stupid, but he knows how to appeal to the stupid, as Hitler did. He offers simplistic answers….simple answers for simpletons.

          Reply
          • Alan Wilkinson

             /  25th February 2016

            Yes, he knows how to appeal to unsophisticated people who are tired of Obama’s soaring rhetoric with disastrous outcomes. But I think he is far smarter and kinder than Hitler.

            You will want to compare his attacks on Muslims with Hitler’s attacks on Jews but the reality is that America has been defending itself against Muslim extremists for a decade and a half. Neither the situation nor solutions are comparable.

            Reply
            • kittycatkin

               /  25th February 2016

              I was actually thinking of the Mexicans-as I specifically said in a post higher up on this page-his attacks on them are far more like Hitler’s attacks on the Jews even if he hasn’t gone that far and won’t because he’s not that silly. But it’s the same principle; single out a group to blame for whatever reason.By vilifying them-criminals, drug pushers, illegal immigrants-he will be making them an easy target. There are many, many people of Hispanic descent in the US. They are citizens and won’t appreciate being lumped together in this way.

              I said nothing about Muslims.

              Winston Peters has done his best to stir up anti-Asian feeling. Once again, they’re an easy target because they look like what they are, unlike people from Europe or other places where the people are white.

            • mrMan

               /  25th February 2016

              Jesus wept, that’s 3 in one topic.

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  26th February 2016

              In fact Trump got 45% support from Hispanics in Nevada. So the impression we are being given from our media does not match sentiment, and probably facts, on the ground in the US.

  6. Klik Bate

     /  25th February 2016

    This from 28 years ago!

    Trump teases Oprah about a bid for President……..

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: