Political polling in New Zealand

Last week Andrew at Grumpollie posted his thoughts on The future of polling in New Zealand.

His latest post suggests that the future is not looking bright: Are we down to three polls in NZ?

So, DigiPoll has shut up shop, and I haven’t seen a poll out of Fairfax in a long time.

Digipoll’s website is still up but I can’t find them in the news since early January. The last Herald-Digipoll was  4-14 December 2015.

The last Fairfax-IPSOS poll that I can find is just prior to the last election, 13-17 September 2014. IPSOS is still operating in Australia but seem to have given up with New Zealand polling.

Are we down to just three polls now? (Newshub, ONE News, and Roy Morgan.)

That’s how it looks – see Opinion polling for the next New Zealand general election.

This is not good at all, if true. With less data, it’s harder to develop new methodological and analytical approaches to polling.

It’s not good for pollsters and for political junkies but I’m not sure if most people would care.

There are two other polling companies I’m aware of, Curia and UMR. The problem with them is they do ‘internal polling’ for National and Labour respectively so their polls aren’t made public.

That leads to an issue that is worth a separate post – see Polling and better democracy.

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3 Comments

  1. Zedd

     /  2nd April 2016

    These polls are really only surveying on ‘financial success’.. they ignore other issues:
    1) social housing & welfare
    2) ignoring all the calls to reform cannabis laws
    3) ignoring climate change & almost being deniers
    4) job security
    5) food security
    6) overall healthy society (mind state)

    etc. etc. 🙂

    In Nepal & Bhutan they guage a healthy society on ‘Gross domestic hapiness’ NOT GDP

    Reply
  2. Zedd

     /  3rd April 2016

    why does anybody.. do anything Alan ?

    Reply

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