Preferred Prime Minister

As a predictor of party prospects in elections the preferred Prime Minister is of limited use but gives a bit of an idea about which politicians the public think about or know.

From the Colmar Brunton poll published last Sunday:

“Now thinking about all the current MPs of any party, which one would you personally prefer to be Prime Minister?”

IF NONE: “Is there anyone who is not a current MP who you would prefer to be Prime Minister?”

PreferredPMApril2016

Helen Clark, Shane Jones, Turiana Turia are all ex MPs and Kim Dotcom has never been an MP but there are not many choosing them, Dotcom has only had one person choose him once.

0.1% in a sample size of a thousand is just one response.

Many voters could name few MPs. Even leaders like Andrew Little aren’t well known, so the Prime Minister usually scores well above the rest.

So ‘Don’t know’ is not surprisingly quite high, with over a third of respondents not choosing anyone.

SAMPLING ERROR: The maximum sampling error is approximately ±3.1%-points at the 95% confidence level. This is the sampling error for a result around 50%. Results higher and lower than 50% have a smaller sampling error. For example, results around 10% and 5% have sampling errors of approximately ±1.9%-points and ±1.4%-points, respectively, at the 95% confidence level. These sampling errors assume a simple random sample of 1,000 eligible voters.

Poll results less than a percent or two can be quite fickle.

Poll source (PDF)

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5 Comments

  1. Gezza

     /  14th April 2016

    “Now thinking about all the current MPs of any party, which one would you personally prefer to be Prime Minister?”

    In that list I think “Refused” would probably have the most integrity.

    Reply
  2. LSD – Little Syndrome Derangement?

    Reply
    • Gezza

       /  14th April 2016

      For me that’s a pretty depressing list PZ. I can see some members of a coalition Cabinet in there but apart from JK no other standout PM. It’s a sad state of affairs for Labour when Jacinda Ardern is no. 3.

      Reply
  3. spanish_tudor

     /  15th April 2016

    And they allow you to name dead people as well….. David Lange? Perhaps they should tighten up their questioning to current MPs only – any other names are pointless as they can’t actually take on the job.

    Reply

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