Less preferred Prime Minister

Preferred Prime Minister polls are a bit odd in our political system where we don’t vote for Prime Ministers, we vote for a party (the crucial MMP vote) and for electorate MPs.

But it does give us a bit of an indication how popular the current Prime Minister is.

Patrick Gower overstates the situation in the latest Newshub/Reid research poll in Key’s popularity plummets to lowest level

John Key’s popularity as Prime Minister has dropped to its lowest point since he took office in the latest Newshub-Reid Research poll. 

Just 36.7 percent of those polled listed the current Prime Minister as their preferred option — down 1.6 percent from a Newshub poll in November.

A drop of 1.6% is within the margin of error so that isn’t particularly significant as far as polling goes.

However it is noteworthy that it’s Key’s lowest result since he became Prime Minister. He received about 10% less than the National poll result. This could suggest that voters rate the party and government as more important than the leader.

National rose marginally (by 0.3) to 47%.

At least as noteworthy is Anderew Little dropping by about the same amount as Key, to 8.9%, along with Labour dropping 1% to 31.3%.

If there is no credible alternative leader to Key and no credible alternative major party to National then they will benefit from Labour’s and Little’s continued struggling to impress.

This week it’s the battle of finance, with Bill English pitted against Grant Robertson. That match up could be at least as decisive in next year’s election as Key versus Little.

But Key dropping slightly has excited some at the Standard – Newshub poll – Key falls to lowest popularity – although the comments are mixed.

The timing of the poll is curious, in the lead up to the budget where opposition parties are going hard out trying to set the debate agenda and attack the Government in advance as much as possible.

If the Government delivers a positive budget it could change voter sentiment significantly, if they deliver a dog of a budget it could do likewise in a negative direction, so polling in advance is not great timing as far as assessing relative support is concerned (the timing is likely to suit media marketing as much as anything).

Leave a comment

12 Comments

  1. Gezza

     /  25th May 2016

    Poll timing probably doesn’t matter all that much. The latest polls pick up the public reaction to Little & Hagers unsubstanitated attacks over the previous month & that’s what I was most interested in personally. The next month’s polls will pick up reactions to the budget & anything else that happens in the in-between. As Alan & you have both pointed out Pete they’re really much to go on anyway.

    TS poll comments are always a mixed bag – if the polls are bad for Greens & Labour, they’re rubbish & don’t reflect reality. If the polls are good, they’re accurate & the revolution is coming at last.

    Reply
  2. alloytoo

     /  25th May 2016

    While I believe the government has a little something up their sleeves, a prudent budget from English will do nicely thank you.

    Reply
    • Blazer

       /  25th May 2016

      they have an arse up their sleeve and they sit on their elbow.

      Reply
      • Kitty Catkin

         /  25th May 2016

        Er, no, it’s the other way around.

        Reply
        • Gezza

           /  25th May 2016

          One thing’s for sure, if any of them find that their nose is running and their feet smell they’re probably upside down at the time.

          Reply
  3. Alan Wilkinson

     /  25th May 2016

    If anyone can’t understand why there is financial inequality in this country they need only look at the mentality of those who think Peters or Little would be a better prime minister than Key.

    Reply
    • Blazer

       /  25th May 2016

      incomprehensible,gobbledygook…no relevant connection in the premise.

      Reply
  4. Kitty Catkin

     /  25th May 2016

    If the party leader was a complete no-hoper, it might have an impact, but no party would knowingly have such a person. I don’t know how much AL’s and Labour’s low ratings have to do with each other.

    Reply
  5. Kitty Catkin

     /  25th May 2016

    Patrick Gower is a horrible smart-arse who delights in misrepresenting what people say. I can’t imagine how he keeps the job. Disgusting little creep.

    Reply
    • Gezza

       /  26th May 2016

      I can’t imagine how he keeps the job.

      He works for Newshub. So my guess is it’s because he’s a horrible smart-arse who delights in misrepresenting what people say.

      Reply

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s