Aus effect on NZ immigration numbers

In contrast to confused claims by Winston Peters that the movement of Kiwis back to New Zealand is due to being treated as second class citizens in Australia but that New Zealand is “a last resort”, Liam Dann supports his opinion with reason – it’s mostly about the economies.

Liam Dann: Oz fortunes a big factor in arrivals wave

…it isn’t hard to draw a link between Australia’s economy and our current immigration boom.

New Zealand’s net migration gain of 68,400 in the year to May 2016 was a nominal record dating back to at least 1860.

We’ve never, even in colonial times, gained so many new residents in a year. There have been much bigger percentage gains of course.

Even on that basis, the past year has been huge.

While there is a lot of focus on Chinese home buyers, it is New Zealanders coming home (and not leaving) that has made the difference.

Compared to the May 2012 year, departures to Australia have a fallen from 48,000 to 20,000. Arrivals have spiked from 8800 to 16,800.

So the biggest shift is in far fewer Kiwis heading to Australia in the first place, but more are returning than before as well.

We even had a net gain of 1700 Australian citizens.

They can’t be, as Peters puts it, “second class citizens” in Australia. There will be a variety of reasons for them coming here but “last resort” is unlikely to be one.

The open borders have always made the lure of Australia our biggest immigration variable. And it is one that can swing sharply.

And it’s something that the Government cannot and should not control.

The end of the mining boom, an economic slowdown and the inclusion of Kiwi residents in tough immigration laws that allow for detainment and deportation based on “bad character” tests have dramatically reversed the flow of transtasman migration.

The biggest factor is availability of jobs, or lack of availability.

How long will this trend last? Is our relative economic success a driver? Or is migration driving our economic success?

If Australia’s economy or political policies change radically then our migration story will too.

We need to ensure we have social policy to protect people from losing out and turning their anger towards migrants.

Anger towards migrants that is deliberately stoked by Peters for political purposes. That’s very poor for an MP.

We need to remember the current surge is not driven just by the more highly visible arrivals of different culture and ethnicity.

It is being driven by New Zealand passport holders.

History tells us this wave will not last. And that when it passes it will have left this country richer and stronger.

As long as politicians like Peters don’t drag us down.

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3 Comments

  1. Conspiratoor

     /  4th July 2016

    I think you should stop listening to commy Dann PG and start acquainting yourself with the stats. I’ll help you out later if I’m not too stuffed after gorging on the entire etap deux of the tour de France

    Reply
  2. Unfortunately, Winston Peters MP is a chronic stoker of anti-Policy rhetoric which has no value. He is well known for his quick hit slurs on the character of many people whose value to our Nation is much greater and more lasting than his history. His antics would make most people not only blush but also go off to find a hole to hide in. His one liners contribute less to our development than Lange’s so-called wit. A real leader looks for opportunities to reward those who contribute to the group’s mission but that’s not how Winston works, instead he trys to score points off those he speaks to, and consistently plays the person, by personalising the discussion. His lack of basic courtesy indicates just how bad was his upbringing and he should be described as ill-mannered.

    Reply
  3. Blazer

     /  4th July 2016

    ‘We need to remember the current surge is not driven just by the more highly visible arrivals of different culture and ethnicity.

    It is being driven by New Zealand passport holders’no….68,400-16,800 tells me the current surge is in fact mainly attributable to the arrival of different cultures and ethnicities.Big jump in Indian immigrants.

    Reply

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