Missy’s UK update

Today’s update on the goings on in Westminster. It will be relatively short, as today there wasn’t a lot of movement on anything other than the Conservative Leadership Race.


Brexit:

Same old same old, I think some of the ‘activists’ protesting Brexit have moved on to Tony Blair and the Chilcot Report. No more information around the initial reporting on the legal challenge.

Labour:

This has stagnated. Those challenging Corbyn seem reluctant to actually make a move, Len McCluskey (Unite Union Boss) has been having one to one meetings with Corbyn and Tom Watson to try and come to a compromise, but nothing is moving as Corbyn stubbornly hangs on to leadership, and everyone around him tries to get him to go. It is reported that the MP’s would like him to resign gracefully, but that is looking less likely.

Conservatives:

So, it will be a woman, after today’s second MP vote it is down to Theresa May and Andrea Leadsom.

Leadsom’s CV is coming under scrutiny as it is being revealed that she may have exaggerated some aspects of her career in the city, It is hard to know if this will impact her standing with the membership.

There has been a lot of talk on twitter that the front runner with the MP’s has never won the leadership, however, some have pointed out that isn’t entirely correct as Cameron was second in the first round and topped the second round in the MP’s vote.

Results from today: May 199, Leadsom 84, Gove 46.

Yesterday Labour put a motion for EU migrants to have the right to remain in Britain regardless of what happens in the negotiations. This passed in the Commons. I personally think this is a stupid move, it weakens the UK in negotiating their exit, as the EU countries are safe knowing their citizens can remain in the UK, but they have not given the same assurance to UK citizens in the EU – and now don’t have to. This, in my opinion, is also a betrayal of UK citizens in Europe. The Commons have acted on public opinion and emotion, and not acted in the best interests of their citizens. Interestingly only Theresa May, out of the leadership candidates, was willing to make the decision to use right to remain as a negotiating tool, to try and get a reciprocal agreement for UK citizens in the EU.

HeatSt, a right wing online media organisation, has published an article suggesting Boris was collateral damage in an attempt to neutralise (not literally) Andrea Leadsom. The article is here:
http://heatst.com/uk/was-boris-stitched-up-in-a-plot-to-banish-andrea-leadsom/
The membership will elect the new party leader on September 9.

Here is the Telegraphs summary of Leadsom and May.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/0/conservative-leadership-election-runners-and-riders-for-the-tory2/
I note May’s odds have slipped (I think that is right) as she is now at 1/5 – only a week ago she was 1/1.

Leave a comment

16 Comments

  1. 1/5 means odd on to win…. so her odds have shortened as favourite, slipped would ahve been 2/1 to 3/1 etc

    Interesting that Corbyn is clinging on – will UK Labour split, again?

    Reply
    • Or has UK Labour split before?

      Reply
    • It looks like Corbyn has started down the coup and no one is up to carrying on any challenge.

      So that leaves UK Labour in a divided severely weakened mess, still with a leader many think is unelectable.

      Reply
      • Missy

         /  8th July 2016

        The Daily Mail has an article with the headline asking ‘Is the worst coup ever?’ – which I thinks sums it up. It has been a bit of a shambles over the last week and a half.

        I get the impression that they MP’s thought once they all quit and put forward the no confidence motion he would just resign and it would be all very civil, but it looks like they were caught by surprise at him hanging on.

        At the moment there is no effective leadership in Westminster, it should have been a time for Labour to capitalise, but instead they seem to be less effective than the Government.

        Reply
    • Missy

       /  8th July 2016

      Cheers for that dave, I will admit not to understanding it all very much – guess I will have to learn, everything here is based on what the bookies are saying.

      Not sure about Labour splitting, there are some that are predicting it will happen, but as they go on summer recess at the end of July it won’t happen until the Autumn / Winter I would imagine.

      I don’t think UK Labour have split before, I think the Conservatives have, but because of their essential 2 party system it hasn’t made too much of an impact.

      Reply
    • Blazer

       /  8th July 2016

      so at 1/5 ,if I wager one pound on that option and it prevails,how much do I get back?

      Reply
  2. Gezza

     /  8th July 2016

    Good analysis Missy. Thanks. I agree with you about Britain giving EU migrants the right to remain without first getting a reciprocal undertaking re UK migrants from the EU. They really should be getting your opinion before they do anything like that again. 🙂

    Reply
    • Missy

       /  8th July 2016

      I think my view is partly influenced by the experience of NZ and Australia, when Australia changed the rules and NZ did nothing. I don’t want to see something happening in the UK where the EU screw them over with regards to the treatment of UK nationals, which is why it is important for the UK to hold out, there are more EU nationals here – many sending money back to their home country.

      Reply
      • Gezza

         /  8th July 2016

        Do you think any UK papers or other media outlets would pick up & use the odd insightful comment or two from you on issues like this?

        Reply
        • Missy

           /  8th July 2016

          I doubt it Gezza, they are as bad as the NZ papers, and prefer to sow seeds of discontent, division, and suspicion, then ‘report’ on how bad the reaction is.

          Reply
  3. Sorry a monumental stuff up (Pete can you remove please)

    I’ll redo

    Reply
  4. Nelly Smickers

     /  8th July 2016

    Here we go Missy……..if you’ve got time on your hands this Sunday, sounds like this might be a *REAL HOOT* XD

    Reply
    • Missy

       /  8th July 2016

      unfortunately Nelly I don’t have time on my hands this Sunday, but thanks for the heads up, I now know what to avoid at 10am this Sunday.

      Reply

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s