Possible by-elections

There’s a couple of probable and several more possible by-elections in store before next year’s election (NBR’s Rob Hosking has suggested John Key should call an early election for later this year but I don’t see that happening).

It’s expected that Phil Goff will win the Auckland mayoralty so a Mt Roskill by-election seems very likely.

Maurice Williamson has just been appointed Consul-General in Los Angeles. Williamson had already indicated he would retire at the next election but now a by-election in his Pakuranga electorate looks possible, but RNZ says that “his start date is expected to be set late enough to avoid triggering a by-election”.

There has been speculation (but no definite sign) that Nanaia Mahuta may resign from Parliament. If she does that well before next year’s election then there would be a by-election in her Hauraki-Waikato electorate.

If the Auditor General comes down hard on Murray McCully over the Saudi sheep deal then McCully may bring forward his exit from his East Coast Bays electorate (he has announced he will step down at the next election).

It ‘has been rumoured’ (according to Matthew Hooton) that David Shearer might be offered ‘a senior appointment’ and leave his Mt Albert electorate. Shearer is at odds with Labour leader Andrew Little, regarded as too right wing.

Hooton is also speculating that Stuart Nash, another non-left Labour MP, may jump to the NZ First waka (there has been alternate party speculation and rumour with Nash for years). That would put his Napier seat up for grabs (I think that’s unlikely before the next general election).

 

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11 Comments

  1. Pete Kane

     /  3rd September 2016

    Yep. The potential elephant in the Labour and National war rooms. (I’ll volunteer to report ion the National room Pete, at least they can afford a chair.) Almost worthy of a weeklong discussion – for more moderate days (and nights).

    Reply
  2. The Nats should trigger a couple and see if they can cause Labour financial duress….it would also be great to Andy Little in full election mode. Would be awesome to watch : )

    Reply
    • Pete Kane

       /  3rd September 2016

      Noughty

      Reply
      • Valid tactical approach. McCully should be gone already and if Labour could run a scandal properly he would have been.

        Its been a year since the Saudi Sheep thing was sent to an inquiry, let alone started – that’s a year ago Pete… and NADA from Labour in parliament to make the inquiry moot… heads on pikes make a government look weak, the inability to garner them makes Labour look weak.

        Time for bleed Labour at a by election, like a picador does before the matador finishes the prey at the general election

        Reply
        • Blazer

           /  3rd September 2016

          what a load of..bull!Mc Cully like Sabin has been protected and embargoed by govt influence re the media.

          Reply
      • You see Pete, the trolls are active and its hard to have a conversation…..

        Reply
  3. Blazer

     /  3rd September 2016

    Hooten is going for the shotgun approach…some many ‘predictions’…1 may come true!

    Reply
    • Yes other than mt roskill most of these seem like great ideas for journos but not sure I see it …

      Reply
    • Pete Kane

       /  3rd September 2016

      Mathew’s as a long thin reptile Bz. Not as long as the PM though.

      Reply
      • Pete Kane

         /  4th September 2016

        I’m gonna dig up that Farrar article. G of salt stuff I know – but well worth throwing in the mix.

        Reply

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