The US presidential polls appear to be closing up quickly in the wake of the FBI announcement last Friday that emails related to their Clinton inquiries would be investigated.
The RealClear Politics poll average is now just +2.2 in Clinton’s favour, and FiveThirtyEight’s ‘Who will win the presidency’ polls-plus forecast is now Clinton 71.7% to Trump 28.3%.
What these don’t show is how quickly new polls have shifted as they lag through their averaging over time.
The latest ABC Washington Post Trump v Clinton poll is Clinton 48, Trump 47 but their four way poll with all candidates is Trump 46, Clinton 45, the first time Trump has led Clinton since May.
The FiveThirtyEight trend chart looks ominous for Clinton.
This is all complicated by early voting that has been under way for weeks in some states, and also the complex US electoral college system of electing the president.
The uproar over Clinton’s emails and renewed accusations of Trump’s alleged links to Russian interests were prominent in the news. This is far from a ‘normal’ election, and the swings could do anything in the final week.
Your NZ 
Klik Bate
/ 2nd November 2016Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016Democrats desperately trying to muddy Clinton’s waters. Contemptible really.
Klik Bate
/ 2nd November 2016@ 3.37pm BREAKING…….
http://cesrusc.org/election/
Pete George
/ 2nd November 2016US officials also say they have seen no direct link between Clinton and the latest emails but that didn’t stop that becoming a potentially game changing issue.
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016No connection between Clinton and 650k emails on her assistant’s computer? Credibility vacuum there.
Pete George
/ 2nd November 2016Wasn’t it her assistant’s ex partner’s devices?
The FBI says they don’t know if there are any related to Clinton.
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016How long does it take to search on the word Clinton? Honestly, give us a break.
If they have possession and a warrant answering that question is not time consuming.
Pete George
/ 2nd November 2016They apparently have software to analyse the emails, presumably to search for what they want and I understand to identify emails they haven’t already examined.
Ugly Truth
/ 2nd November 2016The estranged husband of Clinton’s “second daughter” has 650000 emails and the FBI says that they don’t know if there are any related to Clinton?
Does the I in FBI stand for investigation, or are they stonewalling here?
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016I think it was a shared computer? Perhaps had separate logons for the two of them. Maybe they forgot it was set up to download and store locally all her emails when they were busy deleting and cleaning up and hiding from the Clinton email FBI investigation.
Klik Bate
/ 2nd November 2016‘Fritz’ adds his penny’s worth…..
Pete Kane
/ 2nd November 2016How Millennials Can Help Shape The Presidential Race
“The Morning Joe panel discusses how young voters can have a serious impact on next week’s election.”
Some of this seems a little counter intuitive – but?
But not so much this.
http://www.msnbc.com/morning-joe/watch/dean-i-ve-never-thought-this-was-a-big-deal-798107203765
Pete Kane
/ 2nd November 2016As much as I often dislike this guy, there is always something comforting to leopards like this.
“Democratic strategist James Carville and MSNBC’s Thomas Roberts get in a heated debate over FBI director James Comey’s intentions with Hillary Clinton’s continued server investigation.”
Pete George
/ 2nd November 2016@tweepsmap
Whoever wins the US election is getting @POTUS’ 11m Twitter followers
http://thenextweb.com/us/2016/11/01/whoever-wins-the-us-election-is-getting-potus-11-million-twitter-followers/
@robhosking
Rob Hosking Retweeted Tweepsmap
This is going to be the biggest mass unfollow in social media history.
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016Hilarious! Rob Hosking is a gem amongst dross in his profession.
Klik Bate
/ 2nd November 2016My niece in the US thinks tweets like this are doing the rounds to try and discredit Wiki Leaks!
The linked article is BLOODY FUNNY though XD
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016This email is a fake. It doesn’t exist on Wikileaks.
Klik Bate
/ 2nd November 2016Yep – quite right Alan. Even my niece was able to determine that XD
The ‘ihavethetruth’ link is hillaryous though, eh!!
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016Just needed to make that clear to anyone reading it and not bothering to check.
Klik Bate
/ 2nd November 2016Oh yes, cheers Alan. Know who you mean XD
Ugly Truth
/ 2nd November 2016MaureenW
/ 2nd November 2016Is this story for real? This guy has appeared on AJ for years with some interesting stories (real or not), but he does seem to have some valid credentials. Have watched AJ for a few years, but they seem to have moved somewhat from conspiracy to more relevancy.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steve_Pieczenik
MaureenW
/ 2nd November 2016Edit above: That was meant to read “haven’t watched AJ for a few years…..”
Corky
/ 2nd November 2016Saw Trumpy address a rally. He is even sounding like the President. When he finished his bs to the faithful he strode across the stage and hugged the American flag. It was so poignant, a lump developed in my throat and I did the only thing possible… I stood up saluted the Commander In Chief. The thing is there’s a few days to go before the election. That’s more then enough time for Trumpy to put is foot in it. The best bet is tape his mouth and just have him wave and grin at the public.The damage to Hillary has already been done.
Pete Kane
/ 2nd November 2016Utah an New Mexico could still pose a problem for Trump, as the first part of this article shows. Bu the latter involving Donna Braztle (DNC Chair) and her CNN leak of questions to Clinton for the Primary debates must still irk Sanders people. Be a blow to loose the top DNC Afro-American this close. I guess they will ride it.
Pete Kane
/ 2nd November 2016CNN Jake Tapper CONDEMNS DNC Chair DONNA BRAZILE
And then she does it again.
Joe Bloggs
/ 2nd November 2016http://www.stuff.co.nz/world/americas/85983474/trump-hotline-to-moscow-bank-revealed-as-fbi-probes-kremlins-fiveyear-plan
The fire-in-a-dumpster that is the US elections has just been fanned again…
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016Obsolete Clinton spin. The FBI has already refuted that as even the NYT reported:
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/01/us/politics/fbi-russia-election-donald-trump.html
Joe Bloggs
/ 2nd November 2016so that would be the same NY Times article that is now raising more questions than answers, and that has been labelled “very fishy”
https://thinkprogress.org/the-new-york-times-very-fishy-article-about-trump-and-russia-979914ac9a86#.1nz9k48py
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016Yes, that would be the one, Joe. Has the loony Lefties in a right tizz.
http://www.frontpagemag.com/point/243458/even-liberals-dont-trust-thinkprogress-daniel-greenfield
Corky
/ 2nd November 2016This must be what Leighton Smith is going on about. He is holding off broadcasting because he’s not sure of its veracity.
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016Klik Bate
/ 2nd November 2016Ex FBI Chief brands the Clinton’s as a ‘CRIME FAMILY’ ……comparable to the Gambino mob ❗
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/727369/hillary-clinton-bill-crime-gambinos-james-kallstrom-fbi-email-scandal-us-presidential-elec
Ugly Truth
/ 2nd November 2016bjmarsh1
/ 2nd November 2016It is all disinformation or “spin “if you like. You can only believe what the FBI will eventually provide to the Justice Department as a report and recommendation. It will be interesting because the Federal Attorney General announced prior to the release of the first FBI report, that she would support the FBI’s recommendation, whatever it was. Has she burnt her bridges as far as the second FBI investigation report is concerned? She has opened the door to her private hell, if you ask me.
My guess is that it will come to a head post election day and the litigation will start then regardless of who holds the majority in the Electoral College. Hilary will fight like a cornered rat, if she is accused, and like a cornered wolverine if she loses the election.
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016Podesta: “We are going to have to dump all those emails”
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-01/podesta-mills-we-are-going-have-dump-all-those-emails
If Democrats don’t win they will be meeting each other in court and jail for some time I think.
bjmarsh1
/ 2nd November 2016Alan, there are a series of exchanges about this subject which relates to the initial 300 emails selected and sent to the Senate Committee Inquiry on Benghazi. It shows that they had 55k of other messages as well.
Have a look at this one : https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/39881
If you go to http://www.wikileaks.org, click on the Podesta database and search “Cheryl Mills” (include speech marks, you will see that message in context of others on the subect.
Klik Bate
/ 2nd November 2016http://nation.foxnews.com/2016/11/01/wikileaks-kept-me-out-jail-top-doj-official-involved-clinton-probe-represented-her
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016Posted this in yesterday’s thread by mistake:
Interesting questions about presidential pardons. Can Obama pardon Clinton for things she hasn’t been charged with yet? If not, will there be a flurry of charges brought against her in time to get her pardoned for them?
Alan Wilkinson
/ 2nd November 2016Also, would his pardon impact an impeachment proceeding?
Ugly Truth
/ 2nd November 2016