Temperature record for third straight year

Reports keep coming out of record world temperatures.

NY Times: Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year

Marking another milestone for a changing planet, scientists reported on Wednesday that the Earth reached its highest temperature on record in 2016 — trouncing a record set only a year earlier, which beat one set in 2014. It is the first time in the modern era of global warming data that temperatures have blown past the previous record three years in a row.

The Earth is heating up, a point long beyond serious scientific dispute, but one becoming more evident as the records keep falling. Temperatures are heading toward levels that many experts believe will pose a profound threat to both the natural world and to human civilization.

In 2015 and 2016, the planetary warming was intensified by the weather pattern known as El Niño, in which the Pacific Ocean released a huge burst of energy and water vapor into the atmosphere.

But the bigger factor in setting the records was the long-term trend of rising temperature, which scientists say is being driven by increasing levels of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases.

“A single warm year is something of a curiosity,” said Deke Arndt, chief of global climate monitoring for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. “It’s really the trend, and the fact that we’re punching at the ceiling every year now, that is the real indicator that we’re undergoing big changes.”

I doubt that every year will set a new record, but the trend is upwards.

Scientists expect that the early months of 2017 will continue to show levels of warming beyond the norm, but likely not at the level of 2016 because a strong El Niño weather pattern is now subsiding.

worldtemperaturetrends

Are there any other scientific temperature records that show anything different?

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11 Comments

  1. Maggy Wassilieff

     /  19th January 2017
    Reply
  2. PDB

     /  19th January 2017

    No doubt due to a strong El Nino 2016 was the hottest year on record but it is a one-off, not proof of ‘extreme’ heating of the planet at all.

    Maggy above is quite correct, the climate change scientists have lowered earlier temperatures so that the temperature increase on the graph looks much steeper than reality.The changing of older raw data (real temperature measurement) with much lower ‘computer generated’ temperature data is not disputed by climate scientists (called ‘ homogenisation’) but no doubt anybody bringing this to the publics attention will be written off as a ‘climate change denier’.

    I’ve posted in the last few weeks where NZ and Australian climate change scientists have done exactly the same thing;

    NZ: http://www.climatescience.org.nz/images/PDFs/global_warming_nz2.pdf

    (without scientists adjusting down earlier raw temperature data) “Straight away you can see there’s no slope—either up or down. The temperatures are remarkably constant way back to the 1850s. Of course, the temperature still varies from year to year, but the trend stays level—statistically insignificant at 0.06°C per century since 1850”.

    Aussie: http://jennifermarohasy.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/Changing_Temperature_Data.pdf

    The USA: Climate blogger Steven Goddard has criticized U.S. government scientists for manipulating the raw temperature record to show a rapidly warming trend.

    “Goddard shows how, in recent years, NOAA’s US Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) has been ‘adjusting’ its record by replacing real temperatures with data ‘fabricated’ by computer models,” writes Christopher Booker for the Telegraph.

    “The effect of this has been to downgrade earlier temperatures and to exaggerate those from recent decades, to give the impression that the Earth has been warming up much more than is justified by the actual data,” Booker writes. “In several posts headed ‘Data tampering at USHCN/GISS,’ Goddard compares the currently published temperature graphs with those based only on temperatures measured at the time.”

    South America: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/11367272/Climategate-the-sequel-How-we-are-STILL-being-tricked-with-flawed-data-on-global-warming.html

    From the above link: “How have we come to be told that global temperatures have suddenly taken a great leap upwards to their highest level in 1,000 years? In fact, it has been no greater than their upward leaps between 1860 and 1880, and 1910 and 1940, as part of that gradual natural warming since the world emerged from its centuries-long “Little Ice Age” around 200 years ago”

    Indeed.

    Reply
  3. PDB

     /  19th January 2017

    To add – Major temperature data tampering is clearly evident when we look at what top climate scientists were saying in their own words prior to the man-made climate change/global warming scaring;

    1999: “NASA’s top climatologist said that the US had been cooling.

    Whither U.S. Climate?
    By James Hansen, Reto Ruedy, Jay Glascoe and Makiko Sato — AUGUST 1999

    Empirical evidence does not lend much support to the notion that climate is headed precipitately toward more extreme heat and drought.

    in the U.S. there has been little temperature change in the past 50 years, the time of rapidly increasing greenhouse gases — in fact, there was a SLIGHT COOLING throughout much of the country”.

    1989: “NOAA and CRU also reported no warming in the US during the century prior to 1989.

    February 04, 1989

    Last week, scientists from the United States Commerce Department’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said that a study of temperature readings for the contiguous 48 states over the last century showed there had been no significant change in average temperature over that period. Dr. (Phil) Jones said in a telephone interview today that his own results for the 48 states agreed with those findings”.

    https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/06/23/noaanasa-dramatically-altered-us-temperatures-after-the-year-2000/

    Reply
  4. Zedd

     /  19th January 2017

    Global warming or Climate change ?

    Its been pissing down & winds howling (on & off for 2-3 days now in Dn) If this is supposed to be summer… then I would say “YES” C.C. is happening ! 😦

    Reply
    • Brown

       /  19th January 2017

      There is the rub. We were all expected to panic because we were going to fry and now we are expected to panic because we are are not. This is why they had to change the name – a broad brush title that is inherently correct because climate does change. NZ has insufficient records to allow any safe scientific views on its normal climate because record keeping has not been over a long enough period and there is plenty of doubt about the reliability of longer period figures elsewhere. Nature plays a longer game than even socialism and unlike the latter, always wins.

      Reply
  5. Gezza

     /  19th January 2017

    Don’t worry about a thing

    Reply
    • Brown

       /  19th January 2017

      I saw Greens in the title and immediately ignored it. My response to Green anything wasn’t always like that.

      Reply
    • PDB

       /  19th January 2017

      Greens: “The science tells us it’s PROBABLE we’ll see more violent storms and more frequent, deeper droughts because of climate change”.

      If scientist’s previous computer predictions of impending doom are anything to go on the ‘probable’ is more like could’ve, would’ve, should’ve, nah.

      http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/04/climate-predictions-wrong-study-finds-160407154531194.html

      “During the previous century, climate models suggested that wet areas should have been wetter, and dry ones should have been drier than they were in reality.

      Yet, the study showed more pronounced extremes than in the 20th century. For example, drought was most severe during the 12th century, while the 15th century was the coldest.

      However, the study’s lead author, Fredrik Ljungqvist, was quick to point out that the findings in no way challenged the notion of climate change itself – instead, the data simply highlighted the complexities in predicting the climate in a warmer world”.

      Reply
      • Climate is very complex.

        Trying to predict specific effects over short time frames is very difficult.

        Trying to predict general effects over longer periods is much easier, but difficult to substantiate.

        Reply
        • PDB

           /  19th January 2017

          The main problem is that the earth is 4.6 billion years old and climate scientists are basing their predictions of impending doom for the entire planet on 100 years odd of data, more to the point pretty much the last 17 years.

          And people complain about political polling sample sizes??

          Reply

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