UK and Europe

A forum for introducing and discussing UK and European related issues.


  1. Missy

     /  March 1, 2017

    In Short:

    1. It was reported today that the Frankfurt based Sentix Research Group’s latest research shows that 1 out of 4 investors expect at least one Eurozone member to quit the Euro within the next 12 months. In January 21.3% of investors expected a Eurozone member to quit, in February it is up to 25.2%. This comes after a report last week that the Dutch are looking at their future in the Eurozone.

    2. The House of Lords yesterday had the first of two days for the debate on proposed amendments for the Article 50 Bill, the second day is tomorrow. There was no reporting on this yesterday, to be honest I am not sure if it is because the media didn’t attend, or if they were overshadowed by the Oscars, Rugby, and Labour. Next week (7 March) is the Third and Final reading and vote, if it passes with no amendments then the Bill will go for Royal Assent, if there are amendments then it goes back to the House of Commons. Today there was a report that Amber Rudd, the Home Secretary, wrote a letter to all the Peers asking for them to vote the Bill through with no amendments. In it she warned that if the UK guarantees the rights of EU citizens it will leave British Citizens living in the EU facing two years of uncertainty. Time will tell if it has any impact.

    • Missy

       /  March 1, 2017

      It is being reported this morning that last night the first amendment to the Article 50 Bill put forward by the Lords was defeated. The amendment to require the Government to do everything possible to keep the UK in the single market was defeated by the Peers, however, today the Lords will vote on an amendment guaranteeing the rights of EU citizens in the UK which is expected to pass, despite the Home Secretary requesting the Lords do not add amendments.

      The Government have agreed in Principle to the rights of EU citizens, but don’t want anything in law until the rights of British Citizens in the EU are also guaranteed. Going on some social media comments and comments in the media it seems that some British citizens in the EU are feeling let down by MPs and Peers that don’t appear to be looking out for their interests.

  2. Missy

     /  March 1, 2017

    Open Warfare in UKIP.

    It started this morning with a column by Nigel Farage in the Telegraph saying that UKIP’s only MP, Douglas Carswell, has to be kicked out of the party. He accuses Carswell of undermining the party and working against them.

    Also this morning some leaked emails from Douglas Carswell were published which appears to suggest that Carswell frustrated Nigel Farage’s chance at getting a knighthood.

    And the story progressed during the day with the next step in the story being a tweet that was retweeted by Douglas Carswell suggesting UKIP are a basket case. The re-tweet by Carswell appears to have been deleted, but the original tweeted by MP Michael Fabricant is still available.

    As the day went on the story developed with Nigel Farage claiming that Carswell will be chucked out of the party after UKIP’s biggest donor Arron Banks saying he will stand against Douglas Carswell in the next election (though it is unclear as to whether he will contest the UKIP candidacy or stand as an independent).

    The new stories on this were coming so regularly today I will admit it was difficult to keep up with them all, however, the general theme is the same that there are some real issues within UKIP, and a personality clash between Farage and Carswell.

  3. Nelly Smickers

     /  March 1, 2017

    What’s *your* reading on the upcoming French election Missy ❓

    • Missy

       /  March 1, 2017

      Hard to tell Nelly, I haven’t been following closely, but I think Le Pen will definitely win the first round, I think the key will be in who she is up against in round two, and how the voters who voted for one of the losing candidates in round one vote. It is expected for Le Pen to easily win round one, but lose narrowly in round two of the voting, however, other factors will come into play as well.

      The two most likely to be the front runners (so to speak) to advance to round two both have problems (as does Le Pen).

      Francois Fillon was the leading candidate until a scandal involving his wife, where it was claimed that she was paid by the French Taxpayer for fake jobs, add to the mix the fact she is English, then there is a problem with winning over the French public. If Fillon makes it to the second round it will be interesting to see how he goes against Le Pen.

      Emmanuel Macron is now considered the most likely to make it to the runoff against Le Pen, and to be honest from what I have seen I would not be surprised if he was to win. He has taken a hard line against Britain for daring to want to leave the EU – and for many in Europe (including France) this might play into pre-concieved prejudices.

      Closer to the time Nelly I will definitely post more, the first round is 23 April, so a lot can happen between then and now.

      I am hoping to get some time this weekend to do some research and look a bit more into the Dutch Elections which are just over two weeks ago, I am very interested how that goes, because it is possible, if some are to be believed, those elections could influence the French vote.

  4. Nelly Smickers

     /  March 1, 2017

    Thanks *sooo* much for that Missy….we are certainly in for an interesting year ahead ❗

    And it looks like my other *BFF* continues to upset a few of the heifers and ladybois over your way 😛

    • Missy

       /  March 1, 2017

      you are welcome Nelly, and as you say we are in for an interesting year ahead.

      Your other BFF (does that make me one of your BFF’s? If so I am soooo honoured) is certainly good at upsetting people, very entertaining! 😜