The March Roy Morgan poll is most notable for the slump in support for National. This has happened before, followed by a bounce back, so it will take another poll or two to find out if this is a temporary swing or becomes a trend.
- National 43.5% (down from 48)
- Labour 29.5% (up from 26)
- Greens 14.5% (up from 13)
- NZ First 7.5% (down from 8)
- Maori Party 2% (unchanged)
- ACT 0.5% (down from 1)
- United Future 0.5% (up from 0)
- Conservative Party 0.5% (up from 0)
- Independent/Others 1% (down from 2)
This should be making National a bit nervous. They dropped to 41.5% in September 2016 but bounced back to 48% the following month.
Labour may be a bit happy but below 30 is still not flash for them.
However a Newshub/Reid Research poll out today has more ‘normal’ results, with National on 47.1%, Labour on 30.8%, Greens on 11.2% and NZ First on 7.6%.