Labour poll different

Labour are emailing internal polls results to their mailing list that show a quite different result to the Newshub/Reid Research poll that was published yesterday.

I’ve just got our latest poll numbers in, and I wanted to share them with you first.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • Labour: 32%
  • Greens: 13%
  • National: 42%
  • New Zealand First: 9%

While this latest poll puts us and the Greens collectively ahead of National, last night, another poll had us at 26% – short of being able to form a government.

It shows just how volatile polls are and how close this election is going to be.

And while our latest poll numbers show we are up, it’s looking like we won’t meet our online fundraising target this month – meaning we might not have enough funds to run the campaign we’ve planned to win.

Right now we really need to keep our momentum up. That momentum relies on the vital funds thousands of generous supporters like you contribute to our campaign. We need to invest in more advertising, more rallies, more volunteer organisers and build our campaign now – if we don’t, we risk losing our gains.

The latest June 2017 Newshub/Reid Research poll was:

  • National 47.4%
  • Labour 26.4%
  • Greens 12.5%
  • NZ First 9.4%

That’s quite different. What Labour (Andrew Kirton) didn’t specify was when their poll was conducted, what the sample size was, what the questions asked were, and the margin of error was.

Polls will vary but Labour’s poll is quite different to the last two public polls.

It’s also worth pointing out Labour have twice in the last few months released their internal poll results, but most of the time they don’t, so it’s not possible to compare trends.

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18 Comments

  1. PDB

     /  June 16, 2017

    Looks like ‘fake polls’ to me……..got to keep the illusion going of doing well so they can squeeze supporters for more donations.

    Reply
  2. PDB

     /  June 16, 2017

    UMR do Labour’s internal polling – remember this rubbish?

    “They have John Key with net favourability of +6% and Andrew Little with net favourability of +16%. You have to judge this against every public poll than has Little massively behind Key as Preferred Prime Minister and even behind Winston.”

    http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2016/09/desperate_little_releases_labours_internal_polling.html

    Reply
  3. Kitty Catkin

     /  June 16, 2017

    Cynic. (larfs)

    Reply
  4. patupaiarehe

     /  June 16, 2017

    LMAO! Who did they poll? The bathroom mirror at Labour HQ? 😀

    Reply
    • PDB

       /  June 16, 2017

      It was a poll of Labour MP’s – 32% backing Little sounds about right.

      Reply
      • patupaiarehe

         /  June 16, 2017

        Snort! 😀

        Reply
      • I wondered why they were so quiet. Hatching a formidable plan to release their internal polling. That’ll influence those nasty voters and get the missing million out.

        Reply
  5. High Flying Duck

     /  June 16, 2017

    Everything about Labour is a little bit different these days. Their polls are just a reflection of that.
    When they get a bit more confident they will start polling outside of their caucus…

    Reply
  6. oldlaker

     /  June 16, 2017

    Actually, Kirton did say the polling period was June 7-15 (a period that would have included Labour’s announcement about cutting immigration. The Newshub-Reid poll was taken in the immediate aftermath of Joyce’s “left-wing” budget.)

    Reply
    • You’re right, I missed this at the bottom: “PS. Polling numbers are from UMR Research, polling period was June 7-15.”

      Reply
  7. Ray

     /  June 17, 2017

    Never mind, Bomber is on the case!
    “The truth is the Corporate mainstream media want you to believe Bill English has won before the election is even held.

    The truth is that most election pundits have been wrong recently.”

    Sort of ignoring his own sad history of punditry/guesses
    Mind you like a stopped clock he might finally get one right.

    Reply
  8. Back in March 2014:

    Reply
  9. Zedd

     /  June 17, 2017

    the party is over tories.. just accept it

    Natz 21%

    🙂

    Reply

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