Trump approval comparisons

There were discussions yesterday about Donald Trump’s approval ratings.

Since mid-May the RCP average has been flattish at 39-40% approval, 54-56% disapproval.

The FiveThirtyEight average is not surprisingly similar:

538TrumpApproval20170703

So Trump has never averaged more than 50% approval, and has been over 50% disapproval since not long after he took over the presidency.

His average has generally trended downwards but seems to have flattened out.

It is pointless comparing this to New Zealand poll results. I don’t think Prime Minister approval is polled and ‘preferred Prime Minister’ is a different measure.

The most useful comparison is with previous US presidents at a similar time into their term.

Trump’s approval at this stage is slightly higher than one predecessor: Ford – who was hurt by Nixon pardon and a very bad recession.

Gerald Ford’s approval would soon spike – from 39% to 52%; Trump’s ceiling has been 45%, set in Jan. 2017.

President, at his NJ golf club (there since Friday other than brief event n Washington Sat. nite) returns to White House later today.

Trump seems to be obsessed with trying to be seen as popular, but the more he uses Twitter to ‘go direct to the people’ the more he is likely to be disapproved.

I don’t know if this is fake or not but it is good advice:

dd0pvuiuqaaduge

Also from 2016:  ‘Let Me Be Unpresidential a Little While Longer’

“My wife is always saying — and Ivanka. you’ve heard of her, right? ‘Darling, be more presidential. Daddy, be more presidential.’ I will, but I have to knock off the final two first, right? I can be presidential. If I was presidential, only twenty percent of you would be here because I’ll be boring as hell. Let me be unpresidential just for a little while longer. And maybe I’ll be a little bit unpresidential as I beat Hillary.”

He certainly isn’t boring, and he continues to look more unpresidential as he keeps tweeting and speaking.

More from @WestWingReport:

‘s tweets continue to distract attention from very serious matters – and the media continues to play along (more).

Tweets distract from:

  1. Slowing U.S. economy
  2. Slowing U.S. job growth
  3. Deficit rising faster than expected
  4. No big legislative wins
  5. Criminal probe at WH gate
  6. Global confidence in U.S. has plunged

U.S. job growth for the 12 months ended May 2017 is running at 97% of the same period ended in 2016 (source: Trump’s own Labor Dept).

Leave a comment

17 Comments

  1. Brown

     /  July 4, 2017

    Actions speak louder than words. That’s why we should watch politicians rather than listen to them.

    Reply
  2. Alan Wilkinson

     /  July 4, 2017

    It is pointless comparing this to New Zealand poll results.

    No it isn’t. We are used to a majority of the population not supporting the Government but disagreeing on the alternative. No reason why the US should not be the same.

    The most useful comparison is with previous US presidents at a similar time into their term.

    Useful for what? It might show how the US is changing, how this President is different, how the media is behaving, what the effect of social and technological change has been or none of the above. It won’t show whether the US is abnormal compared with other countries or our own.

    Reply
  3. Zedd

     /  July 4, 2017

    Mr T goes on constantly about ‘fake news’ what can he expect.. when they are reporting on a FAKE President ? 😀

    All he does is; Grand-stand, & act the fool.. & all the ‘Red-necks’ are fooled by it

    Reply
    • Alan Wilkinson

       /  July 4, 2017

      If that’s all he does, why do the Left care so much?

      Reply
      • Anonymous Coward

         /  July 4, 2017

        Because he’s supposed to be presidential?

        Reply
        • Alan Wilkinson

           /  July 4, 2017

          Probably. The Left can’t tolerate difference.

          Reply
      • Zedd

         /  July 4, 2017

        @AW
        mainly because we dont want this kinda B-S in NZ..

        btw Al you sound like, your slipping; didnt call us the ‘LOONY LEFT’ as usual ?! :/

        Reply
        • Alan Wilkinson

           /  July 4, 2017

          I’ve explained before, Zedd, that to qualify as loony, Lefties have to demonstrate exceptional half-wittedness. Not all manage that.

          Reply
          • Pete Kane

             /  July 4, 2017

            Great line I have to admit Doctor.

            Reply
          • Zedd

             /  July 4, 2017

            it has stopped you, insulting us like that before… 😦

            Reply
            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  July 4, 2017

              ? Only if you self-identify, Zedd.

            • Zedd

               /  July 4, 2017

              typo; s/be: it has NOT stopped you, insulting…

            • Gezza

               /  July 4, 2017

              Man. That’s an effing good example of how missing out one word makes all the difference.

            • Zedd

               /  July 4, 2017

              @AW

              OR have you decided that hurling generalisations & cheap insults.. actually lowers YOUR credibility ? :/

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  July 4, 2017

              What on earth gives you the notion that I care about credibility, Zedd?

            • Zedd

               /  July 4, 2017

              really Alan ? 😀

  4. This one surprises me.

    I don’t think impeachment is justified. Not liking or being embarrassed by your president isn’t a good enough reason.

    Reply

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