Very promising start by Ardern

As looked inevitable Andrew stepped down this morning, and Jacinda Ardern stepped up to take over as the youngest Labour Party leader. In support is Kelvin Davis, the first Labour Maori deputy leader.

Ardern impressed many with her first media conference. After what will have been a very full on day or two for her she dealt with the spotlight with relaxed looking aplomb, as if her elevation was just another step up in her planned political pathway.

The media are rapt. They virtually gave up on Little last year, and appeared to dispair covering an election campaign featuring Little and Bill English.

They increased their promotion of Ardern from early this year, playing a part in ousting Annette King and having Ardern replace her as Little’s deputy.

I doubt that this leadership change was planned, but after Little fatally damaged his career the changeover has almost looked slick, remarkable from a party that has bumbled for nine years. Some in the party seem to have been well prepared for the opportunity.

There’s no doubt that this changes the election campaign substantially for all the major players.

National still have a significant advantage but will have to be careful how they deal with Ardern. English shook her hand as soon as he arrived in the debating chamber today. They need to attack Labour’s policies and their disarray without attacking Ardern personally, or they could come unstuck.

Ardern has gained the spotlight and taken the wind out of Metiria Turei’s sails. The Greens will have to quickly adapt to a much different contest.

Winston Peters tried to dismiss it all but NZ First may find their ambitions harder to achieve now too. He looked a bit deflated. Two much younger female party leaders have stolen his thunder.

The polls might tell us a bit about the effect of this upheaval, but they are unlikely to be able to keep up with a rapidly evolving campaign.

Ardern has jumped at an opportunity with accomplished relish, Labour have a possible game saver if not changer, the media have the personality their campaign lacked, and everyone else will have to rapidly assess where things stand now – the only certainty is that things are markedly different – and reassess their approach.

It’s impossible to know how politicians will measure up when they step up into leadership roles. They have to rapidly learn on the job.

Little never rose to the occasion.

Ardern has made a very promising start, but she has a very challenging two or three months ahead of her.

I think she should stem Labour’s slide, but only time will tell whether she can lead a recovery or not.

Labour have been quick to package Ardern:

Ardern1

 

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29 Comments

  1. Tipene

     /  August 1, 2017

    Dead. Cat. Bounce. Coming

    Reply
  2. lurcher1948

     /  August 1, 2017

    To little to late NATIONAL, they are are a blast back in the past

    Reply
  3. Brown

     /  August 1, 2017

    Wife has TV3 on. I thought for a second Jesus had returned what with the fawning from the media but realised that it was just Labour swapping one deal loss for another. The level of bias shown would be embarrassing to real journalists but the bastards on TV clearly have no scruples. In my view Adern’s a political snow flake without a real world skill set and neither qualified nor suitable for a leadership role in international affairs.

    Reply
    • Gezza

       /  August 1, 2017

      Last line. Yup. I reckon even Jesus would go with us on that one, Browny.

      Reply
      • Gezza

         /  August 1, 2017

        1ewes – Winston Peters: “Ah look, I’m sorry” (walking thru the media) “we’re 7 weeks from the election: I wanna deal with something serious!”

        Reply
        • Corky

           /  August 1, 2017

          Yes. that’s what I wanted to remember lol.

          Reply
          • Gezza

             /  August 1, 2017

            I’ve never seen such a large vacuum packed into such a small person as Jacinda, Corks.

            Reply
            • Corky

               /  August 1, 2017

              Perception is everything. Sadly, whether Cindy is measured by weight or volume, it wont matter. She’s like, so cool. And she’s like, has beautiful skin and a killer smile. And her face isn’t all wrinkly like Bill or Winnies. They look like, so yucky. Yeah, go Cindy…go girlfriend.

              Geez, I need to take a few days off.

            • Gezza

               /  August 1, 2017

              She’s dum bro.
              Days off? Wot’s up?
              You better not be tryin to track me down Corks!

            • Corky

               /  August 1, 2017

              Of course not. Just disappointed I wont see Andy concede to Billy English. In fact Billy , Winnie, and Earth Mother now have a problem

            • Gezza

               /  August 1, 2017

              Righto. I’ve stood down the Neighbourhood Watch group. 👍🏼

    • Gezza

       /  August 1, 2017

      Wot u sed!

      Reply
  4. Corky

     /  August 1, 2017

    Cindy has forsaken Mikey Hoskings in favour of those wet drip liberals on the Project, at Seven. It’s a clear message to the media what’d be expected of them. Mikey is yesterdays news unless he gets to moderate the Leaders Debate , then he can can deliver some utu.

    I can see Labour up to 30% again. Like I said, this will be a test of voter IQ.

    Reply
  5. Ray

     /  August 1, 2017

    Never been a fan of Ardern but she is the first Labour leader since Clark who looked like she can do the job, quite impressive considering it all happened today.
    Hopefully she will drag the Green vote back and I know this is dreaming but suck up Winston’s vote.

    Reply
    • Corky

       /  August 1, 2017

      Nothings off the table now.

      Reply
      • Alan Wilkinson

         /  August 1, 2017

        She’s made for TV – she thinks in clichés. We’ll see how she acts and whether clichés can win a debate.

        Reply
    • Gezza

       /  August 1, 2017

      I’m telling ya, it’s hopeless!

      Older Dads won’t vote for her because she’s just a silly dreamer.
      Older Mums won’t vote for her for the same reason, plus she hasn’t got any kids.
      Younger dads & other thinking blokes won’t vote for her because she’s dim.
      Younger mums won’t for her because she hasn’t got any kids & nobody asked them to apoear in Women’s Day. In fact, what’s Women’s Day?
      And 18 -25 year olds won’t vote for her becoz she a try-hard pretending to be wunna them & she’s not!
      The only ones who might vote for he are still in kindy!

      Quite happy to have this paper’s above conclusions assessed & marked by intelligent commenters. Will adjust & do a v1.1 if necessary thereafter.

      Reply
      • Gezza

         /  August 1, 2017

        😡 * The only ones who might vote for HER are still in kindy!
        Soz.

        Reply
    • All happened today? Are you naive…. this has been a few years in the making staring from the early positioning in the woman’s mags. Andy has been a dead man walking for at least 8-9 months, and it only got worse when Annette was unceremoniously shafted by Gracindas crew with media help…..

      I thought about voting for Andy – but I won’t vote for a woman with zero experience of actually doing anything much except politics

      Reply
  6. oldlaker

     /  August 1, 2017

    Gee, people on the right are sure getting worked up about an airhead who’s just a pretty face, who is all style and no substance… she’s no threat to Bill English’s population and housing ponzi so just relax (or chill as the under-40s say). The reaction from the right is making the punters think she might just not be the brainless twerp they say.

    Reply
    • Gezza

       /  August 1, 2017

      Who cares wot the right think? Wankaz.
      It’s wot the centre think that counts.

      Reply
    • David

       /  August 1, 2017

      “Gee, people on the right are sure getting worked up about an airhead who’s just a pretty face, who is all style and no substance”

      But she has very nice teeth.

      Reply
  7. the long suicide note continues…. Jacinda is a huge nothing…..I can’t wait for the leaders debates…… Jacinda gets flummoxed in the house when pushed back on, how the hell is she going to handle a facts merchant like Billy one on one with everything riding on the outcome?

    Reply
  8. The trick is what stamp she will put on new policies, shes hinting she wants to add something new.

    Reply
    • Gezza

       /  August 1, 2017

      It’s likely to be the equivalent of a pretty pink bow.

      Reply
    • Gezza

       /  August 2, 2017

      I really don’t think you understand the gravity of the situation Shane.
      This is a tragedy of humungous proportions for the Labour Party.

      Making Jacinda the leader of this party is a decision so incredibly, inexplicably stupid, a word hasn’t yet been invented that can even describe this level of daftness. Moronic might come close.

      I’ll probably have more to say about this after, I dunno, 7am Wednesday morning? Right at the moment I need to do some work to try & stop my mind boggling.

      Reply
      • Brown

         /  August 2, 2017

        Jacinda says she worked under Helen Clark and would appear to have survived that. Clark hated being around competency in case she got knifed (her great weakness) and got rid of competent competition. That Jacinda survived is a negative in my view – had she been any good at anything she’d have been dumped years ago.

        Reply

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