More polls

Yesterday the Colmar Brunton poll had Labour ahead of National for the first time in over twelve years, by 43% to 41% – see 1 News/Colmar Brunton – Labour lead.

Both Labour and National internal polling is reported as being similar but with Labour not ahead.

In last night’s debate Bill English said that National’s internal poll was “a bit better than 41%”.  And from Stuff:  Labour internal polls don’t have them ahead of National

…it’s understood Nationals’ internal polling has them still in the lead but with Labour closing.

And Jacinda Ardern says their internal polling does not have Labour ahead:

On Friday, speaking in her home electorate of Mt Albert, Ardern confirmed Labour’s internal polls did not have her party ahead of National.

It’s understood Labour’s internal tracking polling has both parties neck and neck both slightly above 40 per cent.

Colmar Brunton asked another question in their poll:

‘Would you be comfortable with the leader of NZ First, Winston Peters, taking a senior Cabinet position in the next Government, such as Finance Minister or Deputy Prime Minister?’

  • Yes 40%
  • No 51%
  • Don’t know 9%

That doesn’t really mean very much. I think it would depend on what role he was given, and how many votes NZ First gets.

I think he would struggle with all the travel involved in Foreign Affairs or Trade, and wouldn’t be a good match for Minister for Women or for Children, but there’s a few roles he could probably fill ok.

When asked about the poll Peters just grumped and asked what relevance it had.

Ardern was asked about it too and she said that she had ruled out having Peters as Deputy Prime Minister or Minister of Finance, but wouldn’t go further than that at this stage.

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15 Comments

  1. Blazer

     /  September 1, 2017

    Monday nights debate will be much,much better….mark my words.

    Reply
    • Gezza

       /  September 1, 2017

      Yup. I reckon. This one will sort out who’s the sharpest & fastest on the draw @ tactical development & detail. Gonna be a ripper. 👍🏼

      Reply
  2. Gezza

     /  September 1, 2017

    Reply
  3. Gezza

     /  September 1, 2017

    .

    Reply
    • patupaiarehe

       /  September 1, 2017

      Reply
      • Gezza

         /  September 1, 2017

        should we maybe start a Givealittle page for PDB?

        Reply
        • patupaiarehe

           /  September 1, 2017

          Why would we do that G?

          Reply
          • Gezza

             /  September 1, 2017

            He’s so dire in his predictions of economic disaster if Labour wins, maybe he needs a few extra pfennigs to insulate himself from ruin – yeah nah just teasing.
            More serious point below. But nearly your bedtime I imagine?

            Reply
      • Gezza

         /  September 1, 2017

        Doesn’t really matter how well she does in the next debate, I think Jacinda’s weak point is her team.

        Reply
        • patupaiarehe

           /  September 1, 2017

          IMO her weak point is that she won’t give a straight answer about taxation.

          Reply
          • Gezza

             /  September 1, 2017

            Yeah, but that’s down to her team to have those answers. It’s admittedly harder to get & crunch numbers as the opposition because you don’t have a bevy of cowed Chief Execs to prod for the info you want as a Minister.

            Reply

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