Total votes and turnout

Total provisional votes: 2,169,802

Special votes (about): 384,000

Estimated total votes: 2,553,802

Total votes in 2014: 2,416,479

Approximate increase in votes 2014 to 2017:  137,323

Estimated eligible voters: 3,569,830

Estimated turnout of eligible voters: 71.5%
BUT the statistics commonly used are percentage of enrolled voters.

Estimated turnout of enrolled voters: 78.8%

So that is a slight increase on last election (where Labour did very poorly). Past turnout:

ElectionTurnout

http://www.electionresults.govt.nz/index.html

http://www.elections.org.nz/research-statistics/enrolment-statistics-electorate

http://www.elections.org.nz/news-media/preliminary-results-2017-general-election

http://www.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/snapshots-of-nz/nz-social-indicators/Home/Trust%20and%20participation%20in%20government/voter-turnout.aspx

15 Comments

  1. Gezza

     /  September 24, 2017

    Record LOW turnout?
    Sht. That’s a surprise.
    With the politics chatting going on round where I live, the dairy, neighbours, I thought this one would be higher.
    Bloody Corky! 😡

  2. NOEL

     /  September 24, 2017

    No surprises really. A lot of hype on the increased eligibility numbers was extroplated to more in the booths.

  3. I have corrected the estimated turnout. The Electoral Commission uses percentage of enrolled voters rather than percentage of eligible voters.

    So the turnout improved slightly, – a very modest increase considering the turnoff of David Cunliffe last election, and the hype over get out the vote campaigns and engaging young voters.

  4. Zedd

     /  September 24, 2017

    Estimated eligible voters: 3,569,830

    Estimated total votes: 2,553,802

    even though the vote total did increase.. we are still seeing ‘the missing million’ AGAIN

    ‘Apathy is the biggest enemy of democracy’ & this is MMP not FPP, the MSM have almost painted this election in a FPP light; Lab./Grn V Natz. But the joke is NZF could be the biggest winners !? :/

    btw; If the thresh-hold was at 2% (as many have called for) then TOP would be in too.

    The other ‘winner’ in this campaign; LIES & DIRTY politics from the right, inc. deal with Act to get an extra seat, above their PV total & B-S about Lab. tax & $11.7bil hole (that does NOT exist, but seems to have stuck in many tory minds) 😦

    It aint over ’til the ‘fat lady’ OR maybe ‘Winston’ sings ? 😀

    • Lies and Dirty politics from National…… yeah like Labour and the greens are pure like the driven snow Zedd.

      What I do agree on is your apathy comment. People don’t actually engage and think things through. Too much voting on feels and fluff….

      • Gezza

         /  September 24, 2017

        You can thank the msm for some of that. Coverage was slipshod. Some online, tech probs, some on tv. Shambles.

    • David

       /  September 24, 2017

      “The other ‘winner’ in this campaign; LIES & DIRTY politics from the right, inc. deal with Act to get an extra seat, above their PV total & B-S about Lab. tax & $11.7bil hole (that does NOT exist, but seems to have stuck in many tory minds)”

      Does not exist? The only argument is about how big that hole will be, not as to it’s existence.

  5. So what we are seeing is the emergence of a non-appetite for small parties. UF gone finally, ACT on life support, Maori Party gone

    Zedd calls for 2% threshold but I think that is too low. 3.5% would be fair in my view. Would prevent the lunacy that permeates the Israeli parliament – i.e. a smorgasbord of super small ultra zealot fringe parties needing to be brought together around 2-3 largish parties to form a government that can rule, BUT would allow new parties to emerge TOP, Internet, Conservative, even ACT emerge BECAUSE the fear of a wasted vote drops away quite a bit….

    We need a reformation of politics in NZ – no doubt about. But its a reformation not just of the system structure BUT also of peoples engagement with substantive issues based politics – smile and wave politics does no one any good…

    • Alan Wilkinson

       /  September 24, 2017

      We can’t have better politics without a better electorate. Key’s success was based on giving the electorate what it wanted even when it was stupid. English has learnt that lesson.

      • I have had this conversation with a few people – you want better politics be a better voter and demand more! A number of people have said Jacinda is wonderful and a breathe of fresh air. When I have said but Labour hasn’t changed they say yes it has. I ask what major policies are, how they have changed and they have zero idea…Smile and Wave influences them and I despair….

        We need a strictly non partisan module in schools around Civics so late Teens have a chance to understand a stuff a bit better before confronting their first chance to vote.. I would support it but for the fact the teacher Unions are so anti Centre and Right politics, so it would be just another indoctrination opportunity for Labours supporters.

  6. David

     /  September 24, 2017

    Here is Toby Manhire writing some fake news about how it was fake news that sunk Jacinda in the Guardian. Funny, next thing he will be claiming it was the Russians…..

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/sep/23/arderns-new-zealand-election-bid-punctured-by-post-truth-politics

    • Alan Wilkinson

       /  September 24, 2017

      Manhire is always a Lefty fantasist.

      • Blazer

         /  September 24, 2017

        could be worse Al…at least he’s not a ‘loony lefty,fantasist’.

        • Alan Wilkinson

           /  September 25, 2017

          Maybe he is by now, B. I stopped reading his stuff a while ago: cueless and boring.

          • Gezza

             /  September 25, 2017

            Morning Al. Well, it is here. Gave you an uptick for generosity of spirit. Been up for a while writing, but I need a nana nap now before the local birdlife descends on me for breakfast.