Roy Morgan post-election poll

The first post-election poll is from Roy Morgan:

  • National 46%
  • Labour 31%
  • Greens 11%
  • NZ First 6.5%
  • TOP 2.0%
  • Maori Party 1.5%
  • ACT Party 0.5%

It’s a bit surprising to see Labour down 5% from their election result, and Greens up 5% on  their’s

Combined totals:

  • Labour+Greens 42%
  • Labour+NZ First 37.5%
  • Labour+Greens+NZ First 48.5%

The polling period was 25 September to 8 October, so straight after the election but before Winston Peters chose tenable a government with Labour and Greens.

Of course these results don’t matter but they are of a little bit of interest to see how the public views the parties after the election.

Election results since MMP started plus polls before and after this election:

RoyMorgan1996-2017Elections

http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7379-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-october-2017-201710270443

 

 

 

Leave a comment

10 Comments

  1. Tipene

     /  27th October 2017

    So, Centre-left MMP Govt at 48.5%,and National no-mates FPP opposition at 46%.

    Maybe Patrick Gower is right: National may well be consigned to opposition for a term beyond this current Election cycle.

    We can only hope…..

    Reply
  2. patupaiarehe

     /  27th October 2017

    It’s a bit surprising to see Labour down 5% from their election result, and Greens up 5% on their’s

    Not really. It’s more a reflection of the accuracy of the poll, than anything else…

    Reply
  3. duperez

     /  28th October 2017

    The idiocy our world re-emphasised. Let’s have political polls every fortnight for the next three years, get absorbed in them, what the results show and what they mean.

    The ultimate navel gazing. If some poll company gets in touch with me I’ll tell them to naff off.

    Reply
    • Roy Morgan consistently poll each month. I think it’s of interest in watching politics, but nothing to Gower about.

      Reply
    • Gezza

       /  28th October 2017

      Why not just email them all & tell them your number so they can blacklist your number as an abusive one & save you having to even go thru the hassle of answering?

      Reply
  4. Alan Wilkinson

     /  28th October 2017

    Based on its record its hard to take Morgan poll fluctuations seriously. If it’s hard to see how they make sense they probably don’t.

    Reply
  5. Blazer

     /  28th October 2017

    wildly fluctuating polls..Morgans playing with his…organ.

    Reply

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