Northcote by-election 9 June

The Northcote by-election has been set down for 9 June, exactly two months away – I guess it takes that long to organise things.

It has been won comfortably (6,210 majority) by the retiring MP Jonathan Coleman, but by-elections can be very unpredictable. It’s hard to know whether the result will mean much about Labour’s performance leading the new government, or National in the wake of Bill English and Steven Joyce (and now Coleman).

It is a couple of weeks after the budget, a week after Queens Birthday weekend, and the same day as an All Black test against France – these used to be supposedly weekends to avoid for elections but there are that many tests (and quite a few by-elections) these days so I don’t think it will matter.

Both National and Labour have already been receiving nominations from prospective candidates and I think will announce who will be contesting by Sunday.

It’s likely that many will try to make much out of not much.

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