Newshub/Reid Research poll – May 2018

The first poll since the budget, from Newshub/Reid Research:

  • National 45.1% (up 0.6%)
  • Labour 42.6% (up 0.3%)
  • Greens 5.7% (down 0.3%)
  • NZ First 2.4% (down 1.2%)

ACT, Maori Party and The Opportunities Party were not mentioned.

The only movement that is statistically significant is the drop for NZ First.

National and Labour will be happy their support is holding up – perhaps surprisingly for National given the amount of publicity Jacinda Ardern has had internationally recently and with her pregnancy, and how much attention Labour got out of last week’s budget.

Preferred Prime Minister:

  • Jacinda Ardern 40.2%
  • Simon Bridges 9.0%
  • Winston Peters 4.6%
  • Judith Collins 3.7%

Not surprising to see Ardern well ahead. Bridges is struggling be be seen or liked.  Support of Peters is waning ahead of him becoming acting Prime Minister soon.

Judith Collins makes her debut – she has been the most prominent and effective Opposition MP, and liked by some in the National Party.

39% said Peters would ‘do well’ in the top job.

Newshub stories:

32 Comments

  1. sorethumb

     /  May 27, 2018

    NZ First stopped a marine reserve – thanks for the campaign contribution?
    NZ Firsts popularity has always been as a brake on PC and mass migration. Devoy was NZ firsts biggest vote maker. Now they are de-sexed – just part of the system.

    • sorethumb

       /  May 27, 2018

      One of those Italian Parties got 25%. No hordings; not allowed to talk to reporters.

  2. 100% of Winston Peters thinks Winston Peters will do a top job as top politician.

    • patupaiarehe

       /  May 27, 2018

      Winston can go & shave his arse, as far as I’m concerned. He campaigned on reducing tax on “the working mans pleasures”, then did nothing about it once voted in. I won’t be making the same mistake again, as won’t tens of thousands of others.

      • Gezza

         /  May 27, 2018

        You can’t say you weren’t warned, Patu. The man’s principles are as solid as jelly & all of his bottim lines & policy statements aren’t worth the paper you voted on.

        • Gezza

           /  May 27, 2018

          😀 *bottom.

          • patupaiarehe

             /  May 27, 2018

            I’m quite looking forward to his next public appearance in Tauranga, so that I can voice my concerns in the nicest way possible, of course.. 😉

            • Gezza

               /  May 27, 2018

              Actually I’ve been a bit overly harsh above. Most of his bottom lines are more bottom than line, & most of his policy statements are just intended to get votes off redneck, suckers with short memories, or dementia patients, imo – but some of the commitment to regional roading & development may end up doing some good for the regions. Early days though – and with the Hon Shane Geoffery Jones, PCn, FCOTP in charge of the PGF anything could happen.

            • Gezza

               /  May 27, 2018

              He’s given up smoking though, I’m guessing because he’s got COPD. Can you get someone to video it when you voice your concerns at his next public appearance in Tauranga & post that, with his reaction, here?

            • patupaiarehe

               /  May 27, 2018

              G, he’s only given up smoking because it is unaffordable, even on his salary 😉

      • Corky

         /  May 27, 2018

        I’m sorry, Patu. But Winston my trump you with Godwits.

        • patupaiarehe

           /  May 27, 2018

          Oh hello Corky. Dont lie, you’re not sorry at all 😉

          • Corky

             /  May 27, 2018

            Quite true. It was an informal pleasantry.

        • Corky

           /  May 27, 2018

          *may*

  3. Zedd

     /  May 27, 2018

    shuffling deck chairs

    • Kitty Catkin

       /  May 27, 2018

      I wish he was, on a desert island so small that it can’t be seen from the air.

      • sorethumb

         /  May 27, 2018

        Sure as hell there would be indigenous people there. Also you might get missionaries from various religions. The Chinese would set up tourist shops.
        ………
        Sorry about that.

        • Kitty Catkin

           /  May 28, 2018

          No, it’s far too small for that. There’d be room for a little hut and a tree and not much more.

  4. PartisanZ

     /  May 27, 2018

    One thing this poll proves beyond doubt …

    Most Kiwis are nowhere near as dumb as Righties think they are … and there are a lot fewer Righties than most Kiwis think!

    An excellent result for Labour-led, with the weak link coalition Party fading into oblivion as expected … despite the ongoing popularity of and public confidence in its leader … much needed for his temporary Prime Ministership …

    • Grimm

       /  May 27, 2018

      “nowhere near as dumb as Righties think”

      How dumb do righties think people are?

      One thing your comment proves beyond doubt, is your propensity to project.

      • Zedd

         /  May 28, 2018

        “nowhere near as dumb as Righties think” sez Grimm

        those who call us ‘loony left’ have such an opinon.. sez ai :/

    • David

       /  May 27, 2018

      National on 45% and National lite on 42% is pretty convincing, the only left party on5.7%.

    • Corky

       /  May 27, 2018

      Hold your horses, Parti. I wouldn’t put too much faith in this poll. Start crowing after the Auckland petrol tax has been in effect for a least a year and the education system is in limbo..and all those beanies are just getting used to the energy payments to buy extra drugs…or food, and then it’s taken away again.

  5. Blazer

     /  May 27, 2018

    non event margin of error ..poll.

  6. duperez

     /  May 27, 2018

    An exercise in silliness when you see “In terms of Parliament seats that gives Labour and the Greens 63 seats while National – with the help of ACT – pull in 59 seats.”

  7. David

     /  May 27, 2018

    What a fabulous result, for me a brilliant poll. Ardern had better not take more than 4 hours off and chuck the sprog at Gayford and head back to work.

  8. Gezza

     /  May 27, 2018

    Don’t really think this one’s going to worry Labour or Jacinda at all.

    Anybody’s guess what’ll happen when Peters is in the Cabinet chair. Could just surprise all & be steady as she goes, in daily consultation with the new mum (& dad?), or a complete bloody shambles, no way of telling. I’m looking forward to his Press Conferences & wondering if he’ll be the architect of a major revolt against Speaker Trev.

    Simon should start sweating.

  9. duperez

     /  May 27, 2018

    What the poll means part two:

    If Simon Bridges had polled at 17% there would have been a post on Kiwiblog tonight. He didn’t, there wasn’t.

  10. Tipene

     /  May 27, 2018

    What this poll means, and the one before it, and the one that comes next is that the centre-right haven’t got a snowballs chance in hell of regaining 61 seats.

    NZ First has delivered up a hard-left socialist govt, betraying their core constituency in the process, are now paying the price – but it’s all way, way too late.

    Our borders are broken, our free speech rights are being eroded by stealth, and our property rights are under threat.

    When the SHTF, don’t rely on the State to protect you – protect yourself.

    • Gezza

       /  May 27, 2018

      Wake up! Wake up, buddy. You’re having just a nightmare. You’re a Kiwi in New Zealand, not a Venezuelan in Venzuela.

      • Tipene

         /  May 28, 2018

        That’s just it – I am awake.

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