95% of vehicles need to be zero-emission by 2050

Minister of Climate Change James Shaw has a very ambitious target for “the ground vehicle fleet” (cars, trucks, buses and trains) – he says that 95% need to be zero emission by 2050. That means electric, person powered or powered by some other zero emission fuel.

RNZ: Carbon neutral goal reliant on electric cars – Govt

If New Zealand is to meet its zero carbon pledge, nearly all the country’s cars will have to be zero-emission by 2050, Climate Change Minister James Shaw says.

Mr Shaw said achieving the country’s commitment to be carbon neutral by 2050 was reliant on significantly boosting the uptake of plug-in vehicles.

“We can’t get to the zero-emissions carbon goal without switching over the ground vehicle fleet to electrics. You just can’t get there,” he said.

“We think that means about 95 percent of vehicles in the year 2050 will be zero-emissions vehicles.”

That’s an ambitious target given the current use of electric vehicles.

As of June, roughly 8700 plug-in cars are on the road of a total fleet of more than four million.

That’s about 2%, so a long way to go.

Not only will it mean a huge increase in electric vehicles, it will also mean disposing of a large number of petrol and diesel fueled vehicles.

Associate Transport Minister Julie-Anne Genter dismissed the suggestion that was unrealistic.

“What is possible in 2030 will be far different from what we imagine being possible today.”

We simply don’t know what will be possible in 2030, or in 2050.

Not only will it need a massive change in vehicle type, and if the Greens achieve what they want a massive shift to public transport, it will require a large increase in electricity production.

Zero emissions will need to apply to vehicle manufacturing as well.

There is unlikely to be a major change to hydro capacity because flooding land is not very popular these days.

Wind and solar energy are only a part of the solution.

The target is unrealistic until the Government comes up with a viable plan.

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27 Comments

  1. Grimm

     /  July 13, 2018

    The Greens will be dumped at the next election, so not worth spending too much time on.

    Reply
    • Labour and National have committed themselves to the same overall target, which will have to be achieved somehow.

      Reply
      • Grimm

         /  July 13, 2018

        It’s easy to make bold proclamations about the future, when all you are after is votes in the next cycle.

        Germany led the way 20 years ago with Green tech nonsense. Now it’s crumbling around them. And they’ve just been busted quietly importing tens of billions if dollars of gas each year from Russia. Hopefully they won’t need all that once all their new coal powered generation is on stream.

        Reply
        • David

           /  July 13, 2018

          And the UK are struggling with their zero carbon goal too which is leaving them in a very precarious position..importing wood chips from the US because they are renewable ended up being a bigger carbon footprint than running the plant on coal.

          Reply
        • Griff

           /  July 13, 2018

          Yet again .
          In case you did not know Germany decided to retire its nuclear plants after the Fukushima incident.
          They think one chance in 250* that a nuclear plant will have a catastrophic melt down during its life time is not worth the risk.
          Else they have actually been relatively successful on the journey towards carbon free .
          But … right wing ….who needs facts when you can repeat bullshite .

          *450 commercial nuclear generation plants built two have had catastrophic failures so far.

          Reply
          • Grimm

             /  July 13, 2018

            “relatively successful on the journey towards carbon free”

            You’re in a parallel universe. They’re the biggest miners and users of lignite in the world. Their emissions are growing rapdly despite them beating up on everyone else to change.

            Reply
            • Grimm

               /  July 13, 2018

              Yep, the Germans have spent over $200 Billion subsidising renewables, to create the most expensive power in Europe, making way for the AfD to get into parliament. And still their emissions are growing rapidly.

              So, what do you mean by “relatively successful on the journey towards carbon free”? Relative to what?

            • Griff

               /  July 13, 2018

              ROFL
              See the pretty picture .
              It tells a nice little story to those of us who can read and understand graphs.
              You however ….maybe going back to primary school might help.

            • Grimm

               /  July 13, 2018

              Pretty pictures and rolling on the floor ain’t helping emissions though are they. It’s a green con that’s not working to reduce emissions.
              https://edition.cnn.com/2017/07/25/opinions/germany-climate-change-secret-paul-hockenos/index.html

            • Griff

               /  July 13, 2018

              look at the pretty picture. It is called a graph and gives a representation of Germany’s energy use over the last fifteen years
              Renewable energy made up 36% of Germany’s power generation in 2017 up from 5% fifteen years ago. Germany has already reached their Energiewende 2020 goals of 35%. At the present rate of growth in renewable energy Germany will be carbon free for electrical generation by 2030.
              Coal and nuclear have both declined .
              The reason why they have not made more of a dent in coal use is the fact they decided to prioritize retiring nuclear due to the risk of catastrophic failure.
              Germany is successfully continuing a transition to clean renewable energy. No amount of gibbering from the Ignorant in dumbfuck USA will change this fact as Germany’s actual energy generation shows.

              Fuck me…. so deluded he is disputing actual facts in easy to digest form.

            • Grimm

               /  July 13, 2018

              Double down all you like. If C02 is increasing, whatever they are doing, ain’t working.

              We’ll have it sorted by 2030 though, won’t we? Or 2050, or whatever.

              Roll on the floor as much as you like, but no signatory to Paris has made any meaningful change.

              Cept Merica.

            • Griff

               /  July 14, 2018

              “no signatory to Paris has made any meaningful change.”
              Yess make up shite like a Trumpie.
              How gibbering side of the right wing of you.

              The UK’s total CO2 emissions are currently 38% below 1990 levels and are now as low as emissions were back in 1890 – the year the Forth Bridge opened in Scotland and Oscar Wilde’s The Picture of Dorian Gray was published.

              https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-uk-carbon-emissions-in-2017-fell-to-levels-last-seen-in-1890

              Greenhouse gas emissions in the EU down by 22 % between 1990 and 2016.
              pa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Greenhouse_gas_emission_statistics_-_emission_inventories

        • When you say ‘gas from Russia’ is that gas as in propane or petrol ?

          Reply
      • Alan Wilkinson

         /  July 13, 2018

        Why will it have to be achieved? Parliament can change its mind at any moment and has 32 years to do it.

        Reply
  2. sorethumb

     /  July 13, 2018

    I read that the manufacture of a vehicle uses more FF than it will use in it’s lifetime???

    Reply
  3. NOEL

     /  July 13, 2018

    Targets wondwerful things. Now lets see smoking not achieved. Recidivist prisioners not achieved etc etc. Yeah wonderful dreams.

    On cars when you can guarantee me an electric vehicle with a battery that wont cost thousands to replace at 300,000 kms I might look at them.

    Reply
    • Fight4NZ

       /  July 14, 2018

      How many petrol vehicles are running at over 300000km?

      Reply
  4. David

     /  July 13, 2018

    If Shaw actually believed in this he would grow a pair and say right we need to plan for a big increase in electricity demand so lets start planning and implementing a new hydro power plant, sure there will be some local damage but the goal is to rid the country of fossil fuel burning vehicles..the greater good.
    Chicken shit virtue signallers are a disgrace, always coming up with the idea but never having a plan to actually achieve it.

    Reply
    • David

       /  July 13, 2018

      Having said that the electric Range Rover is on my wish list for my next vehicle, the acceleration is off the grid.

      Reply
  5. Alan Wilkinson

     /  July 13, 2018

    There is nothing less reliable than a politician’s promises. The need is plucked out of thin air and the solution is mere guesswork.

    Reply
  1. 95% of vehicles need to be zero-emission by 2050 — Your NZ – NZ Conservative Coalition

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