1 News Colmar Brunton poll

Polls are relatively rare these days. here’s the latest from Colmar Brunton (1 News):

  • National 45% (no change)
  • Labour 42% (down 1)
  • Greens 6% (up 1)
  • NZ First 5% (up 1)
  • ACT 1% (no change)
  • Maori party 1% (no change)

Refuse too answer 4%, undecided 12%.

So not much movement there. National still maintaining a small lead over Labour, so the Ardern/baby effect and the Bridges effect seem to be making little difference for now.

Preferred Prime Minister:

  • Jacinda Ardern 40% (down 1)
  • Simon Bridges 10% (down 2)
  • Winston Peters 5% (up 1)

Bridges still failing to impress, that’s no surprise.

No significant lift for NZ First despite Peters getting a lot more exposure.

Field work (polling) 28 July – 1 August.

17 Comments

  1. Gezza

     /  August 5, 2018

    Jess did Simon down pretty blatantly on 1ewes. She commented that the poll was conducted during the time of the National Party Conference so his drumming n get to know him stuff didn’t help him at all.

    Simon was on saying it was early days & he didn’t expect support to be given to him on a platter.

  2. Gezza

     /  August 5, 2018

    I forget the exact percentages but folk were asked how Winnie rated as acting PM & the response was overwhelmingly positive for OK (56%?) or Well (not high) but – I think only 6% said he done bad.

  3. Corky

     /  August 5, 2018

    National need a partner. And a new leader. Unfortunately Bridges wife did him no favours with that damn awful dress she wore at the National Party Conference. Someone should have said something.

    • Gezza

       /  August 5, 2018

      What was wrong with it?

    • Gerrit

       /  August 5, 2018

      You kidding right? We now judge people not by their deeds and actions (or lack thereof) but by what their partners wears?

      Next you will be arguing that Grayford dressing as a metro male will loose Ardern rural voters.

  4. Blazer

     /  August 5, 2018

    the B team are doing O.K. Core National Party support is rock solid at 45%.

    I expect Lance O’Sullivan to pop up as leader of a new possible National Coalition partner sometime next year.

  5. oldlaker

     /  August 5, 2018

    Forty-five per cent is a great result for National after all the scandals that have been sheeted home recently to the previous administration… meth testing, Middlemore, mycoplasma bovis. And 53 per cent is excellent for the coalition, after a campaign by biz leaders to make everyone glum. Everyone wins this round! Except Simon on the preferred PM list… but that’s hardly serious either with such rock-solid support for the Nats.

    • PartisanZ

       /  August 6, 2018

      What an excellent summary oldlaker …

      Yes, it’s almost as though the ghost of old ‘untouchable’ John Key still stalks the corridors of power … encasing National in his miraculous and inexplicable teflon coating …

      If National need a partner, they’re not making a very good fist of looking ‘single’ and available, are they?

      Sadly I agree with Blazer. Behind the scenes negotiations are no doubt happening between the Nats and Dr Lance for him to appear as leader of a new party or possibly to parachute him into an electorate as a National candidate or onto their List …

      He’d only need to do one term before becoming National’s leader … unless of course National’s popularity plunges and desperate measures are required in 2020?

      • lurcher1948

         /  August 6, 2018

        Dr. Lance NOT another Maori, and national is rightwing, blue rinse racists,good luck with the rich white leafy suburbs,,, they want another whitey, 3 Maoris in a row…not much chance

        • PartisanZ

           /  August 6, 2018

          You might be right Lurcher … How about a Centre-Right Conservative Party with broad appeal, including to conservative Maori alternately disillusioned with NZFirst and the Maori Party …

  6. Zedd

     /  August 6, 2018

    deckchairs reshuffling.. Lab.-led Govt. still clearly in-front. How long will Bridges stay as ‘Leader’ on 10% & dropping !?

  7. PDB

     /  August 6, 2018

    What the poll does show is that National supporters strongly support the party regardless of Bridges being leader (one can only imagine their support if they had a better leader) and that Ardern is essentially all that is holding up the Labour %. NZL First and the Greens are barely over the 5% required when traditionally smaller parties in govt take a hit to their support at the following election.

    The Ardern fairy dust is clearing as economic reality sets in on her govt and their scatter gun approach to spending. People will only play along with the MSM-enabled baby diversion for so long before the hard questions start to be asked & ‘having a conversation’, ‘setting up another working group’ or ‘absolutely’ is not regarded as a satisfactory answer.

    • Blazer

       /  August 6, 2018

      first part excellent..2nd part..wishful thinking.
      National have convinced that core middle vote that they too can be winners as they spin like hamsters in the wheel..such a beautiful,clever construct..they actually deserve it.

  1. 1 News Colmar Brunton poll — Your NZ – NZ Conservative Coalition