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34 Comments

  1. Gezza

     /  November 21, 2018

    Happy 20th Birthday ISS
    Twenty years ago, the most ambitious construction project in the history of humanity – the International Space Station (ISS) – began with the launch of a Russian Proton rocket on November 20, 1998.

    Two weeks later, NASA followed suit with its own component – Unity.

    It is a beacon in the night sky that should already be out of use. But five years after the ISS mission was due to end, it continues to be a stellar success.

    The main partners – Russians, Americans and the European Space Agency – have agreed on funding through until 2024.

    Reply
  2. In case you didn’t notice, that’s a spoof Twitter account.

    Washington Examiner: Trump can do better than these Schitty insults

    When Trump goes on Twitter and calls Rep. Adam Schiff, the ranking Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, “Adam Schitt,” it isn’t a threat to the republic. It isn’t a constitutional crisis.

    It is, however, childish and stupid, and far beneath the dignity of the president’s office.

    Naturally, we do not expect Trump to stop being Trump for that or any other reason. He will take his customary combative stance against the committees that will inevitably go on investigating him, even after the Mueller investigation is long over.

    But he’s the president now. Surely he can do better than “Adam Schitt.”

    Don’t expect him to change, it’s his game plan.

    Reply
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  5. Griff.

     /  November 21, 2018

    Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions
    Abstract

    The ongoing emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs) is triggering changes in many climate hazards that can impact humanity. We found traceable evidence for 467 pathways by which human health, water, food, economy, infrastructure and security have been recently impacted by climate hazards such as warming, heatwaves, precipitation, drought, floods, fires, storms, sea-level rise and changes in natural land cover and ocean chemistry. By 2100, the world’s population will be exposed concurrently to the equivalent of the largest magnitude in one of these hazards if emmisions are aggressively reduced, or three if they are not, with some tropical coastal areas facing up to six simultaneous hazards. These findings highlight the fact that GHG emissions pose a broad threat to humanity by intensifying multiple hazards to which humanity is vulnerable.
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0315-6

    Reply
    • Alan Wilkinson

       /  November 21, 2018

      Obviously nature needs more road cones and a health and safety committee.

      Reply
      • Griff.

         /  November 21, 2018

        Gezza wonders why I give fuckwits shite.
        yess Alan a few road cones and a health and softy committee. will help when we get hit by a tropical cyclone
        You could of course rely on your mate Roy’s god to stop it .
        http://www.as.wvu.edu/biology/bio463/Seidel%20et%20al%202008%20Widening%20of%20tropical%20belt%20in%20a%20changing%20climate.pdf

        Reply
        • Alan Wilkinson

           /  November 21, 2018

          When we bought at Bland Bay 25 years ago the house across the road had recently lost its roof to a passing tropical cyclone. My first job was to put extra rails under our roof and wire them down. A friend engineer who worked on the Sky Tower in charge of all the cranes and construction methods designed for 200+ km/hr winds. The year it was built Auckland got 5 cyclones. All of his work survived them.

          Nature can be rough. Deal with it.

          Reply
          • Corky

             /  November 21, 2018

            Damn. Griff has been educated.

            Reply
          • Griff.

             /  November 21, 2018

            When we bought at Bland Bay 25 years ago the house across the road had recently lost its roof to a passing tropical cyclone

            Sorry Alan you are talking nonsense from a position of ignorance.
            We do not get tropical cyclones in NZ yet. We get extra tropical storms that are not as powerful as what you expect from an actual tropical cyclone.
            We do not build standard domestic housing for the full force of a tropical cyclone in NZ.
            The batch is a new build sitting on a ridge over looking the Pacific . The Branz code officially specified high wind zone for the site instead we overbuilt to the very high wind zone standard . Even then it will potentially be damaged by the wind gusts expected in a category two storm.

            Tropical cyclones are getting stronger and shifting pole ward.
            In time we will get hit by a real live one not just the remnants .

            Reply
            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  November 21, 2018

              In time anything may happen, Griff, including our own departure from concern. It certainly isn’t obvious that tropical cyclones are getting stronger up here given long history with them. The route they track is probably more critical. Same goes for Oz:
              https://dtc.nt.gov.au/arts-and-museums/northern-territory-archives-service/archives-subject-guides/cyclone-tracy-archives

            • Griff.

               /  November 21, 2018

              Slowly Alan
              I know its hard when someone presents facts that get in the way of your fantersy world view .
              I am repeating what published science says about tropical cyclones not gibbering whatever suits me to make up.
              They are heat engines.
              More energy = stronger storm .
              This is the physics of tropical cyclones in theory.The increasing power has been confirmed by actual measurements. Same goes for the poleward shift supported by theory and in the measured track of storms .
              Not what you pull from your arse or get from god addled cranks.

              https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/

            • robertguyton

               /  November 21, 2018

              “Not what you pull from your arse or get from god addled cranks.”
              I see what you mean, Gezza. Still, richly deserved, I bet. Good to see some Lefties fighting fire with fire! Perhaps I’m too polite…

            • Corky

               /  November 21, 2018

              ”Good to see some Lefties fighting fire with fire! Perhaps I’m too polite…”

              You jest my dear man!

              The fuckwit above is reduced to posting gifs of a man licking a window.

              Doesn’t look like a man fighting fire with fire.. more like a man who’s lost if he cannot cut and paste..or is pushed outside his cosy little worldview.

              The dude would never be able to work a Cloud Buster.😄

            • Griff.

               /  November 21, 2018

              Robert
              A spade is a spade.
              A god addled crank is a god addled crank .
              Making up rubbish in a debate is pulling facts from your arse.
              Oh and I am not a lefty .
              I was an actiod before I found that the source of much of what they push is not from sources that wish to benefit society.
              Instead it is paid propaganda from the super rich only intended to benefit the wealthy.
              Greed is not my motivation on like Alan.

              .

            • Gerrit

               /  November 21, 2018

              Griff, If you could see past your condescending attitude and read your linked report slowly,

              You would have came across three very important words listed under each bullet point in the summary;

              “will likely increase”

              not definitely increase but likely increase.

              Someone in the scientific community hedging their bets?

              Also note that the data of hurricane numbers, frequencies and strengths relied on very patchy ship board monitoring in the early days of the survey. Meaning a trend is impossible to pick for Atlantic basin hurricanes (non landfall ones)

              “The evidence for an upward trend is even weaker if we look at U.S. landfalling hurricanes, which even show a slight negative trend beginning from 1900 or from the late 1800s (Figure 3, blue curve). Hurricane landfalling frequency is much less common than basin-wide occurrence, meaning that the U.S. landfalling hurricane record, while more reliable than the basin-wide record, suffers from degraded signal-to-noise characteristics for assessing trends.”

              So “likely increases” are possible but based on a self confessed (by the scientist) limited number of occurrences over a limited time frame.

              Excuse me whilst I stand here underwhelmed.

              When you find a scientist that will put his name to a “definitely increase” set of figures let us know.

              Till than everything you link to is pure conjecture.

            • Griff.

               /  November 21, 2018

              Science does not do proof .
              https://www.psychologytoday.com/intl/blog/the-scientific-fundamentalist/200811/common-misconceptions-about-science-i-scientific-proof

              Physics is not conjecture.
              It is our best understanding about the world around us.
              In this case.
              We have a theory for the mechanism of tropical storm formation and the reliable data we have suggests we are observing the expected effects.. is as good as it ever gets .

              U.S. landfalling hurricane record
              Less than 5% of the earths surface
              land falling hurricanes in the USA is not what I am talking about and as a metric is very much too noisy to say anything for decades to come .
              We have data for the earth since we invented satellites that strongly suggest increasing storm strength in most regions effected by tropical cyclones we also see storm tracks moving poleward in that time .

              https://www-tc.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/sciencenow/3302/images/07-hott-webster-04a.gif
              Hurricane Intensity
              Hurricane intensity—whether a storm ranks as a Category 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5—is based on wind speed. As the graphs above show, the number of Category 4 and 5 storms has nearly doubled in the past 35 years. This upward trend occurs in all of the ocean basins Webster’s team examined. There has not been a change in the maximum wind speed of the most intense storms (black line). Yet overall, hurricanes have indeed grown more intense—and potentially destructive—in recent decades. (Note: The horizontal dashed lines in both graphs show 1970-2004 averages.)


              From 2004 newer papers offer even more confirmation of what we are seeing .

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  November 21, 2018

              Griff, a heat engine is powered by heat differentials, not absolute values. If the planet heats (by a small amount as currently experienced) any increase in power would depend on an inequality of heating. Seems unlikely to be a very significant factor.

              After living in the north for longer than the duration of climate alarmism I fail to detect alarming changes here despite all the sack cloth and ashes. You can call that pulling data out of my arse. I call it common sense.

            • Griff.

               /  November 21, 2018

              Heat differentiate between top of the troposphere and the top 60 odd meters of ocean.
              Guess what ?
              The lapse rate .
              As the earth warms the point of any given temperature of the troposphere rises.
              The cloud tops rise higher but you still end up with an increasing energy differential between the ocean and the top of the troposphere due to warming hence more energy transfer.
              The specific heat content of water is many orders of magnitude greater than that for air as your engineering background should inform you.

              (by a small amount as currently experienced).

              The difference between a glaciation and now is about 5C.
              At the peak of the last glaciation a 2km think ice sheet lay on top of where New York city is now .
              We have already altered the planets average temperature by one fifth of an ice age and if we do not alter our ways we will reach as much as a full ice age rise over the next century.
              That will drastically alter the world as we know it.

              After living in the north for longer than the duration of climate alarmism I fail to detect alarming changes here despite all the sack cloth and ashes. You can call that pulling data out of my arse. I call it common sense.

              As usual illogical straw man arguments from the right wing .
              No one is saying you would have seen change over a decade or two so.
              You can not tell change in temperature over a few weeks let alone a slow rise over decades .You seem to have an issue with being able to project measured trends more than a few years ahead.
              The world you leave future generations will be drastically different than the one we have now perhaps to the extent that our civilization will no longer be tenable.

              Common sense is not what the mind cleared of cant spontaneously apprehends; it is what the mind filled with presuppositions…concludes.
              —Clifford Geertz

              Your appeal to common sense really means you are making stuff up based on your world view that is not what the science tells us here in the real world .
              Your belief system about global warming is based on your faith not on any deep understanding.

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  November 21, 2018

              No, the world I leave future generations will not be substantially different physically from the one I entered, but it will be hugely different in human knowledge, affluence and resources – supporting a far bigger human population in far more comfort. Returning to an ice age would be a catastrophic human disaster. Managing the planet’s atmosphere and biosphere to keep our climate beneficial rather than harmful will certainly be a need that future generations will have to have to meet but they will have vastly better knowledge and resources to do so than we have now.

              My belief is simply that climate catastrophe is neither imminent or inevitable and is based on the slow rate of change whose effects you agree are not discernible over a decade or two.

            • robertguyton

               /  November 21, 2018

              I can’t argue with any of that, Griff. In any case, I’d be too polite to do so, even if I could.

        • Gezza

           /  November 21, 2018

          Gezza wonders why I give fuckwits shite.

          No I don’t. I know why you do it. 😐

          Reply
          • Griff.

             /  November 21, 2018

            It was an idiom.
            I am the one who is supposed to be literal not you.

            Reply
            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  November 21, 2018

              G doesn’t miss any chance to grab the wrong end of the stick.

            • Gezza

               /  November 21, 2018

              😉

            • Gezza

               /  November 21, 2018

              Thing is Griff, I am happy to work with what people say here. I don’t bother trying to read their minds. If they’re being sarcastic with me I don’t notice, I just have fun with it.

  6. Patzcuaro

     /  November 21, 2018

    The Hollow President.

    Spotted this over at Kiwiblog which has a simpler version, how a New York liberal became a Conservative Republican President.

    https://www.quora.com/Where-did-Trump-s-rage-towards-Obama-come-from/answer/Chris-Grayson

    Reply

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