Reid Research party support poll

A Business New Zealand Reid Research poll on party support slipped under the radar this week. It was taken from 15-23 March, the day of and just after the Christchurch mosque attacks, so it should be treated with more caution than normal.

  • Labour 49.6%
  • National 41.3%
  • Green Party 3.9%
  • NZ First 2.3%

Labour are up from 47.5% in the RR February poll (which was up 4.5% from the previous poll). It isn’t surprising to see an (small) increase in support for Labour at the  time of a major adverse event. Jacinda Ardern’s adept handling of the attack aftermath has been rewarded in the poll.

National have hardly moved, down just 0.3% from the February poll, but had dipped 3.5% to a record low in the previous poll. They may struggle to hold even at that after Simon Bridge’s performance since.

Labour’s gain has been Green’s loss.

Greens have dropped from 5.1% to 3.9%, which must be a concern to them. James Shaw was largely unseen after the Christchurch killings, with Marama Davidson and Golriz Ghahraman being more prominent, and they tend to be polarising – popular in part but also annoying many.

NZ first have slipped 0.5% to 2.3%, after dropping by the same amount in February. Winston Peters and NZ First fully backing the Arms Amendment Bill happened after the poll period so they could easily slip further. They have disappointed a lot of their 2017 supporters.

The Business NZ Reid Research poll of 1,000 voters was taken from March 15-23 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1 per cent. 750 were interviewed by phone and 250 online.

Source NZ Herald – Claire Trevett: Poll puts Labour support up after mosque attacks but tax is back in debate


Leave a comment


  1. David

     /  13th April 2019

    Peters will have to sink the CGT or it will sink him.
    It would be good to see the end of the Greens at the next election and something sane replacing them with an environmental bent. I understand the German Greens have done this and find themselves in a quite powerful position by acknowledging free market capitalism is the best way to afford good outcomes for the environment.

    • Blazer

       /  13th April 2019

      ‘acknowledging free market capitalism is the best way to afford good outcomes for the environment.’

      making shit up…again..David!

      • David

         /  13th April 2019

        Look at the cleanest greenest countries in the world and they are the richest and the most capitalist. Denmark, Germany, Sweden, NZ, Singapore et al where people are rich enough from keeping what they make from their hard work to afford to care how they treat the planet because they have an eye to the future.

        If you want to see a dirty polluted shithole there are plenty of socialist countries to pick from where getting by is your one and only concern and who cares if it gets warmer when you are hungry/poor.

        • Blazer

           /  13th April 2019

          here is your problem…’the most capitalist.’…

          Capitalism gets credit it does not deserve.

    • Duker

       /  13th April 2019

      germany already has a ‘hard left’ party for those so inclined – Die Linke with 69 seats in Bundestag , a few more than the greens.
      The result is overall the left wing parties, SPD , Linke and Greens gave them 38.6% of the vote in last election. just behind the 43.6% of the CDU-CSU -FDP.
      The elephant in the room was the populist/right AFD with 12.6% who no one will work with

    • lurcher1948

       /  13th April 2019

      The desperation from the RIGHT is here FOR all to see, its sweating out of the pores of your blog PG trying to help the right, any oldie knows WINSTON will update the gold card,make doctors visits dirt cheap, and up the pension and what does Simon Bridges have to offer, OLDIES don’t understand Maori mumblers(WHAT DID HE SAY,WHAT DID HE SAY) slam dunk for that lovely Jacinda and Winston,

  2. Zedd

     /  13th April 2019

    It looks like MMP is the ‘casuality’ & many still think its just a FPP horse race: Lab V Nat

    btw; there were comments recently (in the house) that Natl have actually dropped below 40…. bye bye Simon ? 😀 😀 :/

  3. Gezza

     /  13th April 2019

    Is it time for a Provincial Chumpian to depose the NZF leader, seize power, & once again lead NZF to greatness? 😳

    • He doesn’t seem to be lifting then to any sort of greatness in the polls, despite all the cash handouts.

      • Gezza

         /  13th April 2019

        Neither does Winston, though, Pete?

        He’s got the next highest profile, though he lacks Winston’s guile, imo. But have we seen Shane in any polls on preferred PM?

  4. Kitty Catkin

     /  13th April 2019

    The latest KiwiBuild news may make a difference, as will the CGT.

    KiwiBuild must be one of the most expensive fiascos of all time.

    The PM saying that she doesn’t know what’s going on won’t help.

  5. Zedd

     /  13th April 2019

    is there a ‘Pref. PM’ list ?

    Im guessing.. about:
    Jacinda 90%
    Judith 5%
    others 3%
    Bridges 2%

    🙂 😀

  1. 1 News Colmar Brunton poll | Your NZ

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