The first political poll of election year is of interest but doesn’t change much.
- National 43.3% (down from 43.9)
- Labour 42.5% (up from 41.6)
- Greens 5.6% (down from 6.3)
- NZ First 3.6% (down from 4.0)
- ACT Party 1.8% (up from 1.4)
No surprises there, all margin of error movements.
On those numbers National/ACT are short of getting a majority but not far away and if NZ First miss the threshold it opens possibilities.
Labour+Greens are close to a two party majority of seats.
The others:
- Maori Party 0.9% (up from 0.7)
- New Conservative Party 0.7% (down from 1.0)
- The Opportunities Party 0.6% (down from 1.1)
None of those parties look like getting anywhere near the 5% threshold. The Maori Party are going to contest seats to try to avoid needing the threshold.
Stated margin of error: 3.1%
Newshub: National and Labour neck-and-neck in new Newshub-Reid Research poll
Preferred Prime Minister:
- Jacinda Ardern 38.7% (up from 38.4)
- Simon Bridges 10.6% (up from 6.7)
Newshub poll: Simon Bridges breaks 10 percent as preferred Prime Minister
Polling period 23 January – 1 February, before Bridges ruled out NZ First from any coalition deals, and before Waitangi Day week.
Their last poll was in October 2019 – Newshub Reid Rese
Polling for this term: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2020_New_Zealand_general_election
Your NZ 
Pete George
/ 9th February 2020I doubt this will help NZ First:
Pete George
/ 9th February 2020Corky
/ 9th February 2020I tried hard to concentrate on the results but someone forgot to tell Tova a mini skirt at her age and with her legs was inappropriate. There’s bound to be complaints.
Oh, the poll results. A Labour victory unless Simon gets tough with hardline policies.
I do wish these politicians would stop pandering at the gay parades. Why was Simon there? Few gays care for him or National. Watching him do pressups and try on a goony hat that wouldn’t fit because he said ”his head was too big” was too much.
Kitty Catkin
/ 9th February 2020Complaints about the sexist comment about Tova O’Brien’s legs and skirt length, do you mean ?
Duker
/ 9th February 2020Corky loves to divert when he doesn’t like the news the story is telling
Corky
/ 10th February 2020Seems to me given the leader National has the poll is excellent news for them. Hell, even the unloved Simon has increased his popularity vote. ACT is gaining support, and Winston is well below the 5% mark. Maybe I have missed something…please tell, Duker.?
Corky
/ 9th February 2020Wokism is alive and well. No, I mean complaints about Tova’s inappropriate dress code!
Maybe some missed the above link.. here it is again.
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2020/02/newshub-poll-simon-bridges-breaks-10-percent-as-preferred-prime-minister.html
Pete George
/ 9th February 2020Pete George
/ 9th February 2020duperez
/ 9th February 2020If the numbers said, “Do you think National should work with NZ First? National voters: Yes 63% or 83% or 93% would Bridges attitude change? Would he go back on what he has announced and the adamancy of it?
That’d be a good assignment to give to communications students: ‘Write the Simon Bridges speech announcing he has changed his mind about working with NZ First.’
The background and starting point could be publicity from last week:
‘I can’t trust NZ First.
“Ultimately, John, it was a simple decision,” he said. “It didn’t actually take a lot.
“I can’t trust New Zealand First and don’t think New Zealanders can either, and I want to end the charade we’ve had in the past and I think we will have again if New Zealand First is there.
“I’m really telling you after the election National wont work with New Zealand First, full stop.” 🙂
David
/ 10th February 2020Labour must be disappointed they didnt get much of a boost with 12 billion in infrastructure and the usual glowing Ardern coverage and she honours her people with her return to work after 8 weeks on holiday. The first baby being paraded for the people had little effect either.