Covid-19 update – total 155

40 new cases today, with the total ‘confirmed and probable’ 155 – this has jumped a bit because they are now including probable in the total.

4 cases are now being treated as community transmission in New Zealand – three are in Auckland and one is in Wairarapa.

One lives in Orewa who went to Milford, this is where the MOH believe he came into contact with Covid-19 (an infected tourist).

There is one confirmed case of Covid-19 in a rest home,

Six people who attended the Hereford Conference in Queenstown have been confirmed with Covid-19.


Prime Minister:

Underlying principle of alert level four is to bring contact down between people to the bare minimum, that means people outside the essential services need to stay home.

If you are not an essential worker who try to go to work – you are literally putting people at risk.

Prime Minister is reiterating people can go outside for a walk/exercise, but those people must remain two metres away from anyone they’re not in isolation with.

Grant Robertson:

Retail banks have agreed to a mortgage holiday repayment scheme for those affected by Covid-19.

A new $6.25bn business financing guarantee scheme is being launched today. The government will underwrite bank loans to small and medium size business.

On the wage subsidy scheme: 117,273 people have applied, 41,505 have been approved and $687m has been paid out so far. Robertson says this number is growing constantly.

That’s going to jump since yesterday. Half the people I have dealt with today have questions about the subsidy.

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24 Comments

  1. Maggy Wassilieff

     /  24th March 2020

    Have just graphed the cumulative totals since 1st March when we had 1 positive… pretty apparent that since the 16 March there’s been an exponential increase in confirmed positives….
    we are heading for 1000 cases by 30 March.

    Reply
    • Pink David

       /  24th March 2020

      “pretty apparent that since the 16 March there’s been an exponential increase in confirmed positives”

      Has there been an exponential increase in testing?

      Reply
    • That’s not surprising Maggy, whether it is due entirely to the spread of the virus or whether increased testing is adding to the numbers, growth is still exponential.

      Here’s the pattern in America for reported coronavirus cases: (data is ex CNN):

      3/1: 89
      3/2: 105
      3/3: 125
      3/4: 159
      3/5: 227
      3/6: 331
      3/7: 444
      3/8: 564
      3/9: 728
      3/10: 1,000
      3/11: 1,267
      3/12: 1,645
      3/13: 2,204
      3/14: 2,826
      3/15: 3,505
      3/16: 4,466
      3/17: 6,135
      3/18: 8,760
      3/19: 13,229
      3/20: 18,763
      3/21: 25,740
      3/22: 33,566
      3/23: 43,734

      So every 2-3 days the number of reported cases has doubled in the US. We’re at where America was on March 4.

      As for America, at the present rate of growth they’ll have quarter of a million cases within 2 weeks.

      Reply
      • less than 20 hours later and America is at 53,287 according to worldometers.info

        America is becoming the new epicentre of a pandemic that is sweeping the world.

        All because of a complete lack of preparation, huge political dysfunctionality, and a feckless, reckless completely out-of-touch president whose every word is either a straight-out lie or deluded self-praise for the god-awful mess he’s made of peoples lives.

        Reply
  2. Duker

     /  24th March 2020

    Now they are counting negative tests but ‘who had symptoms’ as if they did test positive.

    Thats definitely misleading , classic case of ‘mission creep’

    Reply
    • Maggy Wassilieff

       /  24th March 2020

      I was only graphing the confirmed positives.

      Yes, it is confusing to present different kinds of numbers… but in a few days if the trend continues… it should be apparent to all what is happening.

      Reply
      • Pink David

         /  24th March 2020

        “Yes, it is confusing to present different kinds of numbers… but in a few days if the trend continues… it should be apparent to all what is happening.”

        Not that is not at all apparent.

        Reply
        • Pink David

           /  24th March 2020

          I’d be very curious to know if those who down voted this post are also believers in The Limits of Growth. I feel a venn diagram coming on…

          Reply
          • Blazer

             /  24th March 2020

            what do you mean?
            Do you think there are no limitations?

            The Capitalist free market cannot cope….only central Govt can save the..day.

            Reply
            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  24th March 2020

              Rubbish. The free market is not free to cope when the Govt slaughters liberty and makes itself the only player.

            • Blazer

               /  25th March 2020

              there is NO FREE MARKET….its a delusion.

          • Maggy Wassilieff

             /  24th March 2020

            I didn’t downvote you.. but it’s just a matter of data points…in a few days, we will have a few more points to plot and thus the trend (best fit line) will be clearer…is that clear?

            Reply
    • David

       /  24th March 2020

      I heard that, can only imagine its to try and inflate the number as much as possible so the lockdown doesnt look over done.
      When you start being a bit sneaky with the number the public trust goes pretty quickly. Just give us the confirmed, the fixed, the hospitalized and the sadly expired with their ages/underlying conditions.

      Reply
      • “When you start being a bit sneaky with the number the public trust goes pretty quickly”

        And yet you continue to place your entire trust in Trump…

        Reply
        • Duker

           /  24th March 2020

          medical numbers vary even more widely… so much that they cant be believed

          Italy is a good example
          “Sarah Newy reports Italy’s death rate might be higher because of how fatalities are recorded. ….. “On re-evaluation by the National Institute of Health, only 12 per cent of death certificates have shown a direct causality from coronavirus, while 88 per cent of patients who have died have at least one pre-morbidity – many had two or three.”
          https://www.cebm.net/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/

          Only 12% !

          Reply
  3. lurcher1948

     /  24th March 2020

    ACT and New Conservative party members struggling to buy guns to take the fight to the Chinese flu

    To some righties, guns are sex toys.

    Reply
    • Kitty Catkin

       /  24th March 2020

      Please leave ACT out of this, it’s not ACT policy and ACT members do not think like this.David Seymour objected to the hasty and ill-thought out aspects of the law, he does NOT think that anything goes where guns are concerned and I don’t know anyone else who does.It’s really insulting to ACT to say that sort of thing.

      I can’t speak for the New Conservatives, of course.

      Reply
    • Corky

       /  24th March 2020

      As a matter of fact these are wise people. Of course the police can’t keep us safe in situations like we have at present.. Anyone with an IQ of over 100 knows this. I’m guessing the weekend will see the first signs of unrest arise. I hope I’m wrong.

      Now tell me Lurchy…how do you plan to defend your home and loved ones should things deteriorate?

      See, a big problem is Government, media and the public have talked themselves into believing a 4 week lock down should see us right, with things returning to normal. I’m afraid we may still be in lockdown when September rolls around. Trust me, that’s when a firearm will show its worth.

      Reply
      • Blazer

         /  24th March 2020

        a gun may be handy…but don’t forget your…can opener Corky.

        Reply
        • Corky

           /  24th March 2020

          Will do. The corkscrew in old openers also doubles as a facial surgery instrument.
          A favourite among preppers.

          Reply
    • Alan Wilkinson

       /  24th March 2020

      Duck season coming up, Lurch. And maybe hoping to score some wild pork too.

      Reply
  4. duperez

     /  24th March 2020

    Reality for some people:
    “Fears are growing in Spain over the number of elderly dying of coronavirus after military units sent in to care homes to offer emergency aid found an unspecified number of bodies.

    According to Spain’s defence ministry, the military teams found that most of the staff in several privately-run centres had stopped going to work after residents began to fall ill with Covid-19, leaving the sick and dying unattended.

    Margarita Robles, the defence minister, said “the full force of the law will be brought against those who do not fulfil their obligations”.

    Twenty-five elderly people died at one residence in Madrid, mostly without being transferred to hospital, while dozens more pensioners have perished in other privately-run centres that have been overwhelmed by the epidemic.”

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/coronavirus/120525145/bodies-found-in-spanish-care-homes-abandoned-over-coronavirus

    Reply

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