1 million confirmed Covid-19 cases worldwide

The number of confirmed cases of the Covid-19 coronavirus has just passed 1 million.

Note that this is confirmed and advised cases, there will be many more undetected cases around the world.

This is a rapid rise.

  • 11 February – 45,134
  • 5 March – 98,425
  • 19 March – 244,902
  • 25 March – 471,035
  • 2 April – 1,007,128

Recorded deaths are currently 51,704 but even this could be under-reported.

Italian deaths could be twice as high – study

A study revealing the hidden toll of coronavirus at the epicentre of Italy’s outbreak has revealed the real death toll could be double official figures.

A study by Bergamo newspaper L’Eco di Bergamo with the InTwig data analysis agency puts the number of virus deaths last month at 4,500, compared with the official toll of 2,060, in the province of 1.1 million people.

Mayors have warned that the official numbers fail to take into account the many people dying at home or in rest homes who have never been tested for the virus.

Under current policies, only those who arrive at hospitals manifesting strong symptoms are tested.

Official deaths in Italy are currently 13,915.

Leave a comment

44 Comments

  1. MaureenW

     /  3rd April 2020

    And here in NZ we have 14 in hospital and 2 in ICU. It doesn’t seem worth rooting the economy for.

    There seems to be some missing puzzle pieces.

    Reply
    • Blazer

       /  3rd April 2020

      You will find the NZ Economy is very well …rooted,resilient and durable.
      It can recover ,it will not die.People…a bit different.

      Reply
      • MaureenW

         /  3rd April 2020

        NZ will look like Venezuela after this

        Reply
        • Blazer

           /  3rd April 2020

          So you think NZ will discover the worlds biggest reserves of oil!
          Fascinating.

          Reply
          • MaureenW

             /  3rd April 2020

            No, but all else will likely be applicable.

            The financial impact is clearer than the “saving lives” impact.

            Reply
      • Pink David

         /  3rd April 2020

        Blazer, you should be excited, NZ is about to try out some of your ideas. Let’s see how it goes.

        Reply
        • Kitty Catkin

           /  3rd April 2020

          Maureen, you and I are in agreement over something 🙂

          Reply
  2. Pink David

     /  3rd April 2020

    “Mayors have warned that the official numbers fail to take into account the many people dying at home or in rest homes who have never been tested for the virus.”

    So what was the cause of death then? Does Italy not have a coroner? Why is every death of someone with C19 counted as a death from C19?

    Reply
    • Kitty Catkin

       /  3rd April 2020

      Probably.

      Reply
    • Duker

       /  3rd April 2020

      Same goes for those elderly who die ‘from flu’, not all are in hospital or get a virus test,
      Im thinking a large proportion of elderly in some areas who die in hospital are allocated to Covid -19…. its not like its not contagious or anything
      In US its something like 8000 per day – on average, so some years are more- those numbers are highly concentrated in elderly as their risk of dying is just so much much higher , even from a stumble getting out of bed.

      Reply
  3. A big jump in deaths in France, +1,355 today so far, 5,387 – the biggest rise today.

    Yesterday they had 509 deaths. That’s a massive increase today, unless something is wrong with the numbers.

    Also yesterday COVID-19 in France: ‘We Are Close to Catastrophe’

    Belgium and Netherlands are also relatively high.

    Reply
  4. Alan Wilkinson

     /  3rd April 2020

    FWIW, the only justification I can see for lockdown is to briefly delay while the best treatment is found.

    It should then be replaced by a focus on properly targeted preventative measures:
    1. Maintaining control of the borders
    2. Minimising indoor contact and shared air
    3. Maintaining hand and face hygiene
    4. Improved testing, tracing and case management
    5. Extra protection of vulnerable people

    Reply
  5. Duker

     /  3rd April 2020

    Only in the US could nutters be this deranged
    https://www.thedrive.com/news/32854/engineer-tried-to-ram-hospital-ship-mercy-with-his-train-over-fears-of-government-plot
    “the CHP officer that witnessed the event detained him and heard martyr-like ramblings such as a claim that the ship was “part of a federal government plot to control our lives,” according to CBS Los Angeles.

    “the train smash into a concrete barrier at the end of the track, smash into a steel barrier, smash into a chain-link fence, slide through a parking lot, slide across another lot filled with gravel, and smash into a second chain-link fence.” Moreno’s locomotive came to a halt just past the on ramp to the Port of Los Angeles-spanning Vincent Thomas Bridge, some 250 yards from the Mercy.” [US Navy Hospital ship like the one sent to NY

    Reply
    • Duker

       /  3rd April 2020

      Even more nutters , the right wing christian family owned arts and crafts chain of stores Hobby Lobby
      https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/04/hobby-lobby-keeps-disobeying-state-stay-at-home-orders-arts-and-crafts.html
      ‘“While we do not know for certain what the future holds, or how long this disruption will last, we can all rest in knowing that God is in control,” Green wrote in a letter to Hobby Lobby employees last month.”

      Reply
      • Pink David

         /  3rd April 2020

        My god! Religious people owning things! Religious people believing in religion! There ought to be a law…

        Reply
        • Griff.

           /  3rd April 2020

          No but we do get to make fun of fundie nut bars. The USA is full of them.
          You are not a god addled nut bar as well are you Pink Dave ?
          Do share because I need a good laugh .

          Reply
          • Pink David

             /  3rd April 2020

            No mate. Mostly I don’t have any issues with people who are religious. I do, however, have a strong dislike for militant religions like atheism. The worshipers of that religion seem to largely be the bitter and resentful.

            Reply
            • Blazer

               /  3rd April 2020

              bit of a contradiction there PD.
              Recommended reading..The God Delusion-R.Dawkins.

            • Pink David

               /  4th April 2020

              No contradiction at all. Is that your holy text?

  6. Unemployment not looking good in then US.

    Staggering 6.6 million U.S. unemployment applications, over 180,000 statewide last week

    The surging layoffs have led many economists to envision as many as 20 million lost jobs by the end of April. The unemployment rate could spike to as high as 15% this month, above the previous record of 10.8% set during a deep recession in 1982.

    Reply
    • Pink David

       /  3rd April 2020

      Covid did not do this.

      Reply
      • Gezza

         /  3rd April 2020

        No. Trump did.

        Reply
        • Kitty Catkin

           /  3rd April 2020

          As I understand it, their UB only goes for six months (a finite period, anyway)

          Reply
        • Pink David

           /  3rd April 2020

          Trump has not ordered any lockdowns. It’s the state governer’s who have done that.

          Reply
          • Gezza

             /  3rd April 2020

            True, but Trump’s “30 Days To Slow The Spread” instructions start offby telling everyone to listen to and follow the directions of their state authorities. He has given them the ok to make such decisions.

            Reply
  7. “Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his medical advisers have resisted calls to release that modelling publicly. But according to Sky News political editor Andrew Clennell, it shows the outbreak peaking about Anzac Day on April 25.”

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=12322081

    It looks like things could be steadying a bit in Australia…
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/
    …but it will depend on containment over the next three weeks.

    Reply
  8. Tom Hunter

     /  3rd April 2020

    The testing Fiasco

    But…but… I didn’t think this happened to Smart, Educated, Articulate people like our current Labour leaders like Saint Jacinda. I thought testing screwups only happened to real idiots like Trump.

    Reply
    • Gezza

       /  3rd April 2020

      Problems? There’s no problem. It’s all been sorted. As she’s explained. This is the worry when your PM’s job, & background, is PR. She’s very good at PR. And knowing when to take no more questions.

      Reply
      • Alan Wilkinson

         /  3rd April 2020

        It’s called a cover-up, isn’t it?

        Reply
        • Gezza

           /  3rd April 2020

          Cock up or conspiracy?

          Either someone in the chain of command is bullshitting the PM, & she’s going out in daily appearances & making a tit of herself by saying it’s all good (quite likely, imo) –

          or

          Jacinda’s been told that there are still supply & capacity issues, but she’s deliberately going out there & flim-flamming, soothing the repeaters & the public with assurances that we have the capacity & supply to do all the testing now being requested, hoping that it will soon be fixed.

          Reply

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s