Covid update Friday – second death, more recoveries than new cases

Director of Public Health Dr Caroline McElnay:

The second death reported today, a woman in her 90s who has been in Burwood Hospital. She was one of twenty people transferred from a rest home earlier in the week. Family weren’t able to be with the woman in hospital because of the lockdown.

So the total deaths are now 2.

44 new cases today (23 confirmed and 21 probable) bringing the total cases to 1283.

14 new cases are linked to existing clusters.

373 now recovered (+56)

16 in hospital, 4 in Intensive care (2 critical)

That’s a few more cases than yesterday but it was expected that totals would fluctuate.

The highest number of tests yesterday not resulting in significantly more cases – a good sign.

As at 9am, 10 April 2020
Total to date New in last 24 hours
Number of confirmed cases in New Zealand 1,015 23
Number of probable cases 268 21
Number of confirmed and probable cases 1,283 44
Number of cases in hospital 16 2
Number of recovered cases 373 56
Number of deaths 2 1

View details of confirmed and probable cases.

View details of significant COVID-19 clusters.

View testing data by region.


In the south of the South Island, the police say hundreds of vehicles were stopped at 10 checkpoints yesterday, but only a handful were breaching the lockdown. Most drivers were either essential workers or heading to the supermarket.

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35 Comments

  1. Duker

     /  10th April 2020

    “but only a handful were breaching the lockdown.”
    Thats not the case in the top of the South island when police checked 40 cars on the only highway between Nelson and Blenheim, 30% were breaches

    Reply
    • Alan Wilkinson

       /  10th April 2020

      Local goss is that most of our Easter visitors came in via the back roads. Our shops are used to it and will cope, just the medics and pharmacy could be stressed.

      Reply
      • Duker

         /  10th April 2020

        Rich pricks always have a longer easter break than the plebs ,the private schools accommodate that, so they went earlier as usual.
        Cops have number plate recognition cameras which are linked to the car registration database and where cars have a ‘home address’. Stands out like dogs balls who is not from Far North

        Reply
      • Duker

         /  10th April 2020

        Depending on traffic flow, the ANPR unit is capable of scanning up to 3000 plates in one hour.

        The number plate of just about every vehicle travelling towards or away from the patrol car will be read, matched against a police database and officers will know if there are any alerts on the car or drivers.

        Reply
  2. Pink David

     /  10th April 2020

    “Family weren’t able to be with the woman in hospital because of the lockdown.”

    In all seriousness, what is wrong with you all?

    Reply
    • Alan Wilkinson

       /  10th April 2020

      Panicked and bullied into submission mostly.

      Reply
      • Duker

         /  10th April 2020

        Risk of bringing visitors who spread Covid 19 around the hospital is too high. After all she got the virus while at the rest home for similar reasons

        Reply
        • Alan Wilkinson

           /  10th April 2020

          No PPE available for dying patient’s family or just inflexible rules?

          Reply
          • And no funeral, either. They can have a memorial service later, but it won’t be the same. The thought of someone going alone into the grave is very sad.

            Reply
    • Pink David

       /  10th April 2020

      This shows just how poisonous the reporting on this is. Where exactly is the report that she died of Covid-19? She has now been listed on the ‘scorecard’, but there is no indication her death was in anyway caused by Covid-19?

      Why is no one demanding this is made clear?

      “She said the woman died yesterday and recently had returned a positive test.
      McElnay said, as has been seen around the world, Covid-19 could be fatal for elderly people with underlying health conditions.
      The woman who died had a number of age-related health conditions, McElnay said.
      She was one of the residents from the Rosewood rest home who had been hospitalised earlier in the week.”

      Reply
  3. Alan Wilkinson

     /  10th April 2020

    The heslth advocates of our lockdown make their case up front:
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/10/elimination-what-new-zealands-coronavirus-response-can-teach-the-world

    The economists will have the last word.

    Reply
    • Ardern keeps claiming that history has shown that countries less affected by a pandemic (health-wise) usually fare better economically.

      Going by what has happened so far, I think the economic impact of Covid on New Zealand is likely to be better than Italy, Spain, France, Belgium, the Netherlands and others – unless we relax controls and allow the virus to spread widely, and as long as we can get businesses up and running as soon as it is safe.

      Reply
      • Alan Wilkinson

         /  10th April 2020

        Tourism alone directly and indirectly is 10% of GDP and more of employment. There is no possibility of any of that being up and running in post lockdown conditions. A huge amount of small retail busineses will also never recover. Export markets will be impacted both by reduced demand and greater protectionism.

        It is hard to see why greater death tolls largely amongst the already sick in other countries will offset those impacts of our lockdown.

        Reply
      • Pink David

         /  10th April 2020

        “Ardern keeps claiming that history has shown that countries less affected by a pandemic (health-wise) usually fare better economically.”

        No one has ever shut an economy down the way NZ has done. NZ is staring at a 20-25% drop in GDP. Where the hell is her evidence of these claims?

        The depression coming to NZ is entirely created by Ardern. There is no evidence her actions have made any change to the course of this virus.

        Reply
        • “There is no evidence her actions have made any change to the course of this virus.”

          There is no way of being certain about what actions cause what outcomes, but I’m sure most if not nearly all expert opinion will be that the actions taken by the New Zealand Government have had a very significant impact on reducing Covid cases and deaths.

          Reply
          • Pink David

             /  10th April 2020

            ” I’m sure most if not nearly all expert opinion will be that the actions taken by the New Zealand Government have had a very significant impact on reducing Covid cases and deaths.”

            The purpose of science is to free us from the opinion of experts. And it’s not ‘nearly all’, there are a huge number of people who are experts in the field who are showing what NZ is doing is downright wrong.

            The whole premise of the lockdown is ‘flattening the curve’ This does not reduce the number of deaths nor infections, it’s about spreading it out over a longer time.

            If these ‘experts’ have done the actual work, where is the data? Where is the science?

            Reply
            • Duker

               /  10th April 2020

              Flattening the curve isnt NZs strategy !
              Other countries have ICU overwhelmed they can only dream of ‘flattening’ and if you can treat more people for 4-9 days the sickest need in ICU you saves their lives too.
              Do you think Belgium with half Australias population and more than 2000 dead was too early or late with their knockdown, now extended to total 3 months ?
              So wrong on both accounts, you are thinking of the merely infected rate and 45% of those have none or minor symptoms

            • Pink David

               /  10th April 2020

              Show some actual data. South Korean, Taiwan, Japan, Sweden have all run policies that are not lockdown. Why are you using only one country, and why do you use a claim that is completely wrong?

              There have not been 2000 deaths in Belgium from Covid-19, they are not even recording deaths from Covid-19! All they record is deaths with Covid-19. That is a massive difference.

              Australia has not followed NZ to a lockdown either, so what what is you calculation for that?

              “Flattening the curve isnt NZs strategy !”

              Explain it.

            • Duker

               /  10th April 2020

              Covid 19 is a disease, the direct cause of death varies. Same as every other disease.

              Your semantics is pointless to say ‘with’…they were otherwise healthy or they were otherwise unwell with chronic conditions but stable.

              You would say no one is killed ‘by car crash’ , as of coarse its a list of major internal injuries, hemorrhaging ( ripped aortas etc) or brain damage that kills. Sometimes infections can do it if recovery is slow. And the elderly or existing sick wont have a chance

              Some irrational flailing around is occurring

            • Pink David

               /  10th April 2020

              “Your semantics is pointless to say ‘with”

              Semantics?! The whole issue is that this is meant to be a killer disease, yet no one is recording causation. Your car crash analogy is nonsense, causation is very clear.

              The latest death in NZ is a prize example. A 90+ yo women dies with Covid-19 and it’s recorded as a Covid-19 death. No attempt is made to know if it was the cause of death, it’s simply that she tested positive.

              The UK doesn’t require a test. A doctor will record it as a Covid-19 death if they suspect the deceased had Covid-19;

              “Deputy CMO Jenny Harries, briefing 5th April (11 mins 16 secs) ‘for the UK these are Covid ASSOCIATED deaths, they are all sad events, THEY WOULD NOT ALL BE A DEATH AS A *RESULT* OF COVID ”

              “Some irrational flailing around is occurring”

              No shit.

            • Duker

               /  10th April 2020

              Its a standard way of recording deaths from respiratory illnesses. The elderly womans symptoms ( and a test) match Covid 19 , she dies and the pattern of deterioration was as expected . Even a minor illness at that age can be fatal
              Are you making another diagnoses , based on what ? Pixie dust

              You dont even have the knowledge to clearly explain what you mean

        • Blazer

           /  10th April 2020

          A recession was inevitable with or without C19 PD.
          As you know external factors guaranteed it.
          Q.E infinity just delays the timing.

          Reply
          • Pink David

             /  10th April 2020

            You’re getting what you wanted Blazer. I hope it serves you well.

            Reply
            • Blazer

               /  10th April 2020

              Whatever you assume I may want is irrelevant.
              I’m sure you are aware, of well regarded economists views ,on the current monetary policies of G20 members.

  4. David

     /  10th April 2020

    I note the probables were managed down yesterday for Arderns speech and have bounced back today.
    Science led my arse.

    Reply
    • duperez

       /  10th April 2020

      So the Ministry of Health puts up figures each day which aren’t to do with the data they collect but on who’s going to present it to the media?

      Reply
      • David

         /  10th April 2020

        Nothing they can do about confirmed cases but the criteria for probables is strange in some reported circumstances and wide open to massaging for political purposes.
        A lady in a Stuff article was refused testing despite being ill and connected to the Marist cluster and after asking and asking she was eventually tested and it came out as negative but she is included on the probables list. It seems to have no basis in science but quite a bit in politics. Helps compliance of the lockdown with an elevated number and the number can be leaned on to time with PM appearances when she wants to convey a positive message.

        Reply
        • duperez

           /  10th April 2020

          It’s ‘strange’ and ‘it seems’ that there’s something sinister going on and some skullduggery around the PM.

          I’m watching the Bourne Ultimatum at the moment. No doubt Ardern has legions in dark back rooms planning and plotting as in that movie, coming up with ingenious and artful strategies. Fortunately we have the alert and perspicacious on to them.

          Reply
  5. oldlaker

     /  10th April 2020

    What’s really bizarre is that the virus apparently behaves differently in NZ. We have 1283 identified cases and two deaths. That’s a tiny case fatality rate of 0.15 while Oz’s is 0.85, or 5.6 times higher (and with similar testing criteria).
    Our hospitalisation rate is also way lower than Australia’s.
    Prof Michael Baker tried to explain it as a result of NZers’ returning travellers being young and fit… Are we meant to believe our travellers are younger and fitter than Australia’s?
    Something is very odd here… either in the way we are coding deaths or how less willing people here are to go to hospital… unless Australia has a more virulent strain, which seems unlikely…

    Reply

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