Another death (a man in his 80s from the Rosewoond Rest home cluster died at Burwood Hospital) brings the total to 5.
19 more cases (15 confirmed and 4 probable) brings the total to 1349.
One more in hospital, total 15 – 4 in ICU, 1 critical.
75 more recovered cases (total 546), so nearly four times more recovered than there are new cases.
There are 33 cases at the Rosewood rest home cluster (17 are confirmed, and 16 probable). Three from that cluster who were confirmed cases have died.
Prime Minister Ardern:
If and when we move to level 3 there will still be significant restrictions.
She says she will set out what levels 2 and 3 will look like later this week on Thursday. It will include information for business, transport and recreation.
We won’t find out whether we will drop from Level 4 until next week, two days before the 4 weeks is up.
Treasury will tomorrow release economic scenarios on GDP, unemployment and the ability for the economy to recover.
| Total to date | New in last 24 hours | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of confirmed cases in New Zealand | 1,064 | 15 |
| Number of probable cases | 285 | 4 |
| Number of confirmed and probable cases | 1,349 | 19 |
| Number of cases in hospital | 15 | 1 |
| Number of recovered cases | 546 | 75 |
| Number of deaths (as at 1pm 13 April 2020) | 5 | 1 |
| DHB | Number of cases | Change in last 24 hours |
|---|---|---|
| Auckland | 176 | 1 |
| Bay of Plenty | 41 | -1 |
| Canterbury | 136 | 6 |
| Capital and Coast | 88 | 2 |
| Counties Manukau | 101 | 1 |
| Hawke’s Bay | 41 | 3 |
| Hutt Valley | 22 | -2 |
| Lakes | 16 | 2 |
| MidCentral | 28 | 0 |
| Nelson Marlborough | 48 | 0 |
| Northland | 25 | 0 |
| South Canterbury | 11 | 0 |
| Southern | 209 | 3 |
| Tairāwhiti | 1 | 0 |
| Taranaki | 14 | 0 |
| Waikato | 177 | 1 |
| Wairarapa | 8 | 0 |
| Waitemata | 195 | 3 |
| West Coast | 5 | 0 |
| Whanganui | 7 | 0 |
| Total | 1,349 | 19 |
David
/ 13th April 2020That Rosewood scenario is very sad, they were already quite poorly. I think we are in that stage where the case numbers go down and the recoveries and deaths will rise.
Time to allow some more businesses to open right now with appropriate measures, why not forestry but ok with agriculture.
Gezza
/ 13th April 2020Ag’s producing essential goods. Forestry maybe not quite so essential at Level 4 ?
David
/ 13th April 2020I was thinking more about safety from Covid given they are essentially the same thing.
David
/ 13th April 2020Australia had only 9 new cases with hardly any of the work restrictions we have which is interesting. I hope the media will be pressing Ardern to look across the Tasman to learn what they are doing better than us…as long as that doesnt hurt the narrative.
Duker
/ 13th April 2020What 9 for Australia ?
ABC says 33
“The Australian death toll from coronavirus has risen to 61, with a further two deaths recorded overnight.
There were only 33 new cases of COVID-19 in the country — although Australia’s Chief Medical Officer, Brendan Murphy, cautioned that testing numbers were down over Easter”
Are you thinking of one Australian state ?
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-04-13/coronavirus-update-uk-death-toll-boris-johnson-tim-brooke-taylor/12143772
Any way their death rate isnt 5x NZs to show how good they are !
David
/ 13th April 2020Got it from the World meters website. I would guess this time next week our death rate will be similar to Australias per capita they are just a bit ahead of us time wise thanks to that cruise ship.
If it is 33 then they are still doing better than us and largely still at work, one can get a haircut, takeaways and your house renovated in Sydney. There seems no urgency to get us back to work we just have to wait for a doom laden treasury plan then we will be saved by Robertsons plan on Wednesday then we have one of those nauseating over acted presentation from our dear leader on Thursday.
Pete George
/ 13th April 2020The official Australian stats:
https://www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-current-situation-and-case-numbers
David
/ 13th April 2020They also have us 285 cases too many, the unscientific and irrelevant probable number is skewing things. No one else is counting these so aside from political considerations to ensure compliance with the lock down I fail to see why they are counted.
Certainly not following any science.
Alan Wilkinson
/ 13th April 2020Why? Clinical diagnosis can identify cases that swabs/RNA matching doesn’t. The latter is only possible while the disease is very active at present. The former can be used when it isn’t.
Griff.
/ 13th April 2020This website?
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/
David
/ 13th April 2020https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Griff.
/ 13th April 2020Yes world meter .
Unlike you I read the world meter Australia page where it says as above .
They sourced the information from here.
https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/news/Pages/20200412_00.aspx
This also shows that duker is full of it. He was informed days ago world meter links to their sources and his claim that they are rubbish is just his bias showing yet again.
World meter gives three sources for their au stats on the 12.
ABC news, https://www.health.nsw.gov.au and https://www.health.gov.au/
Duker
/ 13th April 2020How come looking at the Worldmeter gave the wrong numbers…being wrong means wrong no matter where they get them from
Last week I looked at the actual sources for worldometer…. going to organ grinder not the monkey
Duker
/ 13th April 2020“Got it from the World meters website”
Thats a junk site totally unreliable.
However your conclusions are still in grievous error as we can have reliable numbers form ABC news and a story 11:30 am 13/04
You can make a valid point about the different way different states have their own lock downs, but dont use fake numbers and ‘one day over easter’ isnt the way to do it . this graph of daily cases shows the most recent day is way off the daily average 90+
Even the official numbers referred to by PG says
As at 6:00am on 13 April 2020, there have been 6,322 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 33 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.
David
/ 13th April 2020Its quite an impressive graph considering how free they are to go about their commerce.
Duker
/ 13th April 2020Hind sight is like that …. looks even better when you use false numbers.
NZ could have been Ireland
Australia is really raking in money from breaches , no warnings , its $1000 plus instant fine.
I see that The States ( who decide individual rules) are expecting them to last 6 months !
We could be back to level 2 in another 6 weeks
David
/ 13th April 2020I cant imagine the land of the free staying locked down for 6 months, strange times.
Duker
/ 13th April 2020Ahh your foresight …does that work like your hindsight ?
Duker
/ 13th April 2020Australian states not US
Duker
/ 13th April 2020Just looked at another country with only partial lockdown ( rough figures are OK)
” 24,400 coronavirus cases and 2,643 deaths, has put in place a moderate social policy to combat the spread of the virus without going into a full lockdown”
Their population is 3.5 x NZ which ‘could’ give us 750 deaths by now.
It seems that the winter in Northern hemisphere, as it normally does, spreads the virus and kills a lot more .
This is all with hindsight that we are doing better
Duker
/ 13th April 2020oops Netherlands for above
Conspiratoor
/ 13th April 2020Heres a strange thing. Exports during covid are surging …at the same time we’ve got record unemployment. Maybe the economy is not rooted after all.
It’s an ill wind…
David
/ 13th April 2020Wife is in export shipping and they are going dambusters, best volumes ever. Been a great growing season too and China are playing catch up.
They have a Twyford problem with businesses being unable to unload their containers and return them for the exporters to use, he said yes then no then yes then no so no one is able to plan anything. He makes David Clark look like he has great judgement.
Duker
/ 13th April 2020” he said yes then no then yes then no so no one is able to plan anything”
really what exactly was that ?
… sounds like based on this page you are the one with mask covering the wrong place
Duker
/ 13th April 2020Running out of empty containers?
Welcome to the rest of world with same problem
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/freight-industry-running-out-of-storage-space-due-to-covid-19-20200409-p54il1.html
Clear case of Tywford derangement syndrome ……it’s critical put this guy on a ventilator
Dukeofurl
/ 13th April 2020Hospitality , tourism, education sectors arent actual goods that are exported.
Services are a major part of any economy these days
Flower exports have crashed, log exports are blocked …. what planet are you on ?
Conspiratoor
/ 13th April 2020Dukeofurl. What time was happy hour?
From nz stats…
“For the week ended 31 March 2020 compared with the equivalent week in 2019:
total imports from all countries were down 3.9 percent ($52 million), from $1.32 billion to $1.27 billion
total exports to all countries were up 13.2 percent ($172 million), from $1.31 billion to $1.48 billion
imports from China were down 27 percent ($64 million), from $236 million to $172 million
exports to China were up 4.2 percent ($14 million), from $336 million to $350 million.”
Duker
/ 13th April 2020Sorted further down , the surge they are talking about are 2% over 1 year when it’s 15% over 2 years back
Debunked again , some can’t anything right today
Gezza
/ 13th April 2020Happens to most of us sometime.
*get* ?
Duker
/ 13th April 2020Winstons gone fishing …from his front lawn
Gezza
/ 13th April 2020His hook seems to be upside down ? 😐
Duker
/ 13th April 2020Hes caught a lot of the ‘concerned’ but stupid
Gezza
/ 13th April 2020Hard to believe. Actually, can’t see it. 😕
Gezza
/ 13th April 2020Oh, I see.
Alan Wilkinson
/ 13th April 2020Winston putting space between himself and Jacinda anticipating the coming backlash in election year. Anyone who thinks this wasn’t carefully calculated and posed underestimates Winston.
Blazer
/ 14th April 2020You think he may be reading from the manual of the master of PR stunts…Boris Johnson!
Alan Wilkinson
/ 14th April 2020Boris has made the best of a near terminal experience. Are you suggesting Jenny from Invercargill is as silly as you?
David
/ 13th April 2020From Stats nz page: Conspiratoor is spot on.
For the week ended 31 March 2020 compared with the equivalent week in 2019:
total imports from all countries were down 3.9 percent ($52 million), from $1.32 billion to $1.27 billion
total exports to all countries were up 13.2 percent ($172 million), from $1.31 billion to $1.48 billion.
imports from China were down 27 percent ($64 million), from $236 million to $172 million.
exports to China were up 4.2 percent ($14 million), from $336 million to $350 million.
Duker
/ 13th April 2020“Effects of COVID-19 on trade is a weekly update on New Zealand’s daily goods trade with the world from 1 February 2020. Comparing the values with previous years shows the potential impacts of COVID-19.
We advise caution in making decisions based on this data.”
and compared with this and last 2 years at 1 Feb -Tues 31 March
2018 2019 2020
$9,395,000,000 $10,494,000,000 $10,750,000,000
The cumulative total [last 2 months] is 2% more than same period last year.
Since when is 2% change over 2 months ‘gang busters’
The real change was 14.5% increase over the 2018 period …this was 6 months after election!
https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/effects-of-covid-19-on-trade-1-february31-march-2020-provisional
I win this battle of numbers yet again
David
/ 13th April 2020Not really your figures show best figures ever as well, you just proved my point. Given they do containers and there are no log exports it also shows volume of “container” goods going great as referred to in my post. You loose again.
Gezza
/ 13th April 2020This guy loses again.
His trousers are loose again.
Just saying.
Kitty Catkin
/ 13th April 2020Who IS that ???
Gezza
/ 13th April 2020Gerry Brownlee … possibly ?
Otherwise, hard to know from this angle.
Duker
/ 13th April 20202% over last year 2 month period isn’t gangbusters…you haven’t answered that result
Looking a exports week by week just means noise is a bigger factor
David
/ 13th April 2020I did you just cant figure it out,
Alan Wilkinson
/ 13th April 2020Updated my model and little change in the estimated parameters. Model shows infectiousness plumeting towsrds zero. The “after Easter” numbers this week will be crucial.
Alan Wilkinson
/ 13th April 2020Just noting if their recovered numbers are accurate the model implies infections are lasting 25:days (not so long infectious though). Seems on the high side.
Pink David
/ 13th April 2020This prediction didn’t work out that well….
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uks-deadliest-day-set-easter-21802804
Patzcuaro
/ 13th April 2020Something or the anti vaccination brigade
Pink David
/ 13th April 2020Trump is about to end the shutdown…
Patzcuaro
/ 13th April 2020Question, is anybody listening? I reckon they will wait for the Fauci ok.
Pink David
/ 13th April 2020Fauci has been fired.
Gezza
/ 13th April 2020Where’s the link ?
Pink David
/ 13th April 2020See above. Learn to read Trumpian.
Gezza
/ 13th April 2020Fake news if it hasn’t happened yet.
Reading Trumpian dumbs you down & strangles your vocab.
Which is probably why he uses Twitter.
Duker
/ 13th April 2020Last week it was Kushner having the web site changed to indicate supplies weren’t there for the states….now the boss says they are
Ahhh the usual Trumpian chaos ..2 steps back then 1 step forward, blame someone new… Repeat
Patzcuaro
/ 13th April 2020Looks like Trump would like to fire Fauci, but I’m not sure that it would send the right signals in the middest of a pandemic.
Trump is between a rock and a hard place with the upcoming elections, stay the course and defeat the virus but have a shattered economy or reopen the economy before defeating the virus and have the virus the virus get a second wind.
I doubt the US health system could cope with an early reopening of the economy.
Pink David
/ 13th April 202040,000 health care workers have been laid off because they have nothing to do.
Patzcuaro
/ 13th April 2020Also wonderful to see Boris Johnson thanking a his nurses, one from the colonies which were ditched n the 1970s and the other for the EU which was ditched last year. Will the NHS get a finding boost in the next budget?
David
/ 13th April 2020“Health authorities confirmed a further 4,167 new cases over the 24 hours, bringing the total to 166,019, second only to the US.
The figures were released on Sunday morning amid strict instructions for the millions of workers involved in non-essential industry and construction activities to return to work on Monday and Tuesday as their two-week ban is lifted.
The Spanish Government paralysed the ‘non-essential’ sectors for a fortnight from March 30 until April 9. “
duperez
/ 13th April 2020“It’s like a James Joyce novel written in crayon.”
Patzcuaro
/ 13th April 2020An interesting article on how the pandemic is affecting the supply of various pharmaceutical drugs, apparently NZ has the only public resource monitoring the supply chain
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/04/12/drug-ventilator-shortage-c1qoronavirus/
Patzcuaro
/ 13th April 2020https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/04/12/drug-ventilator-shortage-coronavirus/