4 million Covid-19 cases and still climbing

World wide confirmed cases of Covid-19 are now over four million, and while the rate of increase has leveled off the number of new cases each day remains mostly at at 80-90-,000 a day, although yesterday it was higher at 97,128.

About a third of cases are in the United States, currently at 1.3 million.

There are now over 275 thousand deaths attributed to Covid-19, with more than a fifth in the US, currently 78,615 – the rate of increase in the US has leveled or perhaps slowed a little but are still averaging nearly 2,000 a day (about 13,000 in the last week).

Some of the worst affected countries, Italy, Spain and Belgium, seem to be over the worst with declining rates of cases and deaths, but that’s from high totals.

The UK has the highest number of deaths in Europe and is  the second behind the US but trends appear to be declining a bit there.

Covid-19 seems to have been slower to spread in Brazil but their death rates are increasing. Yesterday they had the second highest increase at 804 and are now the sixth country to have more than 10,000 deaths.

But the problems are far from over.

Reuters: Coronavirus inflicts huge U.S. job losses as pandemic breaches White House walls

The U.S. government reported more catastrophic economic fallout from the coronavirus crisis on Friday as the pandemic pierced the very walls of the White House and California gave the green light for its factories to restart after a seven-week lockdown.

A day after the White House confirmed that President Donald Trump’s personal valet had tested positive for the virus, Trump told reporters that Katie Miller, press secretary to Vice President Mike Pence, had also been infected. She is married to senior Trump aide and immigration policy hard-liner Stephen Miller and travels frequently with Pence.

The back-to-back diagnoses of individuals close to Trump, Pence and the White House inner circle raised questions about whether the highest levels of government are adequately safeguarded from infection.

Earlier in the day, the Labor Department reported the U.S. unemployment rate rose to 14.7% last month, up from 3.5% in February, demonstrating the speed with which the workforce collapsed after stay-at-home orders meant to curb the outbreak were imposed across most of the country.

Worse economic news may be yet to come. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said the unemployment rate was likely to climb to around 20% this month. The jobless rate for April already shattered the post-World War Two record of 10.8% set in November 1982.

But Trump seems increasingly turning his attention to the election campaign in the US, endorsing Republicans and criticising and blaming Democrats.

For Trump it’s mostly about ‘me’, When calling other people crazy it appears to be projection.

Another leader seemingly at odds with reality is President Bolsonaro.

The Lancet – COVID-19 in Brazil: “So what?”

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic reached Latin America later than other continents. The first case recorded in Brazil was on Feb 25, 2020. But now, Brazil has the most cases and deaths in Latin America (105 222 cases and 7288 deaths as of May 4), and these are probably substantial underestimates.

Even more worryingly, the doubling of the rate of deaths is estimated at only 5 days and a recent study by Imperial College (London, UK), which analysed the active transmission rate of COVID-19 in 48 countries, showed that Brazil is the country with the highest rate of transmission (R0 of 2·81).

Yet, perhaps the biggest threat to Brazil’s COVID-19 response is its president, Jair Bolsonaro.

When asked by journalists last week about the rapidly increasing numbers of COVID-19 cases, he responded: “So what? What do you want me to do?” He not only continues to sow confusion by openly flouting and discouraging the sensible measures of physical distancing and lockdown brought in by state governors and city mayors but has also lost two important and influential ministers in the past 3 weeks.

Time will tell how bad things get in Brazil but current trends look bad, and their testing rate is very low at 1,597 per million (the US is 25k per million, New Zealand is 37k, Spain is 52k).

Covid-19 is dominating news all around the world.

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-52597437

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55 Comments

  1. NOEL

     /  10th May 2020

    “Katie, she tested very good for a long period of time, and then all of the sudden she tested positive … this is why the whole concept of tests aren’t necessarily great … today, I guess, for some reason, she tested positive.”

    Geez MR President we were made aware over a month ago that getting tested when there were no symptoms gives a false sense security.

    Hope they are keeping the “football” out of your reach.

    Reply
  2. Pink David

     /  10th May 2020

    Bolsonaro is a smart man.

    Reply
    • Blazer

       /  10th May 2020

      clearly…’“So what? What do you want me to do?”

      Hallmark of great …leadership! 😦

      Reply
      • Pink David

         /  10th May 2020

        Yes. Like the Sweds.

        There is a reason Covid will have little impact on Africa and most of South America. It does not take much intelligence to work it out.

        Reply
        • Alan Foster

           /  10th May 2020

          If we’d have had the same death rate as Sweden, there’d be 1300 of us DEAD

          Reply
          • Alan Wilkinson

             /  10th May 2020

            .. most of whom were going to die this year anyway. As was obvious from the start the most dangerous places are care homes and hospitals. The economic collapse caused by the lockdowns will probably kill 4 to 10 times more people than the virus and they will be young not old.

            Reply
            • Alan Foster

               /  10th May 2020

              Pure fabrication – let’s stick to facts please

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  10th May 2020

              There will be additional deaths from poverty, ill health, violence and suicides. Just the last will increase by 25-50% over the next five years by Australian estimates. That would be 1000 – 2000 deaths here. Probably negligible compared with stress related additional deaths from heart disease and cancers.

            • Pink David

               /  10th May 2020

              “Pure fabrication – let’s stick to facts please”

              Cupcake, the impact on mortality of economic depressions is very well researched and has a huge amount of science behind it. Anyone who told you it was a choice between saving lives and the economy is a lair.

              Your ignorance of this is telling.

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  10th May 2020

              The simple lie that caused all this was the epidemiologists portrayal as a choice between doing nothing and doing a Wuhan.

              It wasn’t. It was a choice between doing a communist lockdown or informing the population of the known facts and risks and supporting their individual solutions while protecting the borders.

            • Conspiratoor

               /  10th May 2020

              To a point I would agree Al. Although I would have told the old folks to stay at home and to hell with their ‘individual solutions’

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  10th May 2020

              But they need individual solutions, C. Old buggers like me with land and horses and dogs and family to look after are in a completely different situation to others in city apartments or retirement homes or still running a small business or directing companies or touring Australia in a campervan. One size doesn’t even make a joke of fitting all.

            • Alan Foster

               /  10th May 2020

              Wilco – yes, apologies for the comment on 1000 deaths but you & PD are so negative re NZ’s future – I say again, apart from the tourist industry, the economy will be opening up soon. The Govt is trying to get an Australian bubble to help tourism – what else can they do re that industry?

            • Pink David

               /  10th May 2020

              “I say again, apart from the tourist industry, the economy will be opening up soon.”

              Can I point out that tourism is NZ’s largest industry.

              Add to that the student industry, that’s $5bn by itself, and the we can then add most of the construction industry. That’s based on increased population which has now stopped. Oh, and the entire hospitality industry.

              You really don’t understand the scale of the problem. Bank of England is saying the UK is heading into the worst recession for 300 years.

              https://www.ft.com/content/734e604b-93d9-43a6-a6ec-19e8b22dad3c

              “The Govt is trying to get an Australian bubble to help tourism”

              Who is going to be able to afford the flights? The days of cheap flights are gone for a long time.

          • Pink David

             /  10th May 2020

            “If we’d have had the same death rate as Sweden, there’d be 1300 of us DEAD”

            The death from the lockdown will be in the tens of thousands. Anyone who supported that policy will have that on their conscious.

            Reply
            • Alan Foster

               /  10th May 2020

              What? In NZ??

            • Pink David

               /  10th May 2020

              Yes in NZ. Are you really that ignorant? Do you not understanding what unleashing the worst depression in a hundred years does to people’s lives?

              One factor alone, people made unemployed see their mortality increase by 63%.

              Another, there will be far less money for health care. NZ will spend more than an entire years health budget on the wage subsidy alone. How many lives do you think you could save with $20bn?

              Stay home, cash the economy, kill people.

            • Alan Foster

               /  10th May 2020

              Wilco’s saying 1000 deaths & you are saying tens of thousands – who’s right? The country is going to open up next week – please don’t have a heart attack & die. All farmers are still working – the tourist industry has gone but there’s nothing the Govt can do about that is there?

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  10th May 2020

              Read again and comprehend. I gave an estimate for suicides – a single contributor.

            • Blazer

               /  10th May 2020

              ‘ Bank of England is saying the UK is heading into the worst recession for 300 years.’

              bloody Labour Govt in the U.K too. 🙂

        • Alan Foster

           /  10th May 2020

          PD – yes, the whole world is heading for big recession / depression. What do you want our Govt to do?

          Reply
          • Pink David

             /  10th May 2020

            “What do you want our Govt to do?”

            Easy, don’t lockdown. Stop the madness. The government has created this recession.

            Reply
            • Blazer

               /  10th May 2020

              What nonsense…is the recession..contagious then?Hopeless.

            • Alan Foster

               /  11th May 2020

              “The death from the lockdown will be in the tens of thousands.”
              I challenge you to predict the deaths in NZ from the lockdown for the years 2020,2021,2022 & 2023. Will it be 10,20,30,40,50 thousand or more?
              Put up or shut up.

            • Pink David

               /  11th May 2020

              “I challenge you to predict the deaths in NZ from the lockdown for the years 2020,2021,2022 & 2023. Will it be 10,20,30,40,50 thousand or more?
              Put up or shut up.”

              You want exact data for the future? I’ve been posting here for weeks that the predictions for deaths from Covid were nonsense on stilts. We know from the past that major recessions have significant impacts on mortality We know NZ is going to be significantly poorer, so the health service will be far less well equipped to treat people. We know that drugs etc will be less affordable. All those were traded off with a simplistic message that did not reflect the true choice.

              Shutting down an economy cost lives. Anyone who makes a claim that it is about life vs the economy is quite simply a lair.

              For perspective, the $20bn currently being used for wage subsidies would have built 20 of the very best hospitals in the world. Would those hospitals have saved more lives than the wage subsidy?

              We will be able to compare quite quickly the impact of this. Australia did not lockdown to the same extent as NZ. Their recession is likely to be less damaging as a result.

              I wonder how you are all going to react as this unfolds.

            • Pink David

               /  11th May 2020

              “What nonsense…is the recession..contagious then?”

              Yes, recessions are contagious. Deflationary spirals are far scarier than Covid-19.

    • Alan Foster

       /  10th May 2020

      We shall see – deaths 600 + a day & rising, whereas most other country’s rates are falling

      Reply
  3. Pink David

     /  10th May 2020

    I do wonder what people who support this lockdown think this shit is achieving….

    Reply
    • Blazer

       /  10th May 2020

      With behaviour like that I can see why you despise that Labour Govt in Australia…unforgiveable.

      Reply
      • Pink David

         /  10th May 2020

        Your mind reading is not very good [deleted], nor is you knowledge of Australia. The feds don’t run the state police.

        My question is simple, how is this saving lives?

        Reply
    • Fight4nz

       /  11th May 2020

      Unbelievable, Police do job. Just like on Police 10/7.

      Truely abhorrent the way that “freedom” fighter used her own child as a shield. But you see that quite a bit with those kind of extremists nowadays.

      Reply
  4. Fight4nz

     /  11th May 2020

    Wow. Must have run out of meds at the asylum this weekend.

    “Bolsonaro is a smart man.” Yup! Got Brazil into the top 10!!

    Followed by “There is a reason Covid will have little impact on Africa and most of South America.” Que??

    Reply
    • Pink David

       /  11th May 2020

      ““There is a reason Covid will have little impact on Africa and most of South America.” Que??”

      It’s not hard to work out. The most elementary understanding of who Covid impacts tells you this.

      Reply
      • Fight4nz

         /  11th May 2020

        “The most elementary understanding of who Covid impacts tells you this.”

        Aaahh, its affecting people in Brazil, but you told me LATAM will get little impact. I got it, is it people without Brazilians?

        Reply
        • Pink David

           /  11th May 2020

          https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/case-fatality-rate-of-covid-19-vs-median-age

          Covid is highly discriminatory. It is largely a disease that kill the old with significant pre-existing conditions.

          Africa and Latin America have far younger demographics and don’t a high population of people with chronic disease such as cancer. They just don’t have many old and ill.

          You can add to that the weather effect, flu’s are at their most dangerous during winter.

          Reply
  5. Fight4nz

     /  11th May 2020

    “the impact on mortality of economic depressions is very well researched”
    Yes, lots of cases to study. There has been the Great Depression, ’87 crash, Asian Financial Crisis, Dot Com and, real humdinger, GFC. All a result of failings of the capitalist systems in which they operate and particularly where regulation relaxed and flouted by those that put personal greed above all else.
    “people made unemployed see their mortality increase by 63%.”
    “death from the lockdown will be in the tens of thousands.”
    So must have been billions killed by those previous depressions. You would have figures on that right, PD?
    “Anyone who supported that policy will have that on their conscious.”
    Yes anyone still supporting economic policies that have caused genocide on the scale seen above … do they have a conscience?
    But this one is a “communist lockdown”. A what????

    The rest of it is just too asinine.

    Reply
    • Alan Wilkinson

       /  11th May 2020

      The lockdown was the good part, the paid holiday and Govt spending spree. Now comes the hard part: the pain, costs, wrecked lives and businesses – little of which will touch those responsible.

      Reply
      • Alan Foster

         /  11th May 2020

        Wilco – the tourist industry has virtually gone but that’s not the Govt’s fault is it? NZ farmers are still producing along with other food producers – people have to eat remember.
        Oil prices are much lower. Be thankful that you didn’t catch the virus & die.
        Try not to be so negative.

        Reply
        • Alan Wilkinson

           /  11th May 2020

          Why should I spare you the reality of what you have supported?

          The tourism industry has been utterly destroyed when it could have been allowed to work out its own solutions.

          Likewise international education. Hospitality, transport, journalism, retail and sport are on the brink.

          Easy to look on the bright side if you are a government employee or an insolvency service. Otherwise not so much.

          Reply
          • Alan Foster

             /  11th May 2020

            How could the tourist industry ” work out its own solutions” when tourists world wide are not travelling.

            Reply
            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  11th May 2020

              I could imagine they could provide managed quarantine services with attractive packages in combination with airlines and various providers given the opportunity.

            • Alan Foster

               /  11th May 2020

              Wilco -so why is NOBODY in the world doing this?
              Think about it.

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  11th May 2020

              Pretty sure they will be as soon as governments let them.

            • Gezza

               /  11th May 2020

              Nothing to stop them getting their heads together now & working out a plan to put to governments. That they haven’t might suggest their CEO’s aren’t worth what they’re being paid?

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  11th May 2020

              Who knows what’s happening. But they need some degree of certainty about future regulations and freedoms and we have anything but that.

          • Alan Foster

             /  11th May 2020

            So, you spend 14 days in lockdown before you can take in the sights – I don’t think so, would you?

            Reply
            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  11th May 2020

              Implement safe transport systems. Take them into the country or to an island resort for fishing, sunbathing, golf, wine tasting – whatever takes your fancy. Move them somewhere else for the second week. Then good to go.

          • Alan Foster

             /  11th May 2020

            So what would be the cost of all these “safe” transport systems. Air fares on a plane 1/10 full would be astronomic. You wouldn’t get many punters.

            Reply
            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  11th May 2020

              Partition a car or van. Use small planes. Set up a boat with safe spaces. Introduce individual breathing gear. Lots of possibilities, just let private sector innovate as usual.

            • Alan Foster

               /  11th May 2020

              If there’s lots of possibilities, I’ll be watching to see how many are introduced. Again, I say, the cost would be astronomical. You are dreaming.

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  11th May 2020

              Dreaming is the first step to innovation. The cost of not innovating is astronomical.

            • Alan Foster

               /  11th May 2020

              Lots of people dream about winning Lotto but it doesn’t happen does it?
              Just like your dreams above.

    • Alan Foster

       /  11th May 2020

      The best post by far that I’ve read on this site.

      Reply
    • Pink David

       /  11th May 2020

      “So must have been billions killed by those previous depressions. You would have figures on that right, PD?”

      No mate. It’s hundreds of millions. You are out by an order of magnitude.

      The most important difference is this is the first time the world has deliberately created a depression. Why did you want this?

      Reply

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