Another awful poll for National (and great for Labour)

Today’s 1 News/Colmar Brunton poll is bad news for National, and very similar to the Newshub/Reid Research poll out earlier this week and also a recent leaked UMR poll:

  • Labour 59%
  • National 29%
  • Greens 4.7%
  • NZ First 3 %
  • ACT 2%
  • Maori Party 1%
  • The Opportunities Party 1%

Refused to answer 5%, undecided 11%. Fieldwork conducted 16-20 May.

The ‘preferred Prime Minister was as bad (and exceptional for Ardern):

  • Jacinda Ardern 63% (+21 from last October))
  • Simon Bridges 5% (-6)
  • Judith Collins 3%
  • Winston Peters 1% (-2)
  • Nikki Kaye 0.4%
  • Todd Muller 0.2%

Notable also is that both Greens and NZ First are under the threshold, and Peters is also dropping to negligible ‘preferred’.

So Labour very strong, Act ok (if Seymour can hold Epsom), Greens in the danger zone and NZ First/Peters really struggling.

Of course tomorrow’s National leadership showdown adds importance to this result.

David Farrar very quick off the mark with the poll results but no commentary: Latest poll
(but his Curia poll average hasn’t been updated for three months).

And Greg at The Standard was ready to rumble: The Colmar Brunton poll

Leave a comment

36 Comments

  1. lurcher1948

     /  21st May 2020

    HAHAHAHAHAHA did I say HAHAHAHA,I love the smell of blood after a coup.

    Reply
    • Zedd

       /  21st May 2020

      stole my thunder Lurch

      LOL 😀 😀 😀

      Reply
      • Duker

         /  21st May 2020

        Careful with your phraseology……they may trigger a mental health crisis amoung the usually privileged elites and their fellow travellers
        We need to be KIND….oops another trigger word…..maybe just say….good government gets results……

        Reply
        • Corky

           /  21st May 2020

          Jacinda and Grant are the government. I don’t know about the rest ?

          Reply
          • Duker

             /  21st May 2020

            Didn’t harm those newbies Shipley and English as they were crucified over the Nats hospitals debacles on the 90s.
            Your base of 30% believes all that bumf…. Keeping on burning Bridges (pun) to the other 18% you need to be in government…..sure the donors love that stuff but now even they are heading for the hills.

            Reply
            • Corky

               /  21st May 2020

              ”Your base of 30%”

              What does that mean given I’m not a National voter?

              The rest of your post is the usual…something..I’m not sure?

            • Duker

               /  21st May 2020

              Hard conservative base.
              A joy to see the stars knocked out of your eyes….

            • Corky

               /  21st May 2020

              If you say so. Carry on.

    • Corky

       /  21st May 2020

      Guys..enjoy your moment. This one may have to last you a very long time. 🎂

      Reply
      • Duker

         /  21st May 2020

        We can look forward to the Luxon v Muller leadership battle in 3 yrs time….you have been in la la Land for some time.

        Reply
        • Corky

           /  21st May 2020

          Lala land you say..what was your prediction the other day.( which to be fair is yet to be proven wrong)?

          Reply
          • Duker

             /  21st May 2020

            That Bridges will remain?
            That won’t apply after the election, which is then Muller’s to win with his smarts

            Reply
    • That poll is a thing of great beauty.

      Ardern’s popularity is the highest result in 25 years of 1 News/Colman Brunson polling, and richly deserved.

      And on the basis of that poll, Winston and class-clown David Seymour are both out on their ears, while Labour governs alone.

      There might just be a God after all.

      Reply
  2. Corky

     /  21st May 2020

    Simon and Paula are gone. Todd will feast on their mana. An acquaintance of mine, interviewed on One News, said the Maoris used to steal Todd’s sandwiches at school. So, some utu will be served tomorrow if Todd is elected leader.

    One great thing about National leadership challenges and executions – the process is very quick and brutal. Remember poor old Jim? Straight off the plane and knifed.

    Reply
    • Duker

       /  21st May 2020

      Quick …..Bridges has been a dead man walking for a year…..4 months before an election was the ditherers last chance
      Amy Adams must be relishing the dish served cold… Before the door slams shut behind her

      Reply
      • Corky

         /  21st May 2020

        ”Quick …..Bridges has been a dead man walking for a year.”

        No, he wasn’t. Don’t exaggerate. There were plenty of questions over his leadership, that is true. But he was given a chance (s) to come right. He hasn’t delivered and will be gone quick smart.

        You are a strange mixture of BS and Bluster.

        Reply
        • Gezza

           /  21st May 2020

          Tru dat, but

          I missed 1News at 6 tonight. Busy newsy emailing little sister. Worth watching on On Demand?

          Reply
          • Corky

             /  21st May 2020

            😂
            I know! The problem is Duker goes outside, picks the stone up..and throws it again. I mean, does the guy ever learn?

            Reply
            • Corky

               /  21st May 2020

              Oh, no. Not worth watching the news.

            • Gezza

               /  21st May 2020

              Not everybody’s sharp enuf to figure out the subtle stuff.
              I’ll take your word for it on the tv news.
              The Jacinda Show’s got like Bradley Walsh’s The Chase.
              On every bloody night and batshit boring eventually.

  3. duperez

     /  21st May 2020

    For some it’s eat drink and be merry I suppose. Then drink again.

    It’s not like a game of cricket though where you want to win and winning by one is enough. In this game you want to win by as much as possible to give yourself a position from which you are able to do what you want to do.

    How to win by as much as possible? Don’t merely sit back and try to stop the other team scoring and defend your lead. Score points, then do it again. Come up with policies which people want and sell them.

    Reply
  4. David

     /  21st May 2020

    She has peaked too soon, all down here from here on in. Bridges holds on tomorrow, just. Ardern wins the election and governs with the absurd Greens and ends up in 3 years leaving parliament in shame at the awfulness of her 2nd term.
    Luxon/Goldsmith win in 2023 and spends the 1st term sorting the unholy mess left behind and goes on to serve 2 further terms before deciding to do a Key and look for other challenges in life like the awesome winners they both are.

    Reply
    • Corky

       /  21st May 2020

      Dave, I really think Simon deserves to stay until the election. The rest of your montage I like.
      National needs to be purified in the fire of loss…only to arise again and seek serious revenge.

      Reply
      • Gezza

         /  21st May 2020

        For heaven’s sake, your seemingly incessant fixation on vengefulness is bordering on a mental illness or a personality disorder.

        They’d have no need to seek revenge. It’s totally unnecessary. The prize is the Treasury Benches. Keeping them is its own reward.

        Reply
        • Corky

           /  21st May 2020

          I wondered as I wrote that when you would crack. You forgot to mention talkback radio and guns. I like to milk subject dry before moving on. The thing is they are so ‘giving.’

          Reply
          • Corky

             /  21st May 2020

            Are you an avo lover? I will post a clip tommorrow that is shocking. The funny thing is I think certain areas in NZ may end up like those provinces in Chile.
            Man, some of those avo orchards..the size. Switch the peasants with Maori..and the orchard owners with European NZer’s and we would have similar.

            Reply
            • Gezza

               /  21st May 2020

              I don’t mind avos. Wouldn’t say I was an avo lover. I don’t buy them.
              Re the rest, see below re gibbering.
              May look for your video tomorrow. Keep it real tho, eh?

          • Gezza

             /  21st May 2020

            Dunno what on earth guns n talkback radio have got to do with it?
            You’re gibbering.

            Get a good night’s sleep. Things may be clearer in the morning.
            https://yournz.org/2020/05/21/open-forum-thursday-245/#comment-420046

            Reply
            • Corky

               /  21st May 2020

              Ok… time for some organic coffee from Peru, I believe. It’s Fair Trade coffee. They pay the peasants heaps for the coffee.. and middleclass halfwits like me pay for Fair Trade’s largesse with the natives.

            • Gezza

               /  21st May 2020

              Well, that won’t be the best thing for helping you sleep bro.
              Better to have warm milk; genuine soporific.

    • Gezza

       /  21st May 2020

      Ardern nevertheless then goes on to greatness in an absurdly high-paid overseas role either in the US or at the UN.

      Reply
      • Duker

         /  22nd May 2020

        No rush for any of that… as HC showed these openings can come up after your 9 years
        And salaries are $US and tax free arent absurdly high at all – as they are linked to US State depratment pay grades. US$250k would be a senior grade salary

        Reply
  5. Alan Wilkinson

     /  21st May 2020

    Easy come, easy go. What goes up must come down. The only question is how long it will take.

    After the party comes the reckoning as the country tries to go back to work and finds there isn’t much unless you work for the Government.

    Strange sight on the roads today was loaded logging trucks heading north past Kerikeri presumably to the Kaitaia plywood factory. Was that wood redirected from Marsden Point after China cancelled orders?

    Reply
    • Gezza

       /  21st May 2020

      Interesting question. No idea. Prefer not to speculate.

      How can you find out? What contacts can you chase down?

      Reply

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