Covid cases surging around the world

While Covid looks to be well under control in New Zealand cases are surging overall worldwide and in many countries around the world.

Reuters: Record numbers of coronavirus cases in every global region

Almost 40 countries have reported record single-day increases in coronavirus infections over the past week, around double the number that did so the previous week, according to a Reuters tally showing a pick-up in the pandemic in every region of the world.

The rate of cases has been increasing not only in countries like the United States, Brazil and India, which have dominated global headlines with large outbreaks, but in Australia, Japan, Hong Kong, Bolivia, Sudan, Ethiopia, Bulgaria, Belgium, Uzbekistan and Israel, among others.  

Many countries, especially those where officials eased earlier social distancing lockdowns, are experiencing a second peak more than a month after recording their first.

“We will not be going back to the ‘old normal’. The pandemic has already changed the way we live our lives,” World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said this week. “We’re asking everyone to treat the decisions about where they go, what they do and who they meet with as life-and-death decisions – because they are.”

The Reuters data, compiled from official reports, shows a steady rise in the number of countries reporting record daily increases in the virus that causes COVID-19 over the past month. At least seven countries recorded such increases three weeks ago, rising to at least 13 countries two weeks ago to at least 20 countries last week and to 37 countries this week.

The United States has been the worst affected country, and while there has been a resurgence there as the problem shifted ot different states the worst may be over – U.S. records 1,000 coronavirus deaths for fourth day, some progress seen

The United States recorded more than 1,000 deaths from COVID-19 for the fourth straight day on Friday but a top White House advisor on the pandemic said she saw signs that the worst could be past in hard-hit southern and western states.

The numbers have been driven in large part by a surge in infections in Arizona, California, Florida, Texas and California.

“We’re already starting to see some plateauing in these critically four states that have really suffered under the last four weeks, so Texas, California, Arizona and Florida, those major metros and throughout their counties,” Dr Deborah Birx told NBC news in an interview.

Getting childen back to school after the summer holidays is a contentious issue.

Birx’s comments came as federal health and education officials stressed the need for children to return to in-class instruction. The American public and its leaders have been sharply divided over whether students should return to school for the fall term during the pandemic.

Birx said children under the age of 18 are typically less sick than older adults from the sometimes deadly illness but called it an “open question” how readily those under 10 can spread the virus.

There’s a lot still not well understood about Covid. But one thing that is apparent that while it is known that older people are more likely to die from the virus the illness can have long lasting effects, including for younger people.

Reuters – Young, healthy adults with mild COVID-19 also take weeks to recover: CDC

Young, previously healthy adults can take weeks to fully recover from even a mild COVID-19 infection, with about a fifth of patients under 35 years reporting not returning to their usual state of health up to 21 days after testing positive, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

Cough, fatigue and shortness of breath were among the symptoms reported while testing that persisted even weeks later, according to the report.

Still problems in Europe –

UK quarantines travellers from Spain in sudden blow to Europe’s revival

Britain abruptly imposed a two-week quarantine on all travellers arriving from Spain after a surge of coronavirus cases, a dramatic and sudden reversal on Saturday to the opening of the European continent to tourism after months of lockdown.

Australia is one country battling a resurgence.

ABC: Victorian coronavirus cases rise by 300, seven deaths recorded as people die in aged care settings

Victoria has recorded seven coronavirus deaths since Thursday, marking the deadliest day for the state since the pandemic began, as 300 new COVID-19 infections were detected.

Seven deaths is a new single-day record in Victoria, and is the equal highest daily toll for the nation, after seven deaths were recorded on April 7.

It brings the national coronavirus death toll to 140, and the state toll to 56.

ABC: Victorian coronavirus infections are spreading across Australia

Despite strict internal border controls, infections sourced to second-wave outbreaks in Victoria have been reported in every state and territory in Australia.

Tasmanian, South Australia, ACT and NT have had at least one active case linked to a Victorian outbreak. Cases sourced to Victoria have also been reported in NSW, Queensland and Western Australia.

So while things are ok here there is no sign of any possibility of opening our borders to any Australian states for some time.

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52 Comments

  1. David

     /  26th July 2020

    The mortality rate is plummeting alongside the surge in cases, there is way too much coverage of gloom and you have to hunt hard for actual data.
    This drug looks promising albeit its just a small trial:
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8559631/Three-university-professors-overnight-MILLIONAIRES-finding-major-breakthrough.html
    We dont get much coverage of the other drug that was dropping death rates by 35% and it was only a fiver for a pill.
    The WSJ reckons the CFR is .6% and dropping with some areas recording .2% which is just twice the rate for flu.

    Reply
    • Alan Wilkinson

       /  26th July 2020

      There is another report of three existing approved drugs showing up to 80% efficacy in reducing lung damage in lab tests. Treatments should be improving quickly.

      Reply
      • David

         /  26th July 2020

        The CDC has the CFR at between .2 and .6 % but the under 65s way below this and 85% of deaths under 65 having commodities.

        Reply
    • Duker

       /  26th July 2020

      ” with some areas recording .2% which is just twice the rate for flu.”
      Hospitalisations and ICU rates are what ? 5x that of flu ..or is it more
      Recovery times for younger to middle aged people are what compared to flu?
      Lifetime effects are expected to be what ?

      Respiratory diseases diminish over summer before peaking again over winter , this will be the same

      Remember all the bad effects for closed wards for ordinary illnesses ( but not acute cases)…surely the numbers should have trended up by now..
      Except maternity wards show a massive drop in premature babies during the covid shutdowns..
      Like many others, fewer road accidents and deaths, fewer work accidents and deaths. fewer pub brawls and street fights due to bars closed etc etc

      Reply
      • Pink David

         /  26th July 2020

        “”Remember all the bad effects for closed wards for ordinary illnesses ( but not acute cases)…surely the numbers should have trended up by now..”

        I’ve shown the numbers for the UK below. There has been a very large spike in excess death over the weeks of the lockdown. 2000 odd per week. These are not Covid related deaths.

        So it is showing up, it’s into the tens of thousands. The UK has a backlog of 1,000,000 and counting cancer treatments.

        Those deaths will start showing up too.

        Reply
  2. John J Harrison

     /  26th July 2020

    As with dengue fever, measles etc we are going to have to learn to live with COVID-19.
    Jacinda has created a Stockholm syndrome fear amongst the citizenry which suits her political purposes.
    This could be accomplished immediately by allowing international travel to Thailand, Taiwan and Vietnam, all of whom have been far more successful in addressing this insidious plague than New Zealand has done.

    Reply
    • David

       /  26th July 2020

      I dont see any huge desire to open up to anywhere, quite the opposite in fact I think there seems more desire to just shut the country off completely to all except those born here.
      What exactly are we missing except delaying a holiday to a later date, hardly doing it tough and I say this as someone who travels overseas a lot and have shareholdings in two hotels.

      Reply
    • Blazer

       /  26th July 2020

      Typical John…most NZ’ers are extremely satisfied with the Govt’s response here and the majority of the population understand the importance of continuing vigilance.

      Even loaded David appreciates that deferring overseas travel is not a big…deal.

      Reply
      • Alan Wilkinson

         /  26th July 2020

        It is for the Pacific countries. Funny how the Left accuse others of selfishness.

        Reply
        • Blazer

           /  26th July 2020

          Yes trying to stay alive qualifies as the ultimate selfish…act.

          Reply
          • Pink David

             /  26th July 2020

            “Yes trying to stay alive qualifies as the ultimate selfish…act.”

            It is when you kill people to achieve it.

            Reply
            • duperez

               /  26th July 2020

              Sure is. Was it you months back scorning approaches chosen here, preferring approaches chosen elsewhere which saw many deaths? Sort of klling people for the selfish act of having your way. Couldn’t have been you.

          • Alan Wilkinson

             /  26th July 2020

            No cases in the Pacific = no excuse.

            Reply
            • NOEL

               /  26th July 2020

              Well the excuse is no cost benefit ratio for Pacific hence focus on Australia first.

            • Blazer

               /  26th July 2020

              so you can rely on the data from Tonga,Fiji etc and countries whose number one earner by far is…tourism .

            • Alan Wilkinson

               /  26th July 2020

              They have the greatest incentive to stay safe.

      • Pink David

         /  26th July 2020

        “Even loaded David appreciates that deferring overseas travel is not a big…deal.”

        Give it 12 months and lets see just how that lack of ‘oversea’ travel is working out.

        Reply
        • David

           /  26th July 2020

          Supposed to be in Texas next month but happy to delay a year but you are right I might be a bit grumpy about waiting longer. Given the way therapeutics are going we should open at Christmas, I dont think we need to wait for a vaccine but I would put a money on us having one by Christmas.

          Reply
          • Pink David

             /  26th July 2020

            “Supposed to be in Texas next month but happy to delay a year but you are right I might be a bit grumpy about waiting longer.”

            It’s more than you just being a bit grumpy. It is the millions of jobs lost as a result. Just look at the Islands. How long before they are all living on aid?

            ” I dont think we need to wait for a vaccine but I would put a money on us having one by Christmas.”

            What will the vaccine change exactly?

            We have a vaccine for Flu. In a typical year 500,000 die from Flu.

            Reply
    • Duker

       /  26th July 2020

      ” dengue fever, measles etc ”
      We dont live with measles …we vaccinate.

      The learn to live with it , is from 6 months back and didnt work then either.

      Reply
      • Pink David

         /  26th July 2020

        “We dont live with measles …we vaccinate.”

        140,000 dead in 2018.

        Reply
  3. Duker

     /  26th July 2020

    Funny that the usual voices are quiet about their previous vociferous support for
    1) Limited lockdown …
    2) Ending Level 4 early..
    3) Ending level 3 early
    4) Opening up the borders with Australia …now

    Have ever a group been so wrong so often by second guessing the experts ( while they didnt have all the answers knew the basics pretty well)
    Just saying you were wrong would be great ( I admitted I was wrong a round the time of the first lockdowns as it wasnt like the flu)

    Remember too when they said we went TOO HARD but only had similar results to individual Australian states.
    Remember they said we were going for the impossible by trying for ‘eradication’…. knashing of teeth, flames coming from nostrils over that one.

    I was one of those saying ending many of the lockdowns early was going to have the enevitable SECOND WAVE.
    Not that I had a crystal ball , just thats what happened in 1918 when effects werent all that well known

    Well now we know, as we have our lives back pretty much to normal, while other countries …still having restrictions and rules for this and that

    Reply
    • Pink David

       /  26th July 2020

      “I was one of those saying ending many of the lockdowns early was going to have the enevitable SECOND WAVE.”

      Victoria had the strictest lockdown for the longest period. California has had the strictest lockdown in the US and it was never lifted to any significant degree, yet no measurable difference between there and states that lifted ‘early’ and to a far greater degree.

      What measure would you put in place to have judged when the lockdown should be ended?
      Zero cases?
      Zero cases for months?

      How many people die as a result of the lockdown for this duration?

      And, again, your idea lockdowns are effective, please explain why Peru has so many dying.

      “Have ever a group been so wrong so often by second guessing the experts (”

      I am fully in support of the experts. As I have posted numerous times.Professor Sunetra Gupta has been spot on about this from the beginning. Anders Tegnell is also right. Hundred more are against lockdowns as being ineffective and come at a massive cost in human life.

      The use of a lockdown as a response to an epidemic came from a 14yo’s school science project in 2006. It has no scientific evidence to support it.

      Reply
      • Blazer

         /  26th July 2020

        We are not in lockdown here in NZ.

        Hows Melbourne or is it Adelaide?

        Reply
        • Pink David

           /  26th July 2020

          Melbourne is indeed in lockdown again. Given Victoria had the longest and strictest lockdown in Australia it is rather good evidence lockdowns are not very effective don’t you think?

          Reply
          • Alan Foster

             /  26th July 2020

            David Bolsonaro – it’s because they relaxed the lockdown, the deaths / cases have increased dramatically – why can’t you understand this?

            Reply
            • Pink David

               /  26th July 2020

              ” it’s because they relaxed the lockdown, the deaths / cases have increased dramatically ”

              So I ask what is your measure for when a lockdown should be lifted.

              Peru has had the longest lockdown of almost any country. There lockdown started with just 14 cases.

              It’s now 4000,000 cases and 18,000 dead. How many more deaths from poverty created by the lockdown?

    • Pink David

       /  26th July 2020

      “Have ever a group been so wrong so often by second guessing the experts”

      Do you remember what the lockdown recommended by the ‘experts’ was for? Forgotten?

      Do you remember NZ’s experts demanding the level 4 lockdown not be lifted for 6 more weeks? Forgotten?

      Reply
      • Duker

         /  26th July 2020

        I never said they had ‘all the details right’, but sticking closely to evidence based reasoning was the right way.
        In the context it was the ‘right call overall’
        You were wrong on everything , and inspite of that continued getting every detail and procedure wrong…take a bow the ‘Mike Hosking of Yournz’
        The know nothing knowall

        Reply
        • Pink David

           /  26th July 2020

          “I never said they had ‘all the details right’, but sticking closely to evidence based reasoning was the right way.”

          Lockdowns are not evidence based. There intent was to slow the spread, not any more. Remember ‘flatten the curve’?

          “You were wrong on everything , and inspite of that continued getting every detail and procedure wrong”

          Really? I said from the beginning lockdowns would cause far more harm than Covid. That is happening, week by week. All over the world. Tens of millions unemployed is just the start. Look at the unrest in the US, how much of that is the result of lockdowns?

          Look at the islands, poverty is going to be profound across the region.

          Look at Peru, 40% fall in GDP in one of the poorest countries on earth. You clearly have no idea what that means for them. That is horrifying,

          The UK, lockdowns cause just as many excess deaths as Covid. 1,000,000 missed cancer treatments that will take years to clear, thousands will die just from that one thing along. Add to that 25% fall in GDP. That will cost thousands of lives.

          https://hectordrummond.com/2020/07/15/week-26-graphs-from-christopher-bowyer/

          “The know nothing knowall”

          This sums you up so well;

          Reply
          • Blazer

             /  26th July 2020

            Good to see Ronnie didn’t fluff his…lines.

            Like most on the right,never had an original idea in his…life.

            Reply
            • Pink David

               /  26th July 2020

              Yes. I think it is an interesting contrast with Stalin and his original ideas of starving millions to death in the name of progress.

              Polpots original idea of marching people out of the cities into the field to slaughter them in the name of progress. Oh, and kill anyone who wore glasses. Although, perhaps that was Rousseau’s idea.

              Very original.

            • No, that was Pol Pot.

              I taught ESOL to Cambodian refugees, some had suffered torture and all had had terrible things happen.They didn’t say much about it, but would let things slip occasionally.

          • Duker

             /  26th July 2020

            “1,000,000 missed cancer treatments that will take years to clear, thousands will die just from that one thing along” – means spend more money on doctors ?

            Making it all up…. thousands die every year from missed diagnosis anyway.
            I know what that means ..screening tests or active surveillance for those with non invasive cancers.
            Cancers are missed by these tests all the time …its not a certain process but improving.
            What you are relying on the ‘computer models’ and a long timeframe so they cant be caught out

            Reply
            • Pink David

               /  27th July 2020

              “Making it all up…. thousands die every year from missed diagnosis anyway.”

              Remarkable. Thousands die, no big deal for Duker, it happens anyway, nothing to see here.

              “Almost 2.5 million Britons have not been screened, tested or treated for cancer because the Covid-19 pandemic has led to “enormous disruption” of NHS care for the disease, experts have warned.

              More than 24,000 cases of cancer have gone undiagnosed as a result of the suspension of normal services while delays in treatment mean some people’s disease is now inoperable, Cancer Research UK (CRUK) says.”

              https://www.theguardian.com/society/2020/jun/01/millions-in-uk-miss-cancer-screenings-tests-and-treatments-due-to-covid-19

              “What you are relying on the ‘computer models’ and a long timeframe so they cant be caught out”

              I think I have made my thoughts on computer models, especially around complex issues like an epidemic very clear. Did you miss this?

      • Alan Wilkinson

         /  26th July 2020

        I particularly enjoyed their claim that it was a 95% certainty there would be more infections. There were none. They were 100% wrong.

        Reply
        • Duker

           /  26th July 2020

          Merely a statistical measure point to indicate significance. An indication where the true number lies.

          You cant even get that right , your ignorance catches you again
          “There is now a 95% chance COVID-19 has been eliminated in New Zealand, according to our modelling, based on official Ministry of Health data….But there is still a 5% chance of undetected cases.”
          They could have done a 1% significance …. but its statistics well above your level ..maybe once when you were younger
          https://theconversation.com/new-zealand-hits-a-95-chance-of-eliminating-coronavirus-but-we-predict-new-cases-will-emerge-139973

          Its like election polls saying they are within the margin of error at the 95% significance, which just means 1 in 20 of our polls is rubbish…when you have 20 in a row,

          Reply
          • Alan Wilkinson

             /  26th July 2020

            You are so pathetic, Duker. Your statistics qualifications and experience? Mine: Stat Maths 2 and 13 years assisting uni researchers to use statistical packages. And that claim was not the one I was referring to. They claimed what I said. At the time my model showed there had been no unidentified infectious cases in the country for several weeks. They were insisting on maintaining lockdown. Their statistical claim was completely false both in value and its reliability.

            Reply
  4. Pink David

     /  26th July 2020

    “The United States has been the worst affected country, and while there has been a resurgence there as the problem shifted ot different states the worst may be over”

    Amazing. Almost like it is a seasonal virus.

    Reply
    • Duker

       /  26th July 2020

      Its a respiratory virus , spread by human to human contact ( you dont get it from food!) and in warmer weather more people outside rather than indoors.
      Thats why Sweden will get worse towards the end of the year as winter arrives

      Reply
      • Pink David

         /  26th July 2020

        “Thats why Sweden will get worse towards the end of the year as winter arrives”

        This will apply to the whole of Europe. Sweden’s approach was they gain a much higher rate of immunity by not locking down. Anders Tegnell has been quite clear on that approach.

        Would you have everyone return to lockdown?

        Reply
      • Pink David

         /  26th July 2020

        Reply
        • Pink David

           /  26th July 2020

          Just note his statements

          ‘Most of our deaths are Covid related, not Covid caused’

          “Most of the deaths are not really caused by the Covid-19”

          Reply
  5. A poster elsewhere wants the quarantine here to be in tents at Waiouru with barbed wire fences. Hitler and Stalin would be proud of her.

    This person went ballistic at the report of the hotel giving a woman in isolation a new pair of pyjamas after the laundry lost hers.Their meanspiritedness is beyond belief.

    Reply
    • So is the PDT’s.

      We don’t have concentration camps here and I hope we never will. In winter, the Waiouru camp would be a death camp.

      The pettiness of raging at the replacing of a pair of pyjamas is pathetic.

      Reply
  6. I have no faith in anything you say Pink David.

    You, Alan Wilkinson, Tom Hunter – all three of you were mouthing off just weeks ago about how COVID deaths had dropped away to near nothing in America.

    You were blind to the fact that young people can still infect older, more vulnerable folk. Tom Hunter suggested I was being hysterical for warning that the increase in positive tests in America would inevitably result in increased deaths. And Alan accused me of cherry-picking data.

    And yet here we are:
    – 148,000 deaths in America – ten days ahead of my projected 148k by August 5th
    – US national deaths back over 1,000 a day for the past week
    – unofficial deaths? Who knows now that the Trump admin is bypassing the CDC

    Just a few weeks before that you were on a campaign to free the world from needing to wear masks. Now even Trump wears one.

    And a few months back you were promoting the use of hydroxychloroquine as a wonder drug for COVID, a drug that has been proven to be ineffective.

    Before that it was your great Tara Reade hoax.

    Just give it a rest.

    Reply
    • Pink David

       /  26th July 2020

      “Tom Hunter suggested I was being hysterical for warning that the increase in positive tests in America would inevitably result in increased deaths. ”

      Deaths with covid or deaths from covid. Do you understand how the two are being measured?

      ” unofficial deaths? Who knows now that the Trump admin is bypassing the CDC”

      Hidden deaths you say?

      “And a few months back you were promoting the use of hydroxychloroquine as a wonder drug for COVID, a drug that has been proven to be ineffective.”

      Oh, that’s right. Your fabricated Lancet study.

      “Just a few weeks before that you were on a campaign to free the world from needing to wear masks.”

      Care to explain why every single health agency was advising against them for months, then suddenly any random bit of cloth across your face is good?

      “Before that it was your great Tara Reade hoax.”

      Mine was it? That comes as a surprise. In what way do I own it? You’re the believe all women guy. Are the rules somehow different now?

      Reply
    • Alan Wilkinson

       /  26th July 2020

      Covid deaths in the US are now about twice “near nothing” despite lockdowns easing and the spread across the whole country. Your point is?

      Reply
      • Did you see RNZ’s inane article about NZ asking for trouble by not making masks compulsory ? It made it sound as if the ‘expert/s’ opinion was current, not before L2. There would be little point in making such a rule now.

        Reply
  7. Patzcuaro

     /  26th July 2020

    From the only in America files:

    “Sinclair Television said on Saturday it would delay airing an interview with a conspiracy theorist who claims baselessly that Dr Anthony Fauci, the country’s top infectious disease expert, created the coronavirus behind the current pandemic.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jul/25/sinclair-tv-stations-fauci-plandemic-conspiracy-theory

    Reply

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