Covid-19: 100 days no community transmission

There has been 100 days of no detected community transmission of Covid-19 in New Zealand. All the new cases since the beginning of May have come into the country and been contained in isolation or quarantine.

As at 9 August:

  • Number of confirmed cases in New Zealand: 1,219
  • Number of probable cases: 350
  • Number of confirmed and probable cases: 1,569
  • Number of deaths: 22
  • Number of active cases: 23
  • Number of cases currently in hospital: 0

Over the last week there has been 3-5000 tests done a day with no positive results from the community.

This has been a very successful management of Covid here due to the actions of the Ministry of Health and the Government, due to a mostly compliant population, and due to some luck.

While some states and territories in Australia have also managed to restrict Covid very well Melbourne and Victoria have had a bad month after Covid got out into the community and spread rapidly, and the death toll has nearly trebled to 295.

Yesterday’s daily update in Victoria:

  • As of 9 August 2020, the total number of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases in Victoria is 14,659 with 394 new cases diagnosed since yesterday.
  • Of the new cases, 49 are linked to outbreaks or complex cases and 345 are under investigation.
  • There are 2,758 cases that may indicate community transmission, an increase of 174 since yesterday’s report.
  • 634 people are in hospital, including 43 patients in intensive care.  
  • Sadly, there have been 17 new deaths reported since yesterday. To date, 210 people have died from coronavirus (COVID-19) in Victoria.
  • There are 7,854 cases currently active in Victoria. 6,378 people have recovered.
  • More than 1,801,300 tests have been processed – an increase of 41,416 since yesterday.

That looks grim for Victoria, and a concern here – like many Kiwis I have relations living there.

Opening trans-Tasman borders looks some time off at best. I doubt I will be able to get my planned Australian visit in this year.

Worldwide there are still major problems with Covid, with total cases nearing 20 million and 726 thousand recorded deaths.

As at the end of 8 August GMT here are the worst 20 countries (Worldometer):

A quarter of total cases (now over 5 million) and over a fifth of total deaths (165 thousand) have been in the United States.

Brazil has also been bad (now over 100 thousand deaths), and Mexico and India are having increasing problems

Europe had had major problems but Italy, France, Spain, Belgium and the UK seem to have mostly got things under control.

But as resurgences in Victoria and some US states have shown, it is easy for Covid to get put of control.

The impact of Covid is likely to continue at least for the rest of the year and probably well into next year.

I’m very grateful that Covid is under control here, but I’m aware that it is far from over, and the economic impact is likely to increase from September after wage subsidies run out this month.

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26 Comments

  1. David

     /  10th August 2020

    The coverage in many outlets seem to delight in the deaths of many Americans and Brazilians because of the politics of their respective leaders is ghoulish. If you happen to be living in one of those countries and lost a loved one is your grief now discounted and should there be unspoken hints that you get what you deserve because of the outcome of a plebiscite.
    The ironic thing is that these are both federal countries where the presidents have very little control over masks, lockdowns, health services but the socialist governments of Italy and Spain who do have control have had appalling outcomes.

    Reply
    • I don’t see any delight expressed in awful death rates.

      I think leadership does matter. Poor leadership in some countries has resulted in protests against lockdowns and against mask wearing, contrary to expert medical advice in those countries.

      Part of the reason for our success here has been strong (and popular) leadership that has supported the health authorities.

      Reply
      • David

         /  10th August 2020

        But no mention of 20000 Germans taking to the streets about masks.
        No mention that NY and New Jersey having absolutely horrific death rates under Democrat control.

        Reply
        • Patzcuaro

           /  10th August 2020

          Don’t forget the 100,000 bikers gathering for 10 days in South Dakota.

          Reply
          • David

             /  10th August 2020

            Which is far less than the folk who marched for BLM 8 weeks ago who all seem to be happily alive.

            Reply
        • David

           /  10th August 2020

          Deaths per million in Democrat run New Jersey are 1780 per million and in NY its 1680 and in Republican run Florida its 360 and Texas its 300 and which are the states you hear most about ? Well put it this way has anyone heard of Phil Murphy, seen his feet held to the fire, had any questions at all asked about his performance given he is literally in charge and the key decision maker of economically the 8th wealthiest state in the union.

          Reply
          • Duker

             /  10th August 2020

            NY and NJ were 3 months ago they had their peak ( which was very high and for which much criticism) and now its down..
            Texas and Florida are rising now .
            Florida now 162 deaths per day
            Texas now 170 deaths per day

            New York state now 13 deaths per day

            Its the long haul that matters

            Reply
      • Pete, the MoH wanted 4 weeks at L2, but the PM decided that instinct (hers) was more important that science and evidence. She went against them and did untold harm to the economy and people’s lives.

        PDTs, you can see her saying this if you google it.

        Reply
        • Duker

           /  10th August 2020

          The scaremonger at work again. [Deleted uninformed whingeing]
          Into lockdown Level 4 came a few days after levels 2 and 3.
          You are dazed and confused again.
          The alert system worked like this
          21 March was level 2 and first time it was mentioned.
          2 days later it was Level 3
          25th March was level 4 for 4 weeks
          Wheres this 4 weeks you talk about ? The level 4 at that time was supported by all parties in parliament including Bridges and Seymour who saw the same data the PM did.
          20th April Level 4 was extended for another week, making 5
          And then there was the wind back of lockdowns announced then.
          “The Alert Level 4 will end at 11:59 pm on 27 April with the country entering into Alert Level 3 on 28 April for the duration of two weeks.”
          On 13th May it was announced Level 2 would occur ( so level 3 was a few days more than 2 weeks)
          9th June was level 1 start, so just short of 4 weeks for Lvl 2 ( 28 days without community transmission was the criteria FROM EXPERTS which was met) Wheres the extra time KK talks about ? Its false of course. It should be deleted by moderators as a baseless claim, but never is.

          [Deleted – challenge or debate points made but don’t just dismiss as ‘lies’, that’s lazy dissing – PG]

          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_New_Zealand

          Reply
        • Blazer

           /  10th August 2020

          You really should stop making things up.

          You can never present any evidence…quite tedious.

          Reply
          • Duker

             /  10th August 2020

            Guess who gets the [Deleted uninformed whingeing] while KKs complete uninformed and anti Ardern whingeing gets a free pass.
            Is this cancel culture sneaking in ?
            Its like The Standard , if you ‘go off message’ its deleted or dumped to another post.
            And the worst moderators at The Standard are those that like to think of themselves as belonging to ‘ a community of dissent’ but dont brook and dissent to their world view

            Reply
            • “Is this cancel culture sneaking in ?”

              No, it’s the don’t be a hypocritical dick trying to sneak abuse in and you’ll be fine culture.

            • Duker

               /  10th August 2020

              Of course you are not part of cancel culture. I get your point about personal comments and intentional flaming …but is uninformed whinging something worth your time?

              But isnt this uninformed whingeing ?
              ” but the PM decided that instinct (hers) was more important that science and evidence. She went against them and did untold harm to the economy and people’s lives”
              She claims science and evidence for her claim – no supporting details provided. …Did untold harm…more whinges with no evidence.

              hardly any of KK in general comments follow guidelines
              https://yournz.org/2012/09/21/good-blog-commenting/
              5. If I’m making assertions, can what I say be backed up by actual fact?
              6. If I’m refuting an assertion made by others, can what I say be backed up by fact?
              7. Am I approaching this subject like a thoughtful human being, or like a particularly stupid fan?

            • Google ‘Ardern, instinct, science and evidence’ and you will have the PM’s own words about how she put instinct ahead of science and evidence.

              You are free to disagree that the projected doubling of unemployment figures and a $140,000,000,000 debt are to be considered as damage to the economy and people’s lives.

          • Calling someone a liar when there is evidence that they are not is disgusting.

            Perhaps you’ll believe the PM’s own words if you can be bothered to look them up in the interview she gave about the instinct overruling science and evidence.

            Reply
  2. Patzcuaro

     /  10th August 2020

    Reply
    • David

       /  10th August 2020

      Isnt that the Republican crowd trying to oust Trump with that daft tweet.

      Reply
      • Patzcuaro

         /  10th August 2020

        Yes Kellyanne Conway’s husband George is heavily involved, I’d call them mainstream Republicans

        Reply
        • David

           /  10th August 2020

          Old fashioned neo cons who dont like Trump withdrawing from international conflicts that their clients make billions out of.
          Trump is too liberal for them they hate his extra funding going to historically black colleges, they despise his soft on crime first step act which is releasing folk sentenced to appallingly long periods for non violent crimes. Old fashioned republicans who hate everything that isnt white, old and god fearing from their swampy Washington DC offices.

          Reply
          • Duker

             /  10th August 2020

            They used to be called Country club republicans , but Trump is the biggest country clubber of them all. Trump in times gone by was the liberal leaning wealthy donor who had swamp dwellers on speed dial.

            Too bad the suburban republicans will sweep Trump out of office come Nov ( delayed to Jan when a new president takes over)
            Swamps or country clubs doesnt matter , the guy who won by a very very narrow margin in the Electoral college can spend much more time at his country clubs

            Reply
  3. Pink David

     /  10th August 2020

    “Europe had had major problems but Italy, France, Spain, Belgium and the UK seem to have mostly got things under control.”

    They got things under control did they?

    I guess this means Sweden has things under control too.

    Reply
    • Duker

       /  10th August 2020

      Sweden has been 35 x worse than Greece with Similar population around 10 millGreece had standard hard lockdown like NZ now eased
      Sweden 7500 deaths
      Greece 211

      Hows that Swedish unemployment going ?

      Reply
      • Pink David

         /  10th August 2020

        You really are quite something. For all the crowing you do about being ‘right’ you run out and pull a number completely out of your ass. This doesn’t improve your argument.

        Sweden: 5,763
        https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/

        You, I’m sure, will argue it’s because of the Greek lockdown. That would indicate that Greece is now like NZ in isolation, because if it gets lose, they will suffer like the rest of Europe, correct?

        Is Greece now in total isolation to prevent Covid?

        Let’s do a comparison on respective economies;

        Old news, but not a lot on it recently. Feel free to get the current situation.

        “Greece’s economy this year is expected to be hit severely by the Covid-19 pandemic and the counter measures taken to limit its spread, according to the European Commission’s Spring 2020 Economic Forecast.”

        https://greekcitytimes.com/2020/05/07/coronavirus-hits-greeces-economy-the-most-in-the-eu/

        “The flash estimate from the Swedish statistics office indicated that the country had fared better than other EU nations which took stricter measures.”

        https://www.bbc.com/news/business-53664354

        Do you believe that Greece has ‘controlled’ covid, while the rest of Europe has failed to control it?

        Reply
        • Duker

           /  10th August 2020

          It was a typo, swap 7 and 5 around
          So the ratio is 27 x instead 35….. and your main point is ?
          Compare Sweden economy with its neighbours as the rest of Europe was all over the place …most left it too late like NY and then put in strict lockdown and then they eased.
          So you like the Swedes own economic models saying soothing things…you know how reliable those things are … because of the unique circumstances each economic forecaster has widely different numbers.
          ANZ here had us at 10% unemployment last Q from the official numbers… but refuse to back down and just moved the 10% TO THE NEXT QUARTER

          Tell us again about the 27 x more dead in Sweden, those rule following lovers of
          ‘nanny government’ Greece is notorious for no one follows the rules and yet…..

          Reply
          • Pink David

             /  10th August 2020

            “and your main point is ”

            Covid is over in Sweden.

            Reply
            • Blazer

               /  10th August 2020

              The Sun—‘Sweden has been an outlier in its response to the coronavirus and, unlike most countries around the world, never imposed a full lockdown.

              People have been asked to work from home where possible, avoid unnecessary travel, and socially distance.

              The government also banned gatherings of more than 50 people, banned visits to nursing home, and closed secondary schools and universities.

              Primary schools have stayed open, in part to ensure more healthcare workers could continue going to work.

              At the peak of the outbreak, the country was seeing 1,800 cases of coronavirus diagnosed per day, but that figure has now fallen into double digits.’

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