Roy Morgan poll – August 2020

The Roy Morgan polls results for August have been published – remember that unusually they poll right through the month, which may make it harder to analyse the results.

Labour have eased slightly but are still well ahead. National have come up a little but are still a very distant second.

Greens have risen quite a bit over the last two months, but have been regularly polling much higher in Roy Morgan polls than with other major polls.

  • Labour 48% (down 5.5%)
  • National 28.5% (up 2%)
  • Greens 11.5% (up 3.5%)
  • ACT Party 6% (down 0.5%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (up 1)
  • The Opportunities Party 1% (down 0.5%)
  • Maori Party 0.5% (no change)

No result for the JLR/conspiracy parties.

Roy Morgan are usually favourable for the Greens, and this won’t have been affected much by the Green School debacle, but they look sort of safe at this stage.

NZ First have a lot of ground to make up.

National are a way off the pace and look very unlikely to seriously challenge Labour. The biggest point of interest at this stage is whether Labour have enough to govern on their own or not (or with the greens but not needing Green votes to implement their policies of choice).

It’s still six weeks until the election but there would need to be major unexpected events to substantially change the outcome.

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8509-nz-national-voting-intention-august-2020-202008310343

Combined poll results from Opinion polling for the 2020 New Zealand general election

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7 Comments

  1. Patzcuaro

     /  1st September 2020

    Another rogue poll?

    Reply
  2. Duker

     /  1st September 2020

    Judith is really making an impact ….2% or with the margin of error

    Go Judith keep up doing what ever you doing so well
    Maybe it will deflate the velvet cushions of one pampered HB nuisance

    Reply
  3. Duker

     /  1st September 2020

    Regarding if labour will have absolute majority with 48% of vote, answer is yes due to wasted vote below 5% who win no seats
    Greens vote is over estimated and NZ first under estimated as the younger people don’t vote as much as the older population.

    Reply
  4. Duker

     /  1st September 2020

    More trouble for Collins and the poodle party ACT
    “That was a remarkable survey in the Herald today. Around 90 per cent of New Zealanders said they supported the Government’s most recent lockdown, and around one in five thought it should have been even longer. The story is here
    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12361007

    The Herald hides the numbers behind a headline that just says
    “Covid 19 coronavirus: Exclusive poll shows Aucklanders divided over lockdown extension”
    ‘By: Amelia Wade Political reporter, NZ Herald

    “It comes as a new NZ Herald-Kantar Vote 2020 poll shows nearly two thirds of Kiwis agree with the Government’s move to extend Auckland’s lockdown by four days which ended on Sunday night.”

    An impartial newspaper would have said Auckland AND New Zealand is OVERWHELMING behind the lockdown when you have up to 90% behind it. ( numbers from the poll)
    Talk about shoddy reporting by Amelia Wade

    Reply
  5. duperez

     /  2nd September 2020

    Disagree. Those numbers don’t mean trouble for Collins and Act.

    It might be they’re only getting fed Round Wine biscuits not lovely muffins, but while they’re at the table forcing them down the bovver boys and girls will be doing the backrooms over.

    Reply

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