We are finally getting a few polls leading into the election, with 1 News/Colmar Brunton releasing another poll, this one with polling done following last week’s leaders debate. This may have slightly lifted National support.
And Labour have slipped enough to raise doubts they may be able to govern alone, especially with a bit more of a Green rise.
- Labour 47% (down 1)
- National 33% (up 2)
- ACT 8% (up 1)
- Greens 7% (up 1)
- NZ First 1% (down 1)
- New Conservatives 1% (down 1)
- TOP 1%
- Maori Party 1%
- Advance NZ 1%
Refuse to answer – 3%
Undecided – 8%
Polling was done from Wednesday 23 to Sunday 27 September.
These are well within margin of error shifts.
Greens are looking healthier but will need to keep fighting for every vote they can get. They sometimes do better in polls than elections.
Winston Peters won’t quite have to rename his party NZ Last, but this loos increasingly like his last stint in Parliament.
The other small parties look like they are getting little to no traction.
Preferred Prime Minister:
- Jacinda Ardern 54% (no change)
- Judith Collins 23% (up 5)
- David Seymour 2% (no change)
- Winston Peters 1% (no change)
That’s a semi significant rise for Collins but she is still a long way off the pace.
1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll: Labour and Greens in driving seat, but ACT still strong
Your NZ 
John J Harrison
/ 28th September 2020Pete, but there is a trend and that is important.
Labour are continuing to trend down, the opposite applies to both National and ACT.
Sure, the Greens are up too and Labour need them to govern.
If the trends continue as they have over the past 4 weeks then not only will the election be a cliffhanger but we could end up with a National / ACT coalition.
Nobody thought that 6 weeks ago.
A lot will ride on the TV 3 debate Wednesday.
If Ardern has another flaccid shocker then the chances of Labour governing are doomed.
Hard to see she won’t repeat her previous performance.
After all she can not simply read from her speech writers notes or rely on Mallard to ride to her rescue.
Popcorn time !
duperez
/ 28th September 2020Oh my God, the heart attacks in the rest homes and sanatoriums up and down the country as Judith comes flashing home and with the help of the 10 Act seats wins the nation!
It’ll make the pandemic health and death crisis look like the latest case of the mildest fluke ever. 🙃
duperez
/ 28th September 2020Now that has to be Freudian. Flu flu flu
Blazer
/ 28th September 2020Hope springs eternal…JJ…have a lie down and a cup of…tea.
lurcher1948
/ 28th September 2020Yawn,Collins might have a melt down and show her nasty true self
Corky
/ 28th September 2020It’s the overseas votes that are the problem. Expats will only know one thing – Jacinda and Labour are Covid slayers. Unfortunately the reality is a little different in Aotearoa. We are, and will, pay severely for that Covid status.
Kitty Catkin
/ 29th September 2020I hope that the expats will have more sense, especially as the new C19 outbreak made headlines overseas.
Alan Wilkinson
/ 28th September 2020Leaves me wondering which is worse – Labour governing alone or dependent on the Greens??
Only good thing about the latter is it would surely see them voted out in 2023.
Corky
/ 28th September 2020Choose your poison.
Kitty Catkin
/ 29th September 2020Would you rather be eaten by a tiger or by a lion ?