A lot has been said about Labour’s failure to replace and replenish it’s caucus.
Therefore an interesting comment from Antoine at The Standard:
I’ve been comparing the Labour Cabinet of 2005 with the current Labour caucus.
1. Clark – GONE
2. Cullen – GONE
3. Anderton – GONE
4. Maharey – GONE
5. Goff – GONE
6. King – GONE [Not yet, leaving in September]
7. Mallard – PROBABLY GOING
8. Hodgson – GONE
9. Horomia – RIP (God bless)
10. Burton – GONE
11. Dyson – STILL HERE (Apparently)
12. Carter – GONE
13. Barker – GONE
14. Benson-Pope – GONE
15. Dalziel – GONE
16. O’Connor – STILL HERE
17. Cunliffe – GONE
18. Parker – STILL HERE (And actually still in a senior role)
19. Mahuta – STILL HERE (Apparently)
20. Cosgrove – STILL HERE [Just, leaving in September]
21. Sutton – GONE.
It makes for sobering reading. The only remaining senior Labour MP with experience of actually getting stuff done in Government is David Parker.
That is a nearly complete turnover in talent, albeit over 12 years. If Mallard manages to get back in on the list he will be Speaker or backbench so is unlikely to feature in Caucus.
The current top 21 and the year they entered Parliament:
- Andrew Little (2011, list, party president 2009)
- Jacinda Ardern (2008, list until this year, has worked in Clark and Goff offices prior)
- Grant Robertson (2008 Wellington Central, worked in Clark and Hobbs offices prior)
- Phil Twyford (2008, list, 2011 Te Atatu, on Labour’s policy council prior)
- Megan Woods (2011 Wigram)
- Chris Hipkins (2008, Rimutaka, advisor to Mallard and Clark prior)
- Kelvin Davis (2008 list, 2014 list, 2014 Te Tai Tokerau)
- Carmel Sepuloni (2008 list, 2014 Kelston)
- David Clark (2011 Dunedin North)
- David Parker (2002 Otago, 2005 list)
- Nanaia Mahuta (1996 list, since 1999 Maori electorates)
- Meka Whatiri (2013 Ikaroa-Rawhiti, senior adviser for Horomia prior)
- Stuart Nash (2008 list, 2011 not in Parliament, 2014 Napier)
- Iain Lees-Galloway (2008 Palmerston North)
- Aupito Su’a William Sio (2011 list, 2008 Mangere)
- Sue Moroney (2005 list) – leaving this year
- Damien O’Connor (1992 West Coast, 2009 list, 2001 West Coast-Tasman)
- Kris Faafoi (2010 Mana)
- Jenny Salesa (2014 Manukau East)
- Peeni Henare (2014 Tamaki Makaurau)
Parker, Mahuta and O’Connor are the only MPs from that list with experience in government who have a chance of returning.
Ruth Dyson has been a low level minister (ACC, Senior Citizens) in the Clark government but is currently ranked 25.
Labour’s top twenty are unlikely to all get into Cabinet if Labour form the next Government.
Based on current polls if Labour and Greens manage to increase their support proportionally then about a third of Cabinet should be Green MPs, and at least a quarter.
But a Labour+Greens+NZ First triumvirate is looking more likely (unless NZ First go with National) and on current polling that is only 60% Labour, or just over half of Cabinet if done proportionally, which would be 12-15 ministers depending on how many are appointed.
Any party that is out of government for 9 years is going to shed a lot of experience, but if Labour get into government after this year’s election they would be one of the least experienced taking office, with no Green government experience and only Winston Peters from NZ First having been in Government or Cabinet before.