Whale Oil has been trying to trash Bill English since he became Prime Minister and they have been trying to trash National since New Zealand along with all other countries in the security voted in December to censure Israel, except the US who abstained.
This morning ‘Cameron Slater’ tries to connect the poll result to their anti-English and anti-National agenda: First poll of year sees Nats slump 4 points, thanks Murray
National has slumped 4 points int he latest 1News/Colmar Brunton poll.
Winston Peters is in the box seat, but Bill English must be regretting letting Murray McCully run rogue at the UN Security Council. This is the cost.
National has started the slide to a number starting with 3.
Bill English better get well acquainted with Winston Peters…and he better sort out Murray McCully or this drop will be just the start.
That’s nonsensical analysis, it’s just trying to justify WO’s doom and gloom predictions with what is actually a fairly consistent poll result. National results since October 2015: 47, 47, 50, 48, 48, 50, 46 so 46% is nothing like a slump.
In fact National have been polling consistently within a fairly narrow band since 2012 with low points 4-5 years ago.
Slater is demonstrating again that he uses Whale Oil for political activism rather than as credible media alternative.
Notably Slater’s slant is largely unsupported in comments so far.
Wilson: Some in the media were saying the first poll will have a 3 in front of it. So 46% is great.
Curly1952: I believe the drop to 46% for National was to be expected as JK was the glue to the party.
As far as the McCully factor goes I would suggest that large swathes of the electorate won’t even consider the UN resolution as part of the political barometer in NZ.
Most of the electorate are unlikely to be aware of the UN vote, or won’t care about it.
Omlete:I think the broad electorate have enough native smarts to not want the wreckers/ haters and unionist thugs on the treasury benches. It will be a National led government.
Ross:On what evidence exactly do you blame Murray?
Korerorero: I don’t thinks it’s that bad. National was on 50% in the last colmar poll.
So this is probably a correction to be in line with the other polls which had Nats around 46%. I think you’ll see nats stay around this number (or possible rise again) after their budget surprise that will leave labour shell shocked and the voters happy.
The only one supporting Slater’s agenda was ‘Positan’:
It’s not a correction. Within my many circles there was utter disbelief at the Christmas Eve announcement of NZ’s position on Res:2334 – and then anger bordering on outrage at English’s failure to front during the holidays and explain. The anger grew with the continued failure of any senior Nat to front – especially, with the empty silly letters issued by pressured Nat MPs.
Next, there were the circulating stories as to how English & Co had believed the whole matter would be blown over by the end of the holidays – the reason for the deafening silence – which has wrought the real damage of “my party vote will go elsewhere,” and “sorry, no extra donation this year.”
If National’s members are saying those sorts of things out loud now – that’s why the 46% figure has happened. English has completely misread his party’s membership’s feelings and he’s blown it. I think National’s poll figures could get very much worse.
That sounds very similar to some of the anti-National posts over the last two months.
Of course National’s poll figures could get worse, but there is no discernible effect on them from the UN vote against Israel, and this poll result is only being called a slump by Slater and some desperadoes at The Standard.
The only slump shown here is in Whale Oil credibility as a political analyst.