Covid daily update – 1 additional case

After three days with no new cases but there is one additional case today. However it’s not exactly new as the person is linked to the Marist school cluster and had symptoms two months ago.

The Ministry of Health report:


Today we are reporting one new confirmed case of COVID-19.

This means New Zealand’s combined total of confirmed and probable cases is now 1,498, of which 1,148 are confirmed.

Today’s confirmed case is linked to the Marist cluster in Auckland and was identified through recent follow-up testing of the school community.  The person first had symptoms nearly two months ago and had a previous negative test. The result is considered a ‘weak positive’ and the person, who has been in isolation through the lockdown period, is not considered infectious now.

We have previously identified instances of ‘weak positive’ cases, which can occur some time after an individual’s illness.

We now have 1,421 people reported as having recovered from COVID-19, an increase of 10 on yesterday. This is 95% of all confirmed and probable cases.

There are now just 56 ‘active’ cases across the country.

Today there are two people receiving hospital level care for COVID-19 – one each in Auckland and Middlemore hospitals. Neither are in ICU.

We still have 16 significant clusters.

There are no additional deaths to report.

There were 7,174 laboratory tests processed yesterday, which brings the total number of tests completed to 216,787.

Daily Covid-19 update

Covid-19 updates happen daily but there are no longer media conferences in the weekend, and I haven’t bothered posting on them every day with not much changing – yesterday the only change in main statistics was 12 more recovered..

Today may be of more interest with questions and hopefully clarifications on confusing rules under the Alert Level 2 lockdown we are switching to tonight. Funeral and tangi restrictions have become a controversial issue.

No new cases again today, so the total remains at 1,497 confirmed and probable cases.

No more deaths, still on 21 – there have been no deaths since 6 May, a week ago.

Another 12 recovered today (total now 1,402 which is 94% of cases), and still 2 people in hospital.

5,961 tests yesterday so no over 200,000 tests, about 4% of the population.


Jacinda Ardern:

Straight into the funeral and tangi issue. Government and Ministry of Health have been discussing this with funeral directors and Iwi leaders.

Funerals are events that cannot easily be postponed. There will still be restrictions but more may be said later in the  day about possible changes.

She then launches into a pre-budget speech. A lot of repeat phrases, but this time also talking about metaphorically moving from winter into spring, which is an odd thing to say as we head into winter.

This budget will be a ‘tailored solution to a specific situation’ – that is, a focus on Covid response.

“When times are hard you don’t cut, you invest”. “Our plan is to invest”.

“…We will strengthen the blanket of support that the state provides”.

“Team of five million” several times.

“Do we return to those settings or is now the time to find a better way?”


Questions lead on funerals which Ardern is well prepared for – working through and agile and incredibly tough and nothing new.

Bloomfield says the Ministry is working through solutions.

Protect but accommodate concerns somehow.

What Ardern said today is officially called  ​​​​​​​Prime Minister’s pre=Budget speech

Three new Covid cases (with known links)

Today’s Covid-19 update there are 3 new confirmed cases, two linked to the St Margaret’s Hospital & Rest Home in Auckland (routine testing), and the third a person travelling back from overseas (mandatory quarantine should have contained that).

There are still only 2 people in hospital, and 90 active cases out of a total of 1,497

So the risk is still very low as we wait for this afternoon’s level stay or lower announcement

As at 9.00 am, 11 May 2020
Total Change in last 24 hours
Number of confirmed cases in New Zealand 1,147 3
Number of probable cases 350 0
Number of confirmed and probable cases 1,497 3
Number of cases currently in hospital 2 0
Number of recovered cases 1,386 15
Number of deaths 21 0

Most parts of the country have had no new cases for weeks (3 weeks in the Southern DHB that at one time had the most cases – 216 – but now has just 7 active cases).

Total cases by DHB, as at 9.00 am, 11 May 2020
DHB Active Recovered Deceased Total Change in last 24 hours
Auckland 13 166 179 1
Bay of Plenty 0 47 47 0
Canterbury 10 141 12 163 0
Capital and Coast 1 92 2 95 0
Counties Manukau 6 121 127 -1
Hawke’s Bay 9 35 44 0
Hutt Valley 0 20 20 0
Lakes 0 16 16 0
Mid Central 1 31 32 1
Nelson Marlborough 2 47 49 0
Northland 1 27 28 0
South Canterbury 2 15 17 0
Southern 7 207 2 216 0
Tairawhiti 0 4 4 0
Taranaki 0 16 16 0
Waikato 15 172 1 188 1
Wairarapa 0 8 8 0
Waitemata 23 208 3 234 1
West Coast 0 4 1 5 0
Whanganui 0 9 9 0
Total 90 1386 21 1497 3

Daily Covid-19 update – Friday

Director of Public Health, Dr Caroline McElnay (she usually does Fridays):

2 new confirmed cases, one  linked to the St Margaret’s Rest Home in Auckland (a nurse), and the other upgraded from probable. So just one more added to the combined total of 1,490

90% of all probably and confirmed cases have recovered.

3 people in hospital (up 1 in yesterday).

No more deaths.

A new record 7,812 tests yesterday bringing the total to 175,835 (3.5% of the population).

A reminder that we are still in level 3 lockdown but should be preparing for whenever we change down to level 2.

Urged to play it safe.


Minister of Finance Grant Robertson

When we change to level 2 the aim is to get business working again as much as possible, but safely.

Refers to: Govt books reflect swift action to protect New Zealanders from COVID-19 impact

The Treasury today released the Crown financial statements for the nine months to the end of March. Net Core Crown Debt was 21.3% of GDP with an OBEGAL deficit of $2.7 billion.

Core Crown tax revenue was $0.4 billion above December forecasts, due to higher-than-forecast PAYE, GST and customs and excise duties reflecting the growing economy before COVID-19. Core Crown expenses were $4.4 billion above forecast, reflecting the financial support for businesses and the health system as we went hard and early in our response.

“As of yesterday the wage subsidy scheme has paid out more than $10.6 billion dollars to more than 1.7 million workers. The scheme was in place from March 17, more than a week before the country went into Alert Level 4.”

MSD figures show jobseeker figures are up around 40,000.

There has been a tenfold increase of people coming back from overseas and onto the jobseeker benefit.

There has been an increase of 30 percent of vehicle traffic since moving to level 3.

Treasury says business activity would be back to 75% of prior levels under level 3 and 85% when we drop to level 2, but level 3 has actually been 80%.

The budget will be delivered next week. It is likely to be quite different to past budgets.+


Some signs of improvement globally:

death toll figures data numbers uk europe usa Coronavirus china virus health healthcare who world health organization disease deaths pandemic epidemic worries concerns Health virus contagious contagion viruses diseases disease lab laboratory doctor health dr nurse medical medicine drugs vaccines vaccinations inoculations technology testing test medicinal biotechnology biotech biology chemistry physics microscope research influenza flu cold common cold bug risk symptomes respiratory china iran italy europe asia america south america north washing hands wash hands coughs sneezes spread spreading precaution precautions health warning covid 19 cov SARS 2019ncov wuhan sarscow wuhanpneumonia  pneumonia outbreak patients unhealthy fatality mortality elderly old elder age serious death deathly deadly

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/05/covid-19-death-toll-misleading-all-cause-mortality-excess-deaths-pandemic/

Daily Covid update Saturday – 1 more death

Yesterday there was little change to the New Zealand Covid numbers

Same again today although a few more cases – 6 (2 confirmed, 4 probable) compared to 3 yesterday.

Five of the new cases can be traced to a known source.

And there is one more death today – another resident of the Rosewood Rest Home in Christchurch, a man in his 80s who had been transferred to Burwood Hospital. This makes it about half of all deaths have been from Rosewood.

As at 9.00 am, 2 May 2020
Total Change in last 24 hours
Number of confirmed cases in New Zealand 1,134 2
Number of probable cases 351 4
Number of confirmed and probable cases 1,485 6
Number of cases currently in hospital 5 -1
Number of recovered cases 1,263 11
Number of deaths 20 1

Regional totals:

Total cases by DHB, as at 9.00 am, 2 May 2020
DHB Active Recovered Deceased Total Change in last 24 hours
Auckland 24 154 178 3
Bay of Plenty 10 37 47 0
Canterbury 34 118 11 163 1
Capital and Coast 5 88 2 95 0
Counties Manukau 17 110 127 0
Hawke’s Bay 13 31 44 0
Hutt Valley 4 16 20 0
Lakes 2 14 16 0
Mid Central 0 31 31 0
Nelson Marlborough 3 46 49 0
Northland 4 24 28 0
South Canterbury 5 12 17 0
Southern 9 205 2 216 0
Tairāwhiti 0 4 4 0
Taranaki 2 14 16 0
Waikato 35 150 1 186 0
Wairarapa 0 8 8 0
Waitematā 35 188 3 226 2
West Coast 0 4 1 5 0
Whanganui 0 9 9 0
Total 202 1,263 20 1,485 6

I think all the Canterbury deaths may be from Rosewood.

For some time the Southern DHB (Otago and Southland) had the most cases but have not had any new cases for nearly two weeks, and now have a relatively low number of active cases.

Total cases of COVID-19 in NZ by age

Two of those who have died were aged between 60 and 69, while the rest were over 70.

Daily Covid update – ‘elimination’ goal achieved but sustained effort required

I’ll post details of the daily Covid update here as they become available, but there may be a series of newsworthy things happening through the afternoon:

1.00 pm  – Dr Ashley Bloomfield daily update

1:30 pm – PM Jacinda Ardern’s post-Cabinet media conference

2:00 pm – Ministerial statements at the restart of Parliament

2:45 pm – Question Time in Parliament


Dr Ashley Bloomfield:

3 new cases today (2 confirmed and 2 probable) – total now 1,472

The Ministry of health has achieved their Level 4 goal of ‘elimination’, but it is an ongoing effort under Level 3. This isn’t eradication.

“We are by no means in the clear. Elimination is not a point in time, it is a sustained effort to keep it out and stamp it out over many months.”

Definition:  a small number of cases, knowings exactly where the cases come from, and can quickly contact trace all the cases.

“Keep it out, stamp it out”.

No more deaths – total remains at 18.

Physical distancing remains very important and it’s imperative to maintain it through Level 3.

“Data from the public health units … showed that they were contacting and tracing 80 percent of close contacts within 48 hours, and the benchmark there is actually 72 hours.”

As at 9.00 am, 28 April 2020
Total Change in last 24 hours
Number of confirmed cases in New Zealand 1,124 2
Number of probable cases 348 1
Number of confirmed and probable cases 1,472 3
Number of cases currently in hospital 9 2
Number of recovered cases 1,214 34
Number of deaths 19 0

Total confirmed and probable cases over time


I only half listened to Ardern’s speech at her media conference, there wasn’t anything new or of of any any great importance.

 

Daily Covid update – 5 more cases, 1 more death

The first media conference for Anzac weekend, with Director General of Health Ashley Bloomfield updating the usual statistics:

5 new cases (1 confirmed and 4 probable) – total now 1,469

Note – 27 April: There are five new cases today, one confirmed and four probable cases. Six cases that were probable yesterday have been reclassified as under investigation or not a case following discussion with MOH. This results in a net decrease in total cases by one.

1 more death, a women in her 90s from St Margaret’s rest home who had been a confirmed case. She’s the third from the cluster to have died.

38 more people have recovered.

7 in hospital, 1 in ICU (unchanged)

A new health order comes into effect at 11:59 tonight (as we move to Level 3 lockdown).

Health Act (COVID-19 Alert Level 3) Order 2020

As at 9.00 am, 27 April 2020
Total Change in last 24 hours
Number of confirmed cases in New Zealand 1,122 1
Number of probable cases 347 -2
Number of confirmed and probable cases 1,469 -1
Number of cases currently in hospital 7 0
Number of recovered cases 1,180 38
Number of deaths (as at 1 pm 27 April) 19 1

 

Southern was the area with most cases for some time, but has now been passed by Waitemata.  There have been no new cases in the Southern area for nine days.


Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern talks about the move to Level 3 and a bunch of general information and numbers. If this is posted I’ll repeat it here.

It is not and cannot be a return to pre-Covid life.

“We will never know what will have happened if we hadn’t gone into Level 4 lockdown…”

She asks for everyone’s help in helping with contract tracing – record where you’ve been and who you have been with.

Cabinet will consider in two weeks time whether to adjust levels again or not.

“We can only do this if we all pull together”.

“We cannot lose the gains we have made so if we have to remain at Level 3 for longer we will”.

Limited Parliament will start up again tomorrow.

This will be the last regular joint media conference with Ardern and Bloomfield so Ardern thanks Dr Bloomfield (but says they could be back together at irregular media conferences.

 

More to come, maybe.

Daily Covid update – a bit of a case bounce

Despite being the weekend Covid cases have bounced back up a bit with 9 new cases (4 confirmed, 5 probable).

Four are linked to existing clusters and 5 linked to known cases so new sources.

Total cases now 1,479.

No new deaths, total remains at 18.

Still 7 in hospital, 1 in ICU in Middlemore.

24 more people have recovered, total recovered now 1,142 – this is 78% of all confirmed and probable cases.

Almost 6,000 tests which is just a little under the test rate of the previous few days.

As at 9.00 am, 26 April 2020
Total Change in last 24 hours
Number of confirmed cases in New Zealand 1,121 4
Number of probable cases 349 5
Number of confirmed and probable cases 1,470 9
Number of cases currently in hospital 7 0
Number of recovered cases 1,142 24
Number of deaths 18 0

 

Total cases by age as at 9.00 am, 26 April 2020
Age Group Active Recovered Deceased Total
0 to 9 17 17 34
10 to 19 13 102 115
20 to 29 41 315 356
30 to 39 49 172 221
40 to 49 51 165 216
50 to 59 53 188 241
60 to 69 38 133 2 173
70+ 48 50 16 114
Total 310 1142 18 1470

https://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-novel-coronavirus/covid-19-current-situation/covid-19-current-cases

Director-General Health Dr Ashley Bloomfield said in a statement although it’s encouraging to have another day of single digit cases, vigilance remains crucial.

“As we prepare to move to Alert Level 3 on Tuesday morning, it’s really important not to slacken off the effort.

“Even though all these new cases are linked to existing community-based cases or clusters, or are a result of overseas travel, nine cases highlights the need for everybody to maintain a high level of vigilance in Level 4 and as we move to Level 3.”

https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/415153/covid-19-live-updates-from-new-zealand-and-around-the-world-on-26-april

Daily Covid update – Saturday

1 more death – total now 18

A woman in her 70s at Waitakere Hospital who was one of the residents from St Margarets Hospital and Rest Home who had been transferred to the hospital earlier this month.

Deaths keep creeping up, most of them from two rest homes. Some argue that this proves the lockdown was too severe, but it’s impossible to know what the death toll would have been if it was not as severe, except that there would almost certainly have been more.

5 more cases – total now 1,461

23 more recovered – total now 1,118

7 people in hospital (1 in ICU)

6,777 more tests – total now 115,015

COVID-19 - tests per day

So a lot more tests being done and only 5 more cases each day over the last two days

As at 9.00 am, 25 April 2020
Total Change in last 24 hours
Number of confirmed cases in New Zealand 1,117 3
Number of probable cases 344 2
Number of confirmed and probable cases 1,461 5
Number of cases currently in hospital 7 -1
Number of recovered cases 1,118 23
Number of deaths 18 1

 

Daily Covid update Friday – deaths now 17

One more death – a man in his 60s from Rosewood Rest Home – brings the total deaths to 17.

Ten of those deaths are from Canterbury, most if not all from Rosewood.

5 new cases (2 confirmed, 3 probable) – total cases now 1,456.

8 people are in hospital, 1 in ICU

1095 have recovered.

Another new record number tested yesterday: 6,961

As at 9.00 am, 24 April 2020
Total Change in last 24 hours
Number of confirmed cases in New Zealand 1,114 2
Number of probable cases 342 3
Number of confirmed and probable cases 1,456 5
Number of cases currently in hospital 8 0
Number of recovered cases 1,095 30
Number of deaths 17 1

 

Grant Robertson today – says the economic plan to respond and recover from Covid-19 consists of three waves:

1. Fighting the virus and cushioning the blow

2. Positioning for recovery and kick-starting the economy

3. Resetting and rebuilding our economy

Wage subsidy audits to protect business integrity

The Government is protecting the integrity of New Zealand businesses correctly accessing the wage subsidy by prioritising the audit process for businesses where complaints have been laid.

A dedicated MSD investigations team is working with IRD and MBIE to ensure businesses using the scheme as intended are not undermined by the actions of a few, Finance Minister Grant Robertson and Social Development Minister Carmel Sepuloni say.

The scheme has paid out $10.4 billion to protect jobs and support the incomes of over 1.6 million New Zealanders. This has kept businesses connected to their workers during the lockdown, so they are in a good position to start up on the other side.

Hospitality businesses prepare for level 3 reopening

Across the country hospitality businesses are making plans and getting prepared to reopen under alert level 3 on Tuesday. The Restaurant Association expects about a third of the roughly 9000 cafes and restaurants to open, but to stay within lockdown rules and attract customers many are having to get creative.

Potential to open NZ-Aus border

Both New Zealand and Australia’s prime ministers see merit in opening up the borders between the two countries in the future but only when it is safe to do so.

Jacinda Ardern and Scott Morrison have discussed the possibility but no plans have yet been confirmed.

Morrison told Australians last night that he would be open to the idea of allowing travel between Australia and New Zealand before border restrictions are completely relaxed.

Morrison says New Zealand is the obvious country to open back up to given the similar Covid-19 trajectories.

But a spokesperson for Ardern says the country’s borders are the best protection against Covid-19 and while the idea has merit, nothing is going to happen immediately.

I expect both countries will want to see how relaxing restrictions go first.