Most admired in the US – Trumps and Obamas

Gallup does an annual poll on the most admired people in the US. The Obamas and the Trumps come out on top again – Obama, Trump Tie as Most Admired Man in 2019

Most admired woman:

  1. Michelle Obama 10%
  2. Melania Trump 5%
  3. Oprah Winfrey 3%
  4. Hillary Clinton 3%
  5. Greta Thunberg 3%
  6. Queen Elizabeth 2%
  7. Nancy Pelosi 2%
  8. Ruth Bader Ginsburg 2%
  9. Elizabeth Warren 1%
  10. Angela Merkel 1%
    Nikki Halley 1%

Clinton was ‘most admired’ woman from 2002-2017. Obama has been most admired for the last two years.

Most admired man:

  1. Barack Obama 18%
  2. Donald Trump 18%
  3. Jimmy Carter 2%
    Eion Musk 2%

Bernie Sanders is 7th, Adam Schiff is 8th. Joe Biden as barely featured.

 

View complete question responses and trends.

Trump administration low on ethics

A Gallup poll rates the Trump administration the lowest on ethics of an administration since polling on ethics began in the 1980s.

Overall, how would you rate the ethical standards of top Trump administration officials — as excellent, good, not good or poor?

  • Excellent 7%
  • Good 30%
  • TOTAL FAVOURABLE 37%
  • Not good 19%
  • Poor 40%
  • TOTAL UNFAVOURABLE 59%

Gallup: Trump Administration Officials Get Low Marks on Ethics

  • Lowest administration ethics rating Gallup has measured
  • Contrary to typical pattern, Trump job approval exceeds ethics rating
  • May 1-10 Gallup poll.

With Trump approval ratings averaging on the low forties that suggests that some people don’t care  much about ethics.

Past poll results:

The only other president below 50% was Bill Clinton and he recovered significantly.

Most admired US man and woman

Gallup has done a poll on the most admired man and woman since 1946, and not surprisingly gain for 2017 they mostly admire US leaders.

But preferences are spread, and a quarter of respondents don’t indicate any person they most admire – I’m not surprised by this, especially when the top choices are not particularly admirable, and being politicians receive partisan support.

Gallup: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton Retain Most Admired Titles

  • Barack Obama edges out Donald Trump as most admired man
  • Hillary Clinton wins narrow victory over Michelle Obama
  • Clinton has won the past 16 years; Obama the past 10

Obama and Clinton topping the polls suggests a lack of admirable options.

Most Admired Man and Woman — Recent Trend for Top Finishers in 2017
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
% % % % %
Most Admired Man
Barack Obama 16 19 17 22 17
Donald Trump * * 5 15 14
Pope Francis 4 6 5 4 3
Rev. Billy Graham 2 2 1 1 2
John McCain * * * * 2
Elon Musk * * * * 2
Bernie Sanders * * 3 2 1
Bill Gates 1 1 2 1 1
Benjamin Netanyahu * 1 * 1 1
Jeff Bezos * * * * 1
The Dalai Lama * * 1 1 1
Mike Pence * * * 1 1
Most Admired Woman
Hillary Clinton 15 12 13 12 9
Michelle Obama 5 3 4 8 7
Oprah Winfrey 6 8 4 3 4
Elizabeth Warren * 1 1 1 3
Angela Merkel 1 1 2 3 2
Queen Elizabeth II 1 1 2 2 2
Condoleezza Rice 2 4 1 2 1
Melania Trump * * * * 1
Nikki Haley * * * * 1
Duchess Kate Middleton 1 2 * 1 1
Beyonce Knowles * 1 * * 1
Note: Combined first and second mentions; Rankings are based on total number of responses; *Less than 0.5%
GALLUP, DEC. 4-11, 2017

This is very US -centric. I don’t particularly admire any of those on either list, except perhaps John McCain and Angela Merkel, and Bernie Sanders deserves some admiration but for his efforts in 2016.

The 2017 survey marks the 16th consecutive year Clinton has been the most admired woman. She has held the title 22 times in total, more than anyone else. Eleanor Roosevelt is second with 13 wins.

The 9% who name Clinton is the lowest percentage she has received since 2002, when 7% named her in another close first-place finish. Clinton won the title this year in the same poll she registered a personal low favorable rating.

Obama has now been named the most admired man 10 times, trailing only Dwight Eisenhower, who earned the distinction 12 times. Obama won all eight years he was president, plus 2008 — the year he was first elected — and this year, his first as a former president.

The percentage of adults naming Obama as the most admired man is down from 22% last year, but he has been at or near 17% in several other years.

 

The Queen (of England) has been in the list but never top for a long time.

Hillary Clinton has finished in the top 10 26 times, the fifth most among women. She trails two of this year’s other top 10 finishers — Queen Elizabeth II (who holds the record for women, with 49 appearances) and Oprah Winfrey (named for the 30th time, third behind former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher’s 34 appearances and ahead of Jacqueline Kennedy Onassis’ 28 during their lifetimes).

Despite their frequent appearances on the list, neither the queen nor Winfrey has ever finished first.

Not surprisingly preferences are highly partisan.

Obama leads among Democrats, with 39% mentioning him and 3% Trump.

Trump wins handily among Republicans — 35% name him as the man they admire most, with only 1% naming Obama.

Independents are slightly more likely to name Obama (12%) than Trump (9%).

Incumbency usually but not always ensures prominence.

The incumbent president is the usual winner, since he is arguably the most prominent figure in the country — but when the president is unpopular, other well-known and well-liked men have been able to finish first.

Former presidents commonly make the top 10 list but rarely win, with Obama only the second to do so, along with Eisenhower in 1967 and 1968.

Trump might have to do some more tweeting.

Trump favourability lowest

A Gallup poll has found that Donald trump’s favourability has improved a bit it is still the lowest of any incoming president.

Trump Favorability Up, but Trails Other Presidents-Elect

  • 42% now view Trump favorably, up from 34% before election
  • Highest rating for Trump since 2011
  • Other recent president-elect favorable ratings were 58% or higher

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That’s still low, and disapproved by a clear majority.

Trump’s ratings lag behind those of other presidents-elect in large part because Democrats’ views of him are much worse than the opposition party’s supporters’ ratings have been in the past. Whereas 10% of Democrats view Trump favorably, 25% of Republicans had a positive opinion of Clinton, 31% of Democrats had a positive opinion of Bush and 35% of Republicans viewed Obama favorably.

Trump’s favorable rating among independents, 39%, is also significantly worse than those of his predecessors. It is 15 points lower than Clinton’s rating among independents and 31 points worse than Obama’s.

And Trump’s 82% favorability among his party’s supporters also is lower than that for prior presidents-elect, which range from 88% for Clinton to 95% for Obama.

 

How Americans feel about the election

An interesting indication of what Americans think of the presidential election result from Gallup, (via post by Thomas Lumley at Stats Chat).

  • Trump’s win surprises both Republicans and Democrats
  • 42% describe one of their reactions as “afraid”
  • Reactions are far different from those eight years ago
  • Sixty-six percent of Democrats and independents who lean Democratic say they are “afraid,” compared with 11% of Republicans and leaners.
  • Sixty-three percent of Republicans and leaners are “excited,” compared with 13% of Democrats and leaners.
  • More than half of Americans aged 40 and younger (54%) say they are “afraid,” compared with only a fourth of those 60 and older (25%).
  • The situation reverses for those who say they are “relieved”: More than half of those aged 60 or older (57%) say they are “relieved,” while less than a fourth of those 40 or younger (22%) feel the same way.

gallup

While indicative this wasn’t from a very big sample size:

Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted Nov. 9, 2016, on the Gallup U.S. Daily survey, with a random sample of 511 U.S. adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

Lumley comments on this in What polls aren’t good for.

 

Highly unfavourable presidential nominees

The poor state of US politics is graphically illustrated by Gallup in Trump Leads Clinton in Historically Bad Image Ratings:

Trump and Clinton are currently among the worst-rated presidential candidates of the last seven decades according to Gallup’s long-term “scalometer” trend.

In the race to the bottom, however, Trump’s 42% highly unfavorable score easily outpaces Clinton’s 33%.

Clinton is statistically equal favourable versus unfavourable, which should make getting elected difficult, except that Trump is -17% in overall favourability.

In polling from 14-23 June 2016, Donald Trump:

  • Highly unfavourable 42%, total unfavourable 59%
  • Highly favourable 16%, total favourable 42%

One thing in Trump’s favour is that Hillary Clinton scores nearly as bad:

 

  • Highly unfavourable 33%, total unfavourable 50%
  • Highly favourable 22%, total favourable 51%

Barry Goldwater in 1964 is the only nominee other than Trump to have more unfavourable than favourable (-6%).

In 2004:

  • George W Bush 61% favourable – 39% unfavourable = +22%
  • John Kerry 57% favourable – 40% unfavourable = +17%

In 2008:

  • Barack Obama 62% favourable – 35% unfavourable = +27%
  • John McCain 64% favourable – 35% unfavourable = +29%

In 2012:

  • Barack Obama 62% favourable – 37% unfavourable = +25%
  • Mitt Romney 55% favourable – 43% unfavourable = +12%

In 2016:

  • Donald Trump 42% favourable – 59% unfavourable = -17%
  • Hillary Clinton 51% favourable – 50% unfavourable = +1%

That’s totals.

The ‘highly unfavourable’ ratings for Clinton at 33% and for Trump at 42%, the highest of any presidential nominees, points to a sorry state of politics in the US.

And one of these two will become President of the United States of America.

And when you look at the current state of turmoil on UK politics right now the outlook for the democratic world isn’t flash. The only thing worse is the alternative.