Soon to be new MP Golriz Ghahraman

Similar to new National and Labour candidates being chosen to stand in safe electorates, Green Party candidates given a good position on their list are virtually guaranteed of becoming MPs.

The top 12 Green candidates are close to assured of making the cut, with a few more likely. They currently have 14 MPs and should get somewhere around that again, give or take a couple.

One interesting candidate given an almost certain slot at 10 on the finalised list is Golriz Ghahraman.

Newshub details Ten things you need to know about Golriz Ghahraman

  1. She gets accusations about terrorism directed at her
  2. She’s a former refugee, and fled Iran with her family without telling anyone
  3. She’s a lawyer and has worked for the United Nations
  4. She’s not a hippie and doesn’t wear weird sandals
  5. She has a vivid memory of the moment she arrived in New Zealand
  6. She’s dating comedian and television personality Guy Williams
  7. She has a Masters degree from Oxford University
  8. She’s not good at everything
  9. She says the Greens are the only party she wanted to be part of
  10. She’s going to become New Zealand’s first ever former refugee MP

That she and her family were refugees is only relevant in that it will give her a bit of a different perspective on some things.

I think she is a very good addition the the Green line-up and should be a good MP, if she adapts to the job and way of life ok.

Would she make it more likely I would vote for the Greens? No – she is likely to get in anyway, and for me a Green vote would be based more on the leaders, on who might make it into Cabinet if Greens get to be part of a coalition, and what policies they might push for and succeed in putting into place.

Greens – 2017 list

The Greens have revealed their final party list that they will go into the 2017 election with.

Green Party unveils strongest ever candidate list

The Green Party is excited to today reveal its final candidate list for the upcoming election, with a mix of familiar faces and fresh new talent set to take the party into government.

The final list was voted on by Green Party members, after a draft list was created by candidates and party delegates in April.

“I am confident this exceptional group of people will take us to our best ever election result and into government in September,” said Green Party Co-leader James Shaw.

“We will be continuing our work on the big issues New Zealanders care deeply about – our people, our environment and our planet – and we will take that work into government.

“This list reflects the progress the Green Party has made in the 27 years since our inception. We are bigger, bolder and more diverse than we’ve ever been. We have supporters in every neighbourhood, town and city in Aotearoa New Zealand, and a candidate in most areas.

“I am thrilled that there will be highly skilled Green Party representatives in the next government and Parliament, who are experts in their given fields.

“Our returning MPs are joined in the top 20 candidates by new Māori and Pasifika candidates, a human rights lawyer and refugee, indigenous rights activists, climate change campaigners, business people, a farmer, a former diplomat, and a TV presenter.

“This list truly reflects 21st century Aotearoa New Zealand. Chloe Swarbrick will become New Zealand’s youngest MP in 42 years. In Jack McDonald we have one of Te Ao Māori’s leading young voices, Pasifika candidate Teanau Tuiono is a noted activist and expert on climate change, and human rights lawyer Golriz Gharhraman will become Parliament’s first MP who came to New Zealand as a refugee.

“The Green team will go into this critically important election united and determined.

“We will be a force to be reckoned with this election and in the next Parliament,” said Mr Shaw.

 Green Party list:

  1. TUREI, Metiria
  2. SHAW, James
  3. DAVIDSON, Marama
  4. GENTER, Julie Anne
  5. SAGE, Eugenie
  6. HUGHES, Gareth
  7. LOGIE, Jan
  8. GRAHAM, Kennedy
  9. SWARBRICK, Chloe
  10. GHAHRAMAN, Golriz
  11. MATHERS, Mojo
  12. COATES, Barry
  13. MCDONALD, Jack
  14. HART, John
  15. ROCHE, Denise
  16. CLENDON, David
  17. HOLT, Hayley
  18. CROSSEN, Teall
  19. TUIONO, Teanau
  20. TAMU, Leilani

There are currently 14 Green MPs. They will be hoping to do better than that this election.

They have promoted younger mainly female candidates. They presumably want to retain the support of those who voted Green last election and grow the young female vote, and maybe the young male vote as well to increase their overall party vote.

However most people are barely aware of party lists so a lot will still depend on the pulling power of leaders Metiria Turei and James Shaw.

More defence of Labour Māori rankings

Labour has been doing a lot of defending of the decision of Maori electorate MPs to not stand on the party list, and the resulting lack of Maori candidates in the top fifteen of the list.

Kelvin Davis has joined in the defensive chorus.

RNZ: Kelvin Davis defends Labour’s Māori rankings

Labour’s party list is a “total victory” for Māori despite no Māori being ranked in the top 15, MP Kelvin Davis says.

Willow-Jane Prime is the party’s highest-ranked Māori candidate, at number 16 on the list.

But Mr Davis, who was unranked and would instead defend his Te Tai Tokerau seat, told TV3’s The Hui that the party strategy of not having its Māori electorate MPs stand on the list had been successful.

It’s premature to be claiming success over four months out from the election.

Will Labour MPs keep defending their strategy right through to the election?

On current polling, there would be 12 Māori MPs in the Labour caucus after the election, he said.

“We’re going to have double figures of Maori – this is going to be history-making.”

He was confident Labour would retain its six Māori seats and bring in several others off the list, including Ms Prime, Kiri Allan and Willie Jackson.

One Māori seat loss for Labour would be a failure for the strategy.

And there is a possible unintended consequence if Labour keep promoting the chances of a disproportionate number of Māori MPs – no Māori  voters may be put off voting for Labour. I have heard that sentiment expressed already.

There is still a lot of resentment about Labour’s actions on the Foreshore and Seabed legislation.

And there is also wider historical resentment about how Labour have taken Māori votes but have given little in return.

Can Labour be trusted to deliver for Māori if they lead the next government?

Possibly the best way of keeping Labour honest on Māori issues is also having a stronger voice from the Māori Party – especially if the Māori Party held the balance of power. They could be able to put a lot of pressure on a Labour caucus that is about one third Māori.

And if Labour fails to form the next government at least the Māori Party has a proven record of extracting some wins from a National led government.

Māori have proven to be smart tactical voters.

It could be a smart tactic to ensure Māori  interests are covered by both Labour and the Māori Party.

Mallard ‘had enough’ of Opposition

Trevor Mallard held his Hutt South electorate in a close tussle with National’s Chris Bishop in the 2014 election but this year decided to go list only to focus on his ambition to become Parliament’s Speaker.

Unless Labour improve on last election’s effort Mallard is at risk of missing out on returning altogether, but he says he doesn’t want to spend more time in Opposition so if Labour fail again he may be happy to not be a part of that.

Mallard has been placed at 32 on Labour’s party list, which would require a party vote of about 32% (depending on electorate results) – 32 is effectively closer to 38 due to the six Maori electorate MPs not being included on the list. Mallard opted off the list himself last election, relying on his electorate win to get back in.

Going list only this time Mallard needs an improved party vote to return as an MP, and Labour need to probably do even better than Mallard needs to form the next government. 35% or more is probably needed to be a credible lead party.

The list ructions over the last couple of days won’t have helped.

Stuff: Willie Jackson’s role in the Labour Party is still a bone of contention

When asked to comment on the way the list disputes had played out so publicly, long-serving Labour MP Trevor Mallard said he’d never seen “anything like it” but he didn’t want to comment on “what, if any, damage it has done” to the party’s reputation.

He’ll be hoping not to much damage has been done, but Labour need to go forward, not backwards in credibility and support.

Mallard said Labour was a “broad-base party and some people will be more supportive of the shape of the list than others”.

He said he wasn’t one of the MPs that was unhappy with their list place – Mallard was given the 32nd spot, which means he needs more than 30 per cent to safely get in.

“Opposition is absolutely debilitating and I’ve had enough of it.”

His low profile may be a reflection of this – he seems to have largely given up apart from trying to be Speaker.

“I’ve made it very clear to people I have no interest in being an Opposition member of Parliament. I had nine years in a row of that. I’d love to be Speaker and the position means that if we were in a position to be in Government I can be the Speaker,” Mallard said.

So it sounds like Mallard will be happy to be out of Parliament if Labour fail again.

However to become Speaker Mallard needs Labour’s party vote to improve. Will he do anything to help with that, or has he had enough of campaigning as well?

More widespread disgruntlement amongst current or ex Labour supporters won’t help.

Jo Bond:

Disgusting. Did you find out about NZ Council rushing a special conference last year to get the moderating committee shrunk and remove binding votes from list conferences? We don’t even get to find out the results of our indicative votes. This is so bad.!

Tat Loo:

Yes I heard about that but am out of the loop on details. The old guard Labour right wing is ripped to shreds now.

Tat Loo was a Labour candidate in 2011 but has crossed swords since then, notably with Clare Curran, and as Colonial Viper at The Standard (I think he is banned until after the election).

Little proud, Labour united

Andrew Little is proud and excited “to be leading such a dynamic and capable group of candidates into this year’s election.” He also claims that Labour is unified, despite “what happened yesterday was unfortunate, people were speaking out of turn.”

NBR: Labour leader claims party ‘unified’ despite list furore

“I think some of what happened yesterday was unfortunate, people were speaking out of turn. In the end we’re dealing with a list for a general election, we’re dealing with people’s livelihoods and potential careers. I think it was a gross discourtesy and disrespect for people who were entitled to have their issues dealt with in an appropriate decorum and under confidentiality.”

“We made the big mistake last time of having them too far down and we have been in the embarrassing position up until recently of having no Chinese or Indian MPs for the Labour party. That won’t happen again after 2017.”

“The combination of [the MPs that opted off the list] and the Maori Party candidates on the list, we will have one of the biggest representation of Maori [in a party] in New Zealand’s history.”

But the release of Labour’s party list has been very messy, and doesn’t give confidence that Labour can manage themselves well let alone the country.

Audrey Young: Labour leader deserves more respect from his party executive

Labour’s list ranking process has hardly been a glowing reference for the party that wants to run the country.

And it is a prime example of how a party executive should not behave.

Astonishingly for a Labour Party list, there is no Maori candidate in the first fifteen.

Willow Jean Prime at No 16 is first. There could have been one in the top 10 and there should have been if Labour leader Andrew Little had been allowed to keep his word.

But Little was unable to deliver on his public undertaking of a “high list position” for Willie Jackson.

A high list place would undoubtedly have been in the top 10. Arguably it might have been in the first fifteen. Stretching reality to breaking point, it might have been in the top 20. But 21 cannot be said to be a high list position.

Little could not keep his word because the list ranking committee prevented it.

It was not unreasonable of Little to have made the public promise to Jackson.

That’s debatable, as comments on the list at The Standard show in Labour’s list of candidates for 2017.

Little’s recruitment and promotion of Willie Jackson, and the furore over Jackson’s disappointment over his list placing, has looked bad for Little and for Labour.

Little will be pleased that Labour have finally turned over most of the old guard – there will be hardly anyone left from the Clark years – and they have a diverse line-up now.

It will be up to voters to decide whether they look capable of leading a coalition and the country.

Labour Party list released

Following yesterday’s fracas where it seems that Willie Jackson tried to spit the dummy over his list placing and had it stuffed back into his mouth, and Sunday’s announcement that Sue Moroney was pulling out after the Labour council had ‘lost confidence’ in her, Labour have released their 2017 party list overnight.

At least they have attracted a lot of attention to it.

Labour Party 2017 Party List

  1. Andrew Little
  2.  Jacinda Ardern
  3. Grant Robertson
  4. Phil Twyford
  5. Megan Woods
  6. Chris Hipkins
  7. Carmel Sepuloni
  8. David Clark
  9. David Parker
  10. Stuart Nash
  11. Priyanca Radhakrishnan
  12. Raymond Huo
  13. Iain Lees-Galloway
  14. Jan Tinetti
  15. Aupito William Sio
  16. Willow-Jean Prime
  17. Damien O’Connor
  18. Jenny Salesa
  19. Kris Faafoi
  20. Kiri Allan
  21. Willie Jackson
  22. Clare Curran
  23. Ruth Dyson
  24. Poto Williams
  25. Louisa Wall
  26. Michael Wood
  27. Ginny Andersen
  28. Jo Luxton
  29. Deborah Russell
  30. Liz Craig
  31. Marja Lubeck
  32. Trevor Mallard
  33. Paul Eagle
  34. Tamati Coffey
  35. Jamie Strange
  36. Anahila Kanongata’a-Suisuiki
  37. Kieran McAnulty
  38. Angie Warren-Clark
  39. Helen White
  40. Greg O’Connor
  41. Steph Lewis
  42. Duncan Webb
  43. Lemauga Lydia Sosene
  44. Janette Walker
  45. Anna Lorck
  46. Romy Udanga
  47. Rachel Boyack
  48. Sarb Johal
  49. Naisi Chen
  50. Shanan Halbert
  51. Dan Rosewarne
  52. Jin An
  53. Jesse Pabla
  54. Hilary Humphrey
  55. Tony Savage
  56. Brooke Loader
  57. Ben Sandford
  58. Kurt Taogaga
  59. Heather Warren
  60. Sam McDonald
  61. Cherie Chapman
  62. Ala’ Al-Bustanji
  63. Baljit Kaur
  64. Linsey Higgins
  65. Barry Kirker
  66. Tofik Mamedov
  67. Michelle Lomax
  68. Nathaniel Blomfield
  69. Gaurav Sharma
  70. Anthony Rimell
  71. Tony Condon
  72. Sarah Packer
  73. Andy Begg
  74. Corie Haddock

Maori electorate MPs are not on the list so have to win their electorates.

Sue Moroney will have to be replaced as Labour’s candidate for Hamilton West, whoever gets that nomination may have to stay off the list or get tacked on the end, unless it is someone already on the list.

There’s a number of non-MPs ranked ahead of MPs. Raymond Huo has just got back in off the list a couple of months ago and is up at 12.

They seem to have gone for gender balance at over 30 MPs, but only 3 of the top 10 are female, and 8 of the top 20. It gets to 16 out of 30.

If Labour get into government with Greens and/or NZ First they can hope for at best probably about 15 ministers. The five women in the top fifteen are:

  • Jacinda Ardern
  • Megan Woods
  • Carmel Sepuloni
  • Priyanca Radhakrishnan
  • Jan Tinetti

If they get less than 14 ministers in the mix that is 4 out of 11-13.

Gender imbalance looks marked there, and there is also a distinct lack of experience. None of the three MPs have been in government.

Some curious placings there, like Trevor Mallard at 32 – that puts his ambition to be Speaker at risk unless Labour picks up it’s support – perhaps Mallard will campaign strongly for the party vote.

Candidates like Greg O’Connor (40) and Duncan Webb (42) pretty much have to win their electorates to get in.

Jackson should be grateful to have a list position that gives him a chance of getting in – al he has to do is work hard for party support. He has a bit of ground to make up after the list uproar yesterday.

In their press release Labour promotes profiles of these candidates:

Priyanca Radhakrishnan
Labour candidate for Maungakiekie. Priyanca Radhakrishnan is a policy adviser who lives in Auckland. Priyanca has experience advocating for some of the most vulnerable people in our community and is a New Zealander of Indian origin.

Jan Tinetti
Labour candidate for Tauranga. Jan Tinetti is the principal of Merivale School, the lowest decile school in Tauranga. She is active in her union NZEI and is a passionate advocate for the right to an excellent education for all children.

Willow-Jean Prime
Labour candidate for Northland. Willow-Jean Prime (Ngā Puhi) previously worked as a lawyer and is now in her second term on the Far North District Council. She has a strong background in law, advocacy and Māori and community development.

Kiri Allan
Labour candidate for East Coast. Kiri Allan (Nga ti Ranginui, Tūwharetoa) is a commercial lawyer and business consultant based in Whakatane and working throughout the East Coast electorate. She has a focus on the primary industries, as she believes enhancing the primary sector is vital to regional development.

Willie Jackson
Labour List candidate. Willie is a renowned Māori broadcaster, political commentator and is Chief Executive of the Manukau Urban Maori Authority. He has long been a strong voice for urban Māori and he is a highly effective campaigner for the issues that matter to Māori.

Ginny Andersen
Labour candidate for Hutt South. Ginny and her family love living in the Hutt Valley. Ginny has worked for NZ Police for the past ten years and has also worked as a negotiator for the Office of Treaty Settlements. She is fluent in Te Reo Maori.

Jo Luxton
Labour candidate for Rangitata. Jo Luxton has lived in Rangitata for twenty years, where she started her own successful business; an early childhood centre employing seven staff. She is a Living Wage employer. She’s an active volunteer in the community, and was an integral part of the formation of the Hinds and District Citizens’ Association. Dr

Liz Craig
Labour candidate for Invercargill. Dr Liz Craig is a public health doctor, whose job for the past decade has been to monitor the health of New Zealand’s children and young people. Liz is proud to be standing for Labour in Invercargill, and will be a strong advocate for all the electorate.

Labour party list – delayed

I will post the Labour party list here when it is released today.

Update:

In the meantime it is being reported that High-profile broadcaster Willie Jackson said to be ‘unhappy’ with his Labour list ranking

Prospective Labour candidate Willie Jackson is said to be given the 21st slot on Labour’s list and isn’t happy about it.

It’s understood Jackson, a high profile broadcaster and former Alliance MP, flew down to Wellington on Monday morning to take his frustrations to the party first-hand.

Jackson, who had ties to the Maori Party was shoulder-tapped by Labour leader Andrew Little late last year to run and announced at Waitangi that would he seek a place on the list.

Little threw his support behind Jackson getting a high-list placing.

But Northland and East Coast candidates, Willow-Jean Prime and Kiri Allan, look to have secured list spots ahead of Jackson – likely helped by Labour’s 50/50 gender policy.

It’s understood Jackson isn’t happy about either candidate being ranked ahead of him.

But with Andrew Little, David Parker and Trevor Mallard all wanting winnable list positions and Labour’s commitment to gender balance it means females will need to be up the list.

Prime has also stood before for Labour, in 2014 (she was 34 on the list) and in the 2015 Northland by-election when Labour sidelined her to make it easier for Winston Peters to win.

Jackson only joined Labour this year.

The party was expected to announce its list around mid-morning but has since pushed it out to the afternoon. It’s understood the delay is also because other electorate candidates are disappointed with their list ranking.

There are always people disappointed with their list rankings.

Sue Moroney has already said she will not stand due to a poor list placing.

 

Moroney jumps ahead of Labour list release

Sue Moroney is quitting before she is effectively dumped by Labour after being given an ‘unelectable’  party list position and being told that  “she had lost support from the party’s ruling council”. Ouch.

She must also not rate her chances of winning an electorate.

RNZ: Labour to release party list

A party list ranks MPs and it dictates who will get a seat in Parliament, depending on the result of the party vote at the election.

Labour’s moderating committee has to follow party rules, including ranking the list to make sure half of the caucus are women.

That has to be balanced against the leader Andrew Little’s promise to give Willie Jackson a high list position, and the fact that Mr Little and the senior MP Trevor Mallard are also list-only candidates.

David Parker is also a list MP, and is the only Labour MP with experience as a minister in government.

There’s already been one casualty, with MP Sue Moroney announcing she will stand down, after failing to get an electable position.

She said she was told last night she had lost support from the party’s ruling council.

But pre-empting this: Moroney to quit politics after lower list ranking

She said she made the decision after she was not ranked high enough on the party list.

Ms Moroney has been an MP since 2005 and was the party’s chief whip while David Cunliffe was leader in 2013 and 2014.

There’s already been one casualty, with MP Sue Moroney announcing she will stand down, after failing to get an electable position.

She said she was told last night she had lost support from the party’s ruling council.

Labour leader Andrew Little said he understood her reasons for standing down and that her contribution to the Labour caucus would be missed.

Moroney is currently ranked 16 by Labour but apart from Trevor Mallard (at 24) all the other MPs below her are electorate MPs.

Her record:

  • 1996 contested Karapiro, 31 on list (unsuccessful)
  • 2005 contested Piako, 42 on list, became a list MP
  • 2008 contested Hamilton East (lost by 8,820), 22 on list
  • 2011 promoted to front bench by Phil Goff
  • 2011 10 on list
  • 2013 appointed Chief Whip by David Cunliffe
  • 2014 10 on list

She was not rated as highly by Little when he became party leader, and has now been told to bugger off by the Labour council.

It will be interesting to see the Labour list, with a party requirement to have a reasonable gender balance.

This may have been tricky with Little, Parker and Mallard relying on the list as well as an apparent promise of a winnable list position for Willie Jackson.

Currently 12 of Labour’s 31 MPs are female, with Moroney and Annette King not standing again.

 

Green list selection

Martyn Bradbury is now advising the Greens on how to organise their party list – Green Party Members Special: Ranking the top 20 Green Party candidates. I presume this is on a voluntary basis.

I doubt many Green Party members will take his advice too seriously given his record with promoting party success, but he has some interesting information on how the Greens advise their own members in ranking their list.

greenlistguidelines

Bradbury writes:

This process is more important than ever before for the Greens because in September there is a real chance to change the Government so these candidates won’t just be representing the Party, they will probably be in Caucus, so selection based on merit, talent and diversity are more important than ever.

Of course there is a real chance to change the Government in September, just like there was in 2014 and 2011 where the votes for government change just came up short.

But suggesting “they will probably be in Caucus”is a tad optimistic at this stage of election year.

Then Bradbury does his own Green list – here are abbreviated comments.

1 – Metiria Turei – She just gets better and better.

But her (and Green Party) appeal to voters appears to have plateaued so that doesn’t reflect in polls.

2 – James Shaw – Look, I’ll be blunt, I’m not a James Shaw fan. He’s pretty invisible most of the time and I’ve never warmed to the bloke, but the incredible skill and talent Shaw does bring is that he calms business and industry the fuck down.

Shaw is yet to live up to expectations. I doubt his lack of impact so far, plus continued  concerns about Green policies, are likely to have changed business and industry views.

3 – Marama Davidson – As far as I’m concerned, she’s the Beyonce of the NZ Political world. All hail the Queen.

I’m not sure that New Zealand’s political world wants a Beyonce. Davidson hasn’t been in Parliament a full term yet (she replaced Russel Norman off this list).

4 – Jan Logie – Jan is a political superstar.

Jesus Christ.

5 -Gareth Hughes – The guys is just such a brain. You need a clever policy wonk like Hughes at the Cabinet Table if you want to effect real policy change.

Hughes has never had much impact and his brain seems more interested in family now he’s a father.

6 – Julie Anne Genter – The Greens always do incredibly poorly in Auckland, and they desperately  require an Auckland personality who can champion their cause. Genter could be our smartest Minister for Transport we’ve ever had in NZ history.

But Bradbury has already ranked Beyonce at 3 on the list, Davidson is also from Auckland.

7 -Barry Coates – Thrusting Bazza up this high is a nod to his huge activist support base and the incredible work he has done fighting TPPA.

Coates became an MP in October last year so could do with a tad more parliamentary experience. While large TPPA protests were organised they did nothing to change New Zealand’s stance on the trade deal.

8 – Mojo Mathers – Mojo’s own hearing impairment gives her true insight into disability issues and makes her a leader in Parliament. She and the electorate she represents deserves recognition.

But is she really ministerial material? She is a useful advocate but there is no Minister of Hearing Impairment (yet).

9 – Chloe Swarbrick – Chloe should be in the top 10 folks, the woman is a political event.

She will have to prove herself within the Green Party first and probably has a long way to go on that let alone as a potential MP.

10 – Damon Rusden – He has guest blogged on The Daily Blog many times and his intellect and creative mind are surprisingly refreshing and he shows a worldview well beyond his 22 years of age.

I keep an eye on The Daily Blog and haven’t heard of him. Neither he nor Swarbrick are anywhere near ready to be ministers but even if they got in  at 9 and 10 on the list (they won’t) Greens won’t get that many ministers unless they double their vote.

11 – David Clendon – David is an old hand and has enough experience behind him now to act as one of the Party’s internal guardians when it comes to process.

He is currently ranked 10 in the Green line up.

12 – Eugenie Sage – Very intelligent and smart on the environment, but just hasn’t built enough of a profile to the wider electorate.

Which Green MPs have built enough of a popular profile in the wider electorate? Approximately none.

13 – Golriz Ghahraman – Has there been a more perfect candidate?

According to Bradbury, yes, as he has ranked 12 others higher including two with very little experience at anything apart from growing up.

14 – James Goodie – Interesting guy, has huge networks of influence in Auckland.

Haven’t heard of him.

15 – Robert Stewart – Huge networks in Dunedin where he has serious support.

Will he take over from Turei in Dunedin North where Greens have done very well? He is pushing for it – It wasn’t all a waste of time – having stood for Internet Mana in 2014.

16 – Sam Taylor

17 – Julie Zhu

18 -Dr Elizabeth Kerekere

19 – Stefan Grand-Meyer

20 – Jo Wrigley

I haven’t heard of any of them. Having Zhu ranked 17 isn’t very representative for the Asian demographic.

Current MPs missing from Bradbury’s list:

  • Catherine Delahunty (not standing again)
  • Kennedy Graham (currently ranked 7)
  • Denise Roche (she beat Chlöe Swarbrick to stand for the Greens in Auckland Central)
  • Steffan Browning (not standing again)

Greens currently have 14 MPs and on current polling might struggle to get that again this year.

Bradbury has chosen 12 females which isn’t balanced.

 

Eagle in Rongotai

Paul Eagle, currently deputy mayor of Wellington, is on track to get the Labour nomination to stand in the Rongotai electorate which virtually assures him of a safe seat.

Eagle may well be a good candidate for Labour but if he replaces Annette King that increases the difficulty Labour may have with it’s list if the party continues it’s efforts to achieve a gender balance in Parliament.

With Andrew Little, other prominent Labour MPs like David Parker and Trevor Mallard, plus apparent promises of a high placing for Willie Jackson, unless Labour increases it’s party vote significantly the rest of the top of this may need to be stacked with female candidates.

If Jacinda Ardern wins the Mt Albert by-election as expected that will even the balance a bit, she would replace David Shearer, but her list replacement will be another incumbent MP who would hope to be given a chance of returning after September’s election.